Amy - Sun Feb 28, 2021 01:17
The state today has linked anti vax, anti mak, anti lockdown to the words violent and far right and made it stick
Sat 27th Feb. Today's long planned anti-lockdown protest that was due to take place in Stephens Green was prevented from entering the park because it was closed by the government and all roads leading to it were sealed off by a massive police operation.

Despite the fact there were was an estimated 3,000 to 5,000 who were marching and the vast majority were regular people and were peaceful, the media insists it was a riot and was only attended by thugs. This is the image that they not only want to present but they do present. The only mainstream media images are of lines of cops with smoke from the one firecracker by the lunatic and some discarded litter on the ground.

This report of the protest critically looks at what happened and how the agenda of the government has been cynically served. It is so coincidental that the incident with the firecracker perfectly fitted the narrative they wanted to portray and portray it they did in every report and mention.
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If you examine footage & pics carefully
there is no riot just an baton charge against
peaceful protesters with trouble
caused by a few hired thugs
working for the state's agenda

Sat 27th Feb. Today's long planned anti-lockdown protest that was due to take place in Stephens Green was prevented from entering the park because it was closed by the government and all roads leading to it were sealed off by a massive police operation.

Despite the fact there were was an estimated 3,000 to 5,000 who were marching and the vast majority were regular people and were peaceful, the media insists it was a riot and was only attended by thugs. This is the image that they not only want to present but they do present. The only mainstream media images are of lines of cops with smoke from the one firecracker by the lunatic and some discarded litter on the ground.

This report of the protest critically looks at what happened and how the agenda of the government has been cynically served. It is so coincidental that the incident with the firecracker perfectly fitted the narrative they wanted to portray and portray it they did in every report and mention.


How's it is done in Other Countries

Source: https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2009/may/10/g20-policing-agent-provacate...

G20 police 'used undercover men to incite crowds'

Back in 2009 a British MP demanded an inquiry into Met tactics at a G20 demo because he was there and saw their tactics at work and clearly didn't like what he saw. The report from the Guardian illustrates that those in power will go to any length to push their agenda.

An MP who was involved in last month's G20 protests in London is to call for an investigation into whether the police used agents provocateurs to incite the crowds.

Liberal Democrat Tom Brake says he saw what he believed to be two plain-clothes police officers go through a police cordon after presenting their ID cards.

Brake, who along with hundreds of others was corralled behind police lines near Bank tube station in the City of London on the day of the protests, says he was informed by people in the crowd that the men had been seen to throw bottles at the police and had encouraged others to do the same shortly before they passed through the cordon.

....

"When I was in the middle of the crowd, two people came over to me and said, 'There are people over there who we believe are policemen and who have been encouraging the crowd to throw things at the police,'" Brake said. But when the crowd became suspicious of the men and accused them of being police officers, the pair approached the police line and passed through after showing some form of identification.

Brake has produced a draft report of his experiences for the human rights committee, having received written statements from people in the crowd. These include Tony Amos, a photographer who was standing with protesters in the Royal Exchange between 5pm and 6pm. "He [one of the alleged officers] was egging protesters on. It was very noticeable," Amos said. "Then suddenly a protester seemed to identify him as a policeman and turned on him. He ­legged it towards the police line, flashed some ID and they just let him through, no questions asked."

Question: In the video of the thug who fired the firecracker last Saturday. Did they catch him?
Update: Now that the thug has been arrested, has any reporter checked whether he really is who they say he is. Does he live at that address, for how long. Who was the person that lit the firecracker for him? The whole thing is reminiscent of a lone gunman scenario. It is extremely suspicious.

Sat 27th Feb. Today's long planned anti-lockdown protest that was due to take place in Stephens Green was prevented from entering the park because it was closed by the government and all roads leading to it were sealed off by a massive police operation.

As a result protesters were forced to assemble at the top of Grafton Street. There was a large gathering present with numbers building all the time and then suddenly out of the blue a small group of hired thugs clearly working closely with the state moved to the front. The Garda who moments later charged the crowd had been positioned in place just before. Then a lone thug at very short range fired multiple shots of some kind of firecracker directly at the Garda.

The widespread video footage seems to show this was actually a blank. Either way it was utterly senseless. Nevertheless while thugs are considered to be idiotic and dumb, they are not dumb enough to walk up at such close range to a line of Garda and do such a thing UNLESS they know that they will either not be caught, will be okay if caught or are simply working as part of an undercover operation to criminalise and discredit in the public's mind, all and any who are against lockdowns.

It is noteworthy on the six o'clock news that the Taoiseach ticked all the boxes when he said these people protesting were

  • anti vaxers
  • anti mask
  • anti lockdown
And linked them to the words: violence and far-right.

It was a bulls eye. And if you listen to the language around this, you can detect an agenda to introduce repressive legalisation to further criminalise protest. It is noteworthy the way they tried to claim this was against all the people and all the work done over the last year. In other words any continuing lockdown is because of these people. This is what the media are trying to imply. It is a way to shift all the anger and frustration in the population onto a nominated hate group. The government were clearly saying all these people were responsible when they were not and that they didn't deserve any fair treatment. This is a kin to dehumanizing them and then you can apply dehumanized treatment. This is where it is going.

The state and the media played an absolute blinder this afternoon with this carefully planned and orchestrated attack. It was noteworthy how they labelled ALL of the people (and not just their hired thugs) as irresponsible even though this is not the case. The entire media has presented this as a riot. Yet if you watch any of the videos or observe in the pictures here, you will see that a lone hired thug fires the shot whilst everyone all around is oblivious as to what he was about to do and are simply standing there peacefully. Then in reaction to the shot the police attack. It can be seen they give up pursuit of him quickly and turn on the peaceful crowd. The definition of a riot is that the rioters are attacking and causing general mayhem. You will see that protesters -except the very few hired thugs -are NOT attacking but fleeing from the Garda batons like any rational person would. But the media just keep repeating it is a riot. It is not. It is a carefully planned black operation played out purely for the cameras and to manipulate public opinion and keep the police state intact and eliminate all dissent. In the videos you can hear multiple small explosions which is the firecracker left on the ground, going off.

So if you look again, you will see that the vast majority of the people present -except for the hired thugs, were regular people peacefully protesting.

The point of emphasizing the 23 arrests is to try imply that the number of trouble makers was not just one or two but made up most of the crowd. It was suggested by eye-witnesses at the protest that the small group of thugs were possibly football hooligans from the North because of their ascents, who had been bused down from the North with promises of a fight. People may not be aware that there is a long history with nearly every country of both the far right and far left being infiltrated by state actors and agents. Yet again, it cannot be stressed enough that these people were not in any way representative of the people at the protest and they purely served the agenda of the media and state. Nothing more and nothing less. The news this evening stated that the Garda broke up the protest. In fact they baton charged a segment people down Grafton street but their remained a relatively large and peaceful crowd at the top of Grafton Street and Stephen's Green center for well over one hour after with a line a Garda across the stop and no attempt was made by the Garda to move them and the protest was allowed to continue. The reason is because several million will have watched the news and be unaware of this and there was no pressing need by the Garda to move these people since the day's work and sooup was already complete.

The Left in Ireland has spent the past 12 months claiming that anyone who is against vaccination, masks or lockdowns are members of the far right. They have relentlessly labelled all these people as far right. This is simply not the case. But it works and serves the state's agenda perfectly and is highly effective at shutting down critical thought and debate. That is not to say the far right do not exist. They do and probably some have even attended protests but it is dis-ingenious to pretend that they make up more than a tiny minority. However the Left are standing on the wrong side of history and it is regrettable that they clearly do not stand up for liberty, personal freedoms, the right to protest, the right to control your own health and that they have deep seated authoritarian tendencies as they have criticized the lockdowns for being not severe nor long enough. They are cynically pretending they are for "workers" health, yet act as total shrills for the capitalistic and utterly corrupt pharmaceutical industry. It would seem that they think capitalism is on its knees and by pushing for longer lockdowns they can somehow break it's back and usher in a new system. What they don't realize is that the global billionaire oligarch class are firmly in control with a huge help from Big Tech and they are being played like fiddles by them.. Yet the Left demands unrealistic zero Covid strategy which has all the hallmarks of depending on even worse and tighter restrictions that are alarmingly close to the excesses of the Soviet Union. The Left spent the last 30 years trying to convince us they have purged all those destructive, authoritarian and repressive tendencies of the past but alas listening to their remedies, they are still there. The government is no better though. But make no mistake, the right are pretending what we are witnessing is communism. It isn't. It is global corporate right wing fascism. Their goal is clearly to discredit any and all Left wing ideas in the process.

What is happening is that as everyone knows these lockdowns are global and over the past year, these lockdowns and so called surges in cases have occurred often on the same day in multiple countries which demonstrates co-ordination. Yet it would be impossible for a disease surge to be so synchronized. The people behind the political system are going for broke to bring in a global level, a police state and are pulling out all the stops. Most of the people in the system, like the politicians, medical bureaucrats and so on are either spineless, careerists, people with big egos, watching their backs, scared, naive or downright dishonest and or are just going along with this, especially since the whole thing now has this massive momentum. If the public at large were to accept and take on board that they have been lied to and manipulated for the past year, the entire political, media, medical and much of the scientific establishment would be completely discredited. This cannot happen and all the stops will be pulled out to prevent this happening. People have got to realize that leaders of countries have regularly fought wars where millions die to achieve their particular goals. A global police state run by the most powerful people in the world is the biggest prize in history and now that they are fully committed to this task, if necessary any and all tactics will be used.

The actual problem we have and it is evidenced by the angry and verbally violent response of many is that many people deep down at the unconscious level know that we are entering the jaws of a police state and they mentally do not want to entertain that thought and simply cannot go there because they inherently know it could lead to their own mental breakdown. And so their own mind blocks its out, not just passively but angrily. The anger is in response to the deep deep anxiety and the fact that they will not allow themselves to wake up to the reality. Besides it is difficult for most people to not only accept they got it wrong but badly wrong. It would be seen as a huge attack on their own ego and intelligence so they double down harder believing the lie. Their other terror is the fear of being social ostracized if they switch, given they may have vehemently themselves ostracised others for the past year. If people simply read what has been printed they could easily see the gaping holes, manipulation and lies.

The reason for the orchestrated violence took place today is interesting because the state could not let this protest go ahead because their own research highly likely indicated relatively big numbers were going to show up and it could have been the turning point and so they not only ran scared and closed St Stephens Green but all the roads approaching it and it was imperative that they had to discredit the entire movement. The danger for them is that once it gets to a certain critical size, then all credibility in them could collapse and they would be exposed. Think about the entire political class would be rocked to the core. It is inconceivable that the truth would now be allowed to hold sway.

Just a few days ago the Taoiseach said -paraphrasing, that parents should not congregate outside schools and children should not go on play dates.

Had someone told you two years ago this is what the leader of the country would be announcing to the nation, it would have been seen as bizarre. Yet this is the level we are at and what our political system amounts to at this stage.

1 of indy - Tue Jan 12, 2021 23:12
Bringing perspective to the news that the media refuse to do

All the news media in Ireland have gone ballistic in the last few days ramping up the Covid fear to new extreme levels. There are already 100,000s of people absolutely terrified by their misleading news and this sustained level of fear for over 10 months now is very likely leading to very dangerous health conditions for these people leading to heart conditions, mental issues, cancer and all sorts of problems caused largely by the extreme stress that they have put themselves under because unfortunately the media and the politicians are giving highly distorted, mis-leading inaccurate and sensational news about the Covid situation.

A good example is the news from the past few days where we are told the hospitals are overflowing with Covid patients and as of today it is claimed 46 are dead from Covid.

The aim of this article is to bring some context and reality to this, something the mainstream media and politicians and their bureaucrats are strenuously going out of their way to not do.


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Screenshot of Irish Times article from LAST year
reporting hospital over-crowding

All the news media in Ireland have gone ballistic in the last few days ramping up the Covid fear to new extreme levels. There are already 100,000s of people absolutely terrified by their misleading news and this sustained level of fear for over 10 months now is very likely leading to very dangerous health conditions for these people leading to heart conditions, mental issues, cancer and all sorts of problems caused largely by the extreme stress that they have put themselves under because unfortunately the media and the politicians are giving highly distorted, mis-leading inaccurate and sensational news about the Covid situation.

A good example is the news from the past few days where we are told the hospitals are overflowing with Covid patients and as of today it is claimed 46 are death.

The aim of this article is to bring some context and reality to this, something the mainstream media and politicians and their bureaucrats are strenuously going out of their way to not do.

Related Links: First week of 2020 ?worst ever? for hospital overcrowding | http://www.healthpassportireland.ie/ -Passport to Tyranny | A global team of experts has found 10 FATAL FLAWS in the main test for Covid and is demanding it?s urgently axed. As they should | Irish Doctor resigns from Medical Council after criticising mismanagement of Covid-19 | Australian Politician Calls for Criminal Trials of Health Bureaucrats who Banned Hydroxychloroquine as COVID Cure | Dr. Meryl Nass Discovers Hydroxychloroquine Experiments Were Designed to Kill COVID Patients ? How Many Were Murdered? | Intevieww with Dr James Todaro discussing the Hydroxychloroquine #Lancetgate scandal and how the fraudulent study was uncovered



So lets take the hospital admissions we are told there are thousands in the hospitals. Well if we go back to this time last year BEFORE Covid and check the Irish Times for Friday Jan 10th 2020 the headline reads:



First week of 2020 ?worst ever? for hospital overcrowding
More than 3,000 patients went without beds as trolley numbers hit new record


Source: https://www.irishtimes.com/news/health/first-week-of-2020-worst-ever-for-hosp...
Check out the page and save it before the Irish Times remove it.

So you would never know that listening to Tony (The Grinch) Holohan or Stephen Donnelly. What we find is that more or less every year during this middle two weeks in January, there is a peak in hospital admissions because this is the time that the annual peak in deaths occur due to flu and pneumonia. What the Covid scare mongers want people to believe is that for decades we have these peaks hit our hospitals every January, when it is the coldest time of the year and people's levels of Vitamin D is at its lowest and for some reason possibly due to political expediency that flu and colds have disappeared and has been replaced by Covid. It is simply impossible for this to happen. It makes no sense whatsoever.

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Update 25th Jan: How the Government Lies with Statistics

On Sat 23rd Jan, the headlines screamed 77 further deaths and the story was carried country wide. When you read down past the

headlines -and many people do NOT and the spin-doctors know this -it reads 76 of the 77 died this month. In other words they are not daily deaths because if they were they would love to tell you. Then on Tues 25th Jan, the main RTE news opens with 90 Further deaths. Again you are supposed to think from the headline that was since the previous day. But if you listen carefully they once again say all but one of those deaths occurred in Jan. So are they month totals? If it is a monthly total then it means it is probably LESS than last years January flu death totals.

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Earlier in the year the http://www.hpsc.ie/ were publishing daily death totals but they have stopped doing that and focus mostly on the irrelevant cases which are meaningless. The only death totals you can find are for a sliding 14 day total that makes it impossible to recover the actual daily deaths. If you had the figure for the first day, it might be possible, but the HPSC purposely did not publish the initial figures. The graph to the side is graphed with the data for Jan. Because of the averaging any peak will not show up for at least 7 days. On the graph we passed the peak a few days ago which means the real peak passed probably 10 days ago! But during this period the scare mongering has increased and the restrictions have been tightened and put in place for longer. This is total lies and bullshit by the govt and it's officials. They should be charged with terrorism and vandalism of the economy and our society.


Update 30th Jan: Example showing a hypothetical daily series of daily counts represented by a 14 day moving total as used by the Irish government (HPSC.ie) will distort the reality and 1) moves the real peak by 7 days and 2) makes the daily total look 7 to 8 time higher than the real daily total. The HPSC is using a 14 day moving total to help lie by statistics. The objective is to make the annual January peak of deaths look like it is going on longer and the deaths are higher so as to justify the draconian police state measures
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We are also told that all those been admitted are Covid related. How do they know or claim this. For the past 10 months we have been blasted in the media and press about Covid symptoms and one can't help notice that they are pretty much identical to the range of symptoms from the common cold, a bad cough flu and possibly Covid. This means that anyone with any one of these diseases and who has been terrified by the health terrorists in the government is naturally going to think they have Covid and rush off to the hospital where they will naturally say that they think they have Covid. Who can blame them? Perhaps this is one source of the "Covid" confirmation. The second main source is the PCR Test for Covid. It has been pointed out many times to government officials and the media that this test is completely unreliable and is next to useless. It has a huge false positive rate and is unlikely to distinguish between someone with a Common Cold and Covid. And there is a good reason for that. The Common Cold virus is a member of the Corona Virus family and shares practically all of the genes. A previous article here: http://www.indymedia.ie/article/107633 has already covered the story on the recent research paper a few months back by 10 leading scientists pointing out how useless and totally unreliable the PCR test. Indeed the original inventor of the PCR method, Larry Mullis winner of Nobel Prize for medicine said many times before he died that this test should NEVER been used in a medical setting as it is more of a research tool to be used in extreme care. So we more than likely have a casedemic but the increasing hospitalizations appear to give credibility to it so long as people are not made aware of this annual increase every winter. The same thing is going on in most of the other countries too.

Probing further into the above Irish Times article for this time last year, you will also see as highlighted in the screen shots a link to a separate story that reports Flu killed 44 people as hundreds wait on trolleys in hospitals. What a coincidence that a similar number die today except it is claimed they are from Covid. Once again the PCR test is central and is the "proof" that the government uses the real scientists in the scientific community that have some spine and are less worried about their careers and reputation -have proven that there is no basis to make such claims using such a test. The obvious conclusion is that sadly for these people, -one you will find probably all of them actually died from pneumonia and happen to be near the end of their lifespan already. Because this has been the case all along with Covid. And yes the odd person a good bit younger do die too. And when that happens, the media cynically use these deaths to someone imply the deaths are happening in younger age groups

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Rules to use when certifying Covid death.

The definition of a Covid death is extremely liberal and this is how they are claiming deaths possibly from other reasons as Covid deaths. In every single country the protocol on filling out a death certificate has been updated to strongly bias in favour of Covid as the leading cause. There are on average 83 deaths a day in Ireland every day, every year and they can call on these deaths and especially at this time since in January so many die of pneumonia also. Since these symptoms overlap with Covid -then they are Covid. See the screenshot here which captures the definition as described on the HSPC (Health Protection Surveillance Centre) website.

What we are not hearing about is the huge increase in suicides and many of these ARE of younger people. There has been lots of anecdotal comments on social media about a huge increase already in this country. Back in October, a report on suicides in Japan showed a huge increased in 2020 and this is attributed to Covid-19 lockdowns. For example this report Lockdown Suicides Claimed More Lives in October Than 10 Months of COVID-19 In Japan says that in just October 2020, there were 2,153 in Japan which was an increase of 600 over previous years where it had been falling for the previous five years. That represents at approximately 33%. Similar reports are coming from the US in terms of reported suicide attempts are way up. Ireland had in 2018 352 deaths which fell from a high of 552 in 2009. An increase of the order of 33% would represent at least 120 additional deaths and the real increase could be more. If we count years lost for suicide, it is a lot higher than someone who is at the end of their life.

It is alleged we are doing lockdowns to save our granny's but this is once simply emotional blackmail. Back in March after the government had locked down the country, they basically abandoned old people and threw old people from hospitals where Covid was present into nursing homes. As if that was not bad enough all through this, they have a policy of not treating the very old. Yet it has been demonstrated that Covid-19 is treatable with cheap generic drugs and the death rate can be dramatically lowered. See for example Dr De Brun's report on the mismanagement of Covid-19 in nursing homes by the government here: http://www.indymedia.ie/article/107411

The government is desperate to give the impression that somehow -in their eyes at long last -that the people dying are getting progressively younger. This is not done as a straight lie but by careful presentation of facts and figures all of which of course are completely suspect when you dig into every one of them. You will noticed they emphasize the median age of Covid cases is far younger. By saying this and then reporting deaths a few seconds later, you will automatically think the deaths are of younger people. It is imperative on everyone to do their own research and digging. And you have do spend time and not expect these things to be presented on a plate to you. More importantly, the daily HSE reports which used to give the deaths by age group in an awkard cumulative format no longer contains any breakdown of the death figures by age. This is to hide the fact that as it happen all year, the median age of death was 82. They can't have figures like that floating around while they are trying to pretend it is people in their 40s and 50s who are affected. It is time to demand that the HSE publish the death by age figures again and retrospectively too!.

So what is the point of all this? Well there are really two objectives. The first one is implied automatically by the sheer insane paranoid fear mongering panic and that is we should all gag our faces with masks that have been proven to be ineffective and to impose harsher restrictions and lockdowns. These are of course simply all police state measures and serve to destroy the economy and the very fabric of life.

The second objective is simply to scare people into taking the experimental and potentially extremely dangerous vaccines. The government here and elsewhere are well aware the cat got out of the bag in terms of the risk and danger about the vaccines. The way to solve this is simply to change people's perception of the risk and it goes like this.

Suppose someone said you have a 2.6% chance of very serious side effects from a vaccine or a 0.1% chance of ending up in hospital due to Covid. Clearly the Covid chance is smaller so why would you risk the vaccine? Most people wouldn't. But if your perception is changed and the figures are now and 20% chance of ending up in hospital due to Covid, then the vaccine is clearly lower risk and people would opt for it. Note the way this is setup. It is either the Vaccine or Covid. And that is what the government has done. They don't want any mention of other forms of treatment and there is practically zero discussion on how to boost your own immune system and make yourself generally healthier overall. And yet you can easily do that.

Before discussing this any further, it is worth saying something about mutant strains of Covid or anything else for that matter. Every year there are mutant strains of the Flu, of the Common Cold and practically any other virus you care to mention. In fact, all viruses are constantly mutating and from the minute a new virus or rather strain of virus appears it will mutate. So all this talk of new mutant strains is simply to scare people. The mutant strains have been there from day one most likely. The word mutant itself especially in our culture tends to conjure up the idea of horror movies from Hollywood featuring such things. This is not the actual reality. The human body and every other living thing has been dealing with mutant strains for eons. This media hype is just that.

However the hype serves a purpose and that is. People at some level know that Covid for the past year has largely affected the very old and vulnerable as the average age of death is 82. The role of the news of the mutant strain is to make the public think it is (of course) worse AND it affects younger people. What this does is change the risk perception between the Vaccine and Covid so that the public think whatever the risks with the Vaccine, the Covid ones are worse. And since every single media outlet, Big Tech social media outfit, government news, corporate news, politician, health bureaucrats and medical official more interested in their reputation and career than your health, -every one of these people are screaming every day for YOU to just take the vaccine and it is implied that this madness and the lockdowns will end.

But if you probe further, you find that people like Matt Hancock in the UK government suggest we might need a vaccine every 6 months. If you check with the media, and airlines and say http://www.healthpassportireland.ie/ you find them pushing Health Passport Europe where in this new abnormal you won't be able to go anywhere without taking the vaccine. In China already in 100 cities you can't even take a taxi with one of these things. This new health passport should be called: The Passport to Tyranny

Yet still we find hints and announcements that the so called miracle vaccines do not in fact protect those at most risk from Covid from being affected by it. Surely that is the whole point of the vaccine.

And on and on it goes. Even the so called 95% efficiency of the vaccine is very suspect once you dig into the studies and get behind the figures as to how they categoriszed people with and without Covid.

If you want to start digging into the propaganda to figure it out for yourself, see the list of links on this page here: http://www.indymedia.ie/campaigns

T - Sat Dec 12, 2020 22:57
Back in September the government announced they were planning to vaccinate up to 750,000 people, mostly children with a new nasal vaccine spray. I suppose a spray seems less dangerous and frightening than a needle. There was a major push this year by the pharmaceutical companies through their lackeys in the government and press to urge people to take it and on back of the constant fear campaign since last March, it seems to have been highly effective. We are supposed to believe that this is all for the benefit of us all and the fact that anyone is making money out of it is just an outrageous thing to suggest. Nor should it be mentioned in polite company that the pharmaceutical companies are NOT liable for any vaccine injuries and you have to take any case you have, against the government. This nice little arrangement has been in place for years and is the envy of all manufacturers of all and anything.
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Back in September the government announced they were planning to vaccinate up to 750,000 people, mostly children with a new nasal vaccine spray. I suppose a spray seems less dangerous and frightening than a needle. There was a major push this year by the pharmaceutical companies through their lackeys in the government and press to urge people to take it and on back of the constant fear campaign since last March, it seems to have been highly effective. We are supposed to believe that this is all for the benefit of us all and the fact that anyone is making money out of it is just an outrageous thing to suggest. Nor should it be mentioned in polite company that the pharmaceutical companies are NOT liable for any vaccine injuries and you have to take any case you have, against the government. This nice little arrangement has been in place for years and is the envy of all manufacturers of all and anything.

Related Links: Flu away: Scientists baffled at disappearance of influenza... but is it really gone, or just masked by Covid-19? | The Influenza Vaccine and COVID-19 | 101 suspected flu shot deaths reported in South Korea | Ineffective flu vaccine added to 50,000 extra deaths last winter, ONS says | Brain-Damaged UK Victims of Swine Flu Vaccine to Get £60 Million Compensation | Over $4 Billion Paid for Vaccine Injuries and Deaths | Did a Military Experimental Vaccine in 1918 Kill 50-100 Million People Blamed as ?Spanish Flu??
US ? UK Intel Agencies Declare Cyber War on Independent Media: British and American state intelligence agencies are ?weaponizing truth? to quash vaccine hesitancy as both nations prepare for mass inoculations, in a recently announced ?cyber war? to be commanded by AI-powered arbiters of truth against information sources that challenge official narratives.


We are often told the vaccine is not only safe but effective. But what does this really mean as they are always qualified statements when you go to the trouble of investigating even though if you should ask questions then you are vilified and labelled an "anti-vaxxer" for doing so. This term basically means you are incredibly evil and selfish and should be locked away for life. Oddly, it can also cause you to be labelled right-wing as well. Another message put out this Autumn was that by getting the Flu vaccine this year you will help with the Covid war by freeing up beds that might be taken up by flu patients and many have worried about getting flu and Covid together. This is part of the do your citizens duty narrative. Wear the green jersey and all of that.

As always the mainstream media rarely gives you any decent context to what they are saying and government officials portray themselves as saintly figures who are simply serving the people and constantly attentive to their needs. While corruption, greed, lying and scandals used to be the norm; not any more. Ever since the official arrival of Covid back in March -even though it is now agreed it was present months earlier, everyone has dropped their guard and hangs on every word of government officials and obediently follows their dictates even to the point of destroying their own livelihoods and giving up their freedoms. Still though, they are only just protecting us. And there is no government opposition either. It has vanished, only competitor parties urging even more restrictive and longer lockdowns and other measures.

This year has been the first year in Ireland that such a massive number of children have taken the flu vaccine. The first question is how many children die of flu every year and the answer as always depends who and how you are countering. If you go to Irish Government Central Statistics Office death figures and drill down you will find a few deaths per year for people under 25 under the classification of flu and pneumonia but the fact is that anyone dying of anything at that sort of young age nearly always has an underlying condition. So those types of deaths are the exception not the rule. We can take it that practically no child dies of flu because if they did, they would be screaming about it at the top of their voice. Funny enough in it?s day, TB killed many a young person. Now that was a real tragedy.

Here is a basic fact which makes sense really. Very old people tend to have declining immune systems that do not work as well they did and those systems often over react often in terms of inflammatory response. Very sick people with underlying conditions also tend to have weakened immune systems. Both of these groups of people have a much higher chance of dying of any disease they might get. Vaccinating these people is often ineffective and even dangerous because a) any immunity they might get is not very effective and b) they can react very badly to any "challenge" -i.e. vaccine to their body and set off serious inflammatory response resulting in all sorts of unnecessary complications and stress.

We come back around though, to the question, why the urgency to flu vaccinate all the children if they are not dying from flu? Apparently it is to protect their granny. Ii is well know that on sinking ships, you put woman and children in the lifeboats first which is another way of saying, we never sacrifice the young for the old. Yet here we are vaccinating the young in a giant experiment for the old and gagging them with masks in school for Covid too. It is as plain as day they will want to continue these mass flu shots next year and that's before we even start with Covid vaccines. If you scale this up to the whole of Europe, we are talking about billions of euro annually.

So it appears the safest people to vaccinate are the healthy ones, but now we must be absolutely sure that the damage we are preventing is not less than the damage we might create via injurious side effects. The vaccine companies say they are safe because they are "tested" to be safe. First off the testing is usually done by the maker. There is zero independent testing and they don't encourage it either. Second you would imagine when they say it is ?tested? that they test vaccinated and unvacinated groups and then track them for a few years across a broad range of health factors to see how they got on. Well this does not happen at the level you would expect. There have been almost no trials of this type. In many of the tests, patients are at most only monitored for a few weeks to months. Never longer than 3 months. There have been numerous cases where the "additive" called the adjuvant, is given to the control group while the vaccinated ones get the adjuvant + the attenuated virus. The trouble is many of the problems have come from the adjuvant. The purpose of the adjuvant is to give your immune system the kick to make it react to the attenuated virus and to do that it is frequently something that irritates your immune system. The list of substances and chemicals that act as adjuvants could fill a whole book and it is suffice to say that pharmaceuticals have often been shy and investigators shocked at what has been found at times. In the good old days, they even added an organic compound containing mercury called thimerosal as a preservative. So part of the pharmas testing scam would be to say the vaccinated group had no more side effects than the control group. But the control group is not a real control group if it contains the adjuvant. In the data sheet for the flu vaccine one of the control groups got another vaccine for Hep B. Not exactly a control group is it? There was a case years ago when several kids died in the control which were getting the adjuvants and vaccinated group but since there were no extra ones, they deemed it safe. This is only to illustrate the types of things they get up to and to get you to think about the sort of questions you need to ask about any of their trials.

It comes down to this. You cannot trust anything they say. You have to query every single statement they make and dig into the background and tease out exactly how they came up with the figures. And the more people decide to do that, their reaction will be to be more deceptive. The good news is that since nobody is asking questions it is quite easy to find holes in all their material but it is being removed fast now because as a result of Covid, people are beginning to ask questions and the answers aren't pretty or re-assuring. And forget about searching anything with Google. For starters use something like www.duckduckgo.com search engine instead. Wikipedia has also been totally hijacked. You have to be focused and determined. All the official health sites like most official institutes have been cleansed of anything that says other than vaccines are safe. If you are in any position of influence, it is a career ending move to do otherwise. That's why officialdom in all forms uniformly carries the same message. And medical science is dominated by the influence of big pharma since they make sure to hand out research money widely. People tend to look around to what others say and go with the crowd. This works when the crowd is independent not when they are mostly bought off or comprised in some way. And really the only thing that matters is whether the science backs it up. Have they done it properly or was the scope of the investigation too narrow? Big pharma know they don't have the actual science to back up their claims thats why they hand out so much money to researchers, to buy them off and be in a position to block scientific publications that expose them and their crimes.

The Vaccine train has got so powerful now that Britain's ministry of defence had a press release recently to announce they were going to shutdown and remove material (using their Cyber defence capabilities) that criticize vaccines and question the narrative. Facebook, Google and Youtube announced they would remove all material critical of vaccines. So much for freedom of speech then. What other product does anyone sell that requires such powerful backing, along with financial incentives for doctors. And why such backing? Why are they so afraid of questions? If they really are safe then be scientific and open about it. When I say scientific, I don't mean paying off some professor to intone on us ?to just take the vaccine?, I mean the presentation of long term peer reviewed studies by independent researchers and institutes that don't rely on their research funding from pharmaceutical companies. The only trouble is they are far and few at this stage.

We are told the flu vaccine is effective. Is it really? What does that mean? In many instances effectiveness of a vaccine is determined by whether it produces an antigen response to the injected or inhaled virus particle or fragment. It does not follow automatically that you are immune to it, yet that is what one would automatically assumes it means. They do at least acknowledge that their vaccines only work against certain strains of flu which they try to predict for each year. You would expect in countries where flu vaccination is widespread there are less flu death and hospitalizations. This is not the case. Sure they will say otherwise, but over the longterm there are not the reductions they claim. On the contrary there is evidence to suggest that repeated flu vaccinations result in you having a more severe reaction to the flu when we get a bad flu year. See Box 1.

Box 1:

Source: https://homevaccineeducationnetwork.com/flu-vaccine-and-covid-19

The Flu Shot: Never Supported by Science

In 1972, Dr. John Anthony Morris reported his research findings on the influenza vaccine to his superiors at the FDA. A distinguished doctor and government researcher, Dr. Morris had been commissioned 13 years earlier to scientifically justify the FDA's plans to widely expand the flu vaccination program. To his expectant audience, however, his results were thoroughly disappointing. Dr. Morris reported that the flu shot provided no measurable net benefit, in part because the injected product failed to stimulate antibody production in the lungs, thus allowing for viral replication in this sensitive area. It was later realized that the lack of benefit also derives from the flu shot's ability to increase vulnerability to viruses not covered in the shot, including unmatched strains of flu and different respiratory viruses dangerous in their own right. Dr. Morris' finding of no net benefit of the influenza vaccine has been repeatedly verified with contemporary data, including a study by iSimonsen et al. (2005) that found that the large increase in flu vaccination of the elderly between 1980 and 2001 failed to decrease flu season mortality, and a study in Britain which found that the vast increase in flu shot uptake by those who had just turned 65 (vs. those who were just a bit younger) provided no decline in hospitalizations or deaths.


Corruption, Not Public Health

Given the powerful results of Dr. Morris' research, the flu vaccine's only perk could be to line the pockets of Big Pharma, and should have been regulated out of existence. Unfortunately, the cozy relationship between the FDA, CDC, and the pharmaceutical industry, well documented today, is not a new phenomena. Instead of reconsidering the vaccination program Dr. Morris' supervisors swiftly closed his laboratory and blocked publication of his results. Breathing a sigh of relief that good science would not be placed in the way of good profits, Big Pharma continued pushing for expansion of the flu shot market. Even if there wasn't a huge benefit in ordinary years, they argued, it was important to have manufacturing in place in order to churn out large quantities of vaccine quickly to save the world during the next serious pandemic (History of Vaccines, by Arthur Allen).

The Flu Shot Makes A Flu Pandemic - Worse?

Enter 2009, the first major flu pandemic to occur after mass influenza vaccination had become a reality. Big pharma did indeed heroically turn out millions of doses of pandemic influenza vaccine. Unfortunately, most of the doses did not become available to the general public until after the pandemic was nearly over. In addition there was the inconvenient finding that individuals who had obediently taken the seasonal flu vaccine the year before were more likely to develop pandemic influenza illness that was medically attended. Public health experts were shocked by these findings but kept their lips sealed as Big Pharma and their sponsored government agencies used the public spotlight on the flu in 2009 as a springboard to push for an even larger flu vaccination program. For the first time the flu vaccine was recommended for every American citizen, especially children, who by 2020 were the largest consumers of the shot despite lack of evidence of benefit and the mercury that was allowed to remain in the vaccine.

The Flu Shot Promotes Other Viruses

As alluded to above, 2009 was not an anomaly; the flu shot routinely increases the rate of infection with other pathogens, negating any benefits of the shot. While many of the studies of this phenomena worked with patients who had freely chosen whether or not to take the flu shot, (Dierig et al., 2014), one study met the gold standard of a blinded, randomized, placebo controlled trial (Cowling et al., 2012). While it has been generally hypothesized that the mechanism of the increase in non-flu illnesses is viral interference - the observation that illness with one virus may block others - it was found by Riken et al. (2018) that the increase in non-flu infections starts in the first 14 days after receipt of the flu vaccine, before any immunity to the flu has developed. This indicates that like the DTP vaccine and other innactivated pathogen vaccines, the vaccine engenders non-specific immune system changes which increase vulnerability to certain other infections. Most of the studies on the flu vaccine have focused on children, or found statistically significant results only in children, however one study to find an affect in adults found that while the flu shot appeared to offer cross protection against certain pathogens for this population, the vulnerability to several other pathogens, including coronavirus, was specifically increased. This study was with regards to "old" coronaviruses, not COVID-19. The potential of the flu shot to fuel COVID-19, however, was firmly established, and, as we demonstrated above, can now clearly be seen in the COVID data.

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Could the flu shot be related to "long COVID"?
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Dr. Peter Aaby discusses how vaccines can cause
higher susceptibiliy to non-targeted
illnesses (non-specific effects)
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Do vaccines ever save lives ? Learn about
how many vaccines have simply caused
one illness to be replaced by another.

In the case of children, if and when they get their first real flu usually at a relatively young age, it builds their immune system and gives them protection across a range of viruses. Giving the flu vaccine to them can interfere with that processes and lead them to be actually more vulnerable because their immune system has worked itself through the full infection sequence. It's like this. When you are young you need to be constantly stimulated with all sorts of diseases in order for your immune system to grow and mature. Absolutely nobody would suggest you take a new born children and place them in a plastic bubble tent and isolate them from the environment indefinitely. And if you did, the longer they were in it, the greater the risk they would drop dead of the first disease that hit them when they stepped out. Humans are mammals and we all have more or less the same immune system and we have been evolving for 60 to 70 millions, strangely enough without the pharmaceutical companies there to save us. It would be fair to say that mother nature has been doing a brilliant job so far and our own well adapted complex immune systems are up to the task thank you very much. What does matter though is that we have healthy bodies which is a key part of a proper functioning immune system and this is part and parcel of being healthy. This is why things like clean water, decent housing, sewage systems, waste disposal, basic hygiene, good wholesome nutritious food (not junk food) are by far the most important factors contributing to that. In this high tech world where we are told we are on the path of infinite progress and all tech things are cool, we are misled to believe that vaccines are part of that progress narrative and somehow we have not only out-smarted nature but we have gone one better and in effect engineered our immune systems to be even stronger than before. The trouble is much as we want it to be true, it isn't.

Now to some of the more grubby aspects of this vaccine rollout. How many people realize (according to the Irish Medical Organisation, IMO) that for every flu vaccine a GP doctors gives to a child they get €15 and €10 if it is an adult. Not only that, for every 10 children they vaccinate they get a bonus of €150 and a bonus €100 for 10 adults. No wonder GPs are so keen to give the jab. Why you ask should it be higher for children given they are healthier? Is it all about getting creating habits and lifelong customers? And remember if there are any injuries caused by the vaccine, the liability is with the government, NOT the pharmaceutical companies and it is a very difficult processes to get compensation when injuries do occur, although some people manage to get through the process. And even though it might be free to get the nasal flu vaccine in the school yard, the government pays the vaccines companies for every single dose. We have to be reminded yet again, they are not in it for the money, just the virtue or so they would have you believe.

It is time to ponder the ugly side of all this. One can assume that by now most of those who planned on taking the flu vaccine have got it already. If your child has it, you have to ask yourself were you bamboozled by the media, peer pressure and fear and did you just accept everything at face value? What if this has side effects that will take months or years to unfold. How do you know they haven't sterilized your child? You don't. Bill Gates says the world population needs to fall to about 1 billion and many other reach and powerful people are saying the same. Do you know thousands of Kenyan teenage girls were sterilized during a Tetanus vaccine trial. How does that happen? This was no accident and was probably a covert trial run for something bigger. How do you know your child is not going to end up chronically sick? Did you know that in the US, the out of the total amount of money paid out for vaccine injuries, most goes to flu vaccine cases? Ask yourself the question, did you go along with taking the flu vaccine because everyone else did and you didn't want to ask questions or seem awkward or outside the group? Were you made to feel guilty to even think those thoughts? Humans have an incredibly strong innate tendency to co-operate with the group. It is part of our evolution and in general we punish harshly non co-operators. Has it occurred to you that many large international corporations worth hundreds of billions with deep connections to media conglomerates and who shape and control public opinion (social media?) and essentially control governments through public opinion and back-handers, might have co-opted that innate behaviour and trust for their own benefit. Ridiculous you might say.

The reason they are using kids to promote the wider notion and acceptance of vaccines, particurlary with the Covid ones lined is an effort to by pass logical reasoning and pull at emotional strings which work much better and are far more easily manipulated. A good example recently was on RTE's (Ireland's national TV broadcaster) Late Late Toy Show watched by an estimated 1.9 million and which featured sketches where children were exploited to promote the Pfizier Covid vaccine. It was perhaps one of the lowest points ever reached in crass commercialism by RTE. Perhaps there have been others.

T - Sun Oct 18, 2020 00:28
A brief analysis using HSPC's own stats to show there is no need for panic

The country is in the grip of Covid-19 fear. The public have been frightened using manipulative figures and by emphasis on case numbers which are meaningless. Many are very concerned and know we face economic ruin and worry about the future. Mental health issues are widespread and critical. People are only reluctantly agreeing to any of this out of fear and want the whole thing to end. The media, politicians, and the medical bureaucrats with conflicts of interest have been criminal in their actions and the Left has attempted to hijack the fear to shamelessly pretend they are protecting workers when they are simply acting as shrills for multi-national Pharmaceutical & vaccine industry and thereby pushing the agenda of the Great Reset promoted by the World Economic Forum (WEF) who are the voice of the global capitalist oligarchy. Not only that anyone with a different opinion is accused as being right-wing and racist and while indeed elements on the right are have taken an position against the official narrative, it is disingenuous and arrogant of the Left to label people as being somehow misled as well as anti-science when the official narrative is being blatantly fraudulent in the way they try to wear the cloak of scientific respectively but instead are tarnishing it's reputation. We have been hearing for the last two or three weeks that cases are rising exponentially and it all seems out of control. It appears the number of deaths is rising and the media seem to be reporting the country's hospital ICU capacity is about to be over run. The government's own figures show this is not actually the case.

As we speak the government cabinet is due to meet to decide whether to put the whole country in lockdown for a massive 6 weeks at Level 5 which is basically a full lockdown. NPHET have been strongly advising for this to happen for the last two or three weeks and when the government refused to put the country in lockdown a week or two ago, NPHET were furious that their minions in the government did not follow their orders. It remains to be seen whether government ministers will like bold children repent and obey NPHET orders.

In this brief report we take the government's or rather the Health Preventive Surveillance Centre, HPSC, figures to show that the impression of out of control Covid and soaring death rate is not actually happening and there is no need for heightened fear or lockdown.


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Cases / detections are rising but death barely.
No need for Level 5

The country is in the grip of Covid-19 fear. The public have been frightened using manipulative figures and by emphasis on case numbers which are meaningless. Many are very concerned and know we face economic ruin and worry about the future. Mental health issues are widespread and critical. People are only reluctantly agreeing to any of this out of fear and want the whole thing to end. The media, politicians, and the medical bureaucrats with conflicts of interest have been criminal in their actions and the Left has attempted to hijack the fear to shamelessly pretend they are protecting workers when they are simply acting as shrills for multi-national Pharmaceutical & vaccine industry and thereby pushing the agenda of the Great Reset promoted by the World Economic Forum (WEF) who are the voice of the global capitalist oligarchy. Not only that anyone with a different opinion is accused as being right-wing and racist and while indeed elements on the right are have taken an position against the official narrative, it is disingenuous and arrogant of the Left to label and shame people who are against the (ineffective) masks and restrictions as being somehow misled and anti-science when they side with Orwellian Big Tech who censor and silence real doctors and scientists trying to get their voice out to counter the official narrative. With that backdrop in mind, at the same time, we have been hearing for the last two or three weeks that cases are rising exponentially and it all seems out of control. It appears the number of deaths is rising and the media seem to be reporting the country's hospital ICU capacity is about to be over run and we are in some sort of deadly "2nd wave" which they long hoped for. The government's own figures show this is not actually the case at all and it is all smoke and mirrors.

As we speak the government is due to meet to decide whether to put the whole country in lockdown for a massive 6 weeks at Level 5 which is basically a full lockdown. NPHET have been strongly advising for this to happen for the last two or three weeks and when the government refused to put the country in lockdown a week or two ago, NPHET were furious that their minions in the government did not follow their orders. It remains to be seen whether government ministers will like bold children repent and obey NPHET orders.

In this brief report we take the government's or rather the Health Preventive Surveillance Centre, HPSC, figures to show that the impression of out of control Covid and soaring death rate is not actually happening and there is no need for heightened fear or lockdown.

Related Links: 5 Charts That Show Sweden?s Strategy Worked. The Lockdowns Failed | Medical doctor warns that ?bacterial pneumonias are on the rise? from mask wearing | Thousands of the world?s top scientists are finally speaking out against lockdowns. Let?s pray it?s not too little, too late | Urgent Questions on Restrictions In The Public Interest | HIQA Says Covid deaths in Ireland over-estimated. Likely figure lower by 500+ | Australian Politician Calls for Criminal Trials of Health Bureaucrats who Banned Hydroxychloroquine as COVID Cure | Ex-Chief Science Officer for Pfizer: ?Second Wave? Likely Conjured Up by Flawed Test, ?Pandemic Is Over? | Report on Protest Against Oppressive Government Restrictions and Mandates in Dublin (22nd August 2020) | https://lockdownsceptics.org/what-sage-got-wrong/


The daily reports going from the HPSC since the start have been misleading. You can find any of their daily reports online at https://www.gov.ie and in all of these reports they promote the number of cases and most of their tables and graphs are of cases. You have to look hard to find anything about deaths. Yet surely the whole point and fear is death. That is the thing that counts. Not cases. Attached is one of their reports from Oct 16th as a PDF.

We are regularly told that 80% of those who get Covid have basically no symptoms. This does not mean the other 20% die or end up in hospital. It means they have symptoms such a cold, fever, aches and so forth. A much smaller percent end up in hospital and an even smaller percent end up death.

A lot of testing is triggered because people are using the Covid-App and whenever an alert is generated all those tracked and who were briefly in contact with the person are generally asked to take a test. It follows that if 80% have no symptoms, then more or less the same number who test positive also have no symptoms. This should calm people down to know then that even if 1,000 test positive, 800 of these people probably have NO symptoms.

Separately there is the issue of the test itself which is based on the PCR method which was invented by Nobel Prize winner Kary Mullis (who died last year) and had strongly advised that this method of DNA testing should NOT be used in a medical setting for a variety of reasons due to extreme sensitivity to contamination and risk of false positives and negatives. Thus the test is not very reliable.

The second point is that this test is probably picking up fragments of the shattered virus from people who had infections anything from weeks to months ago. It is also known to trigger positives against other corona-viruses. The common cold is a corona-virus and potentially could lead to a false positve So in order words all this constant presentation of case numbers is meaningless and the associated scare mongering completely unjustified. And at the moment, there is a common cold doing the rounds and many have caught it despite all the social distancing in place. Are we to expect that somehow the social distancing is working for Covid? The true facts are that the vast majority of people were probably long ago exposed to Covid and since the scale of testing has now been ramped up to a massive 10,000 test per day, all that those cases are measuring are previous exposures..

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So now lets look at the figures. The first of the two graphs here is from the HPSC daily report for Oct 16th show the daily and cumulative number of cases. As you can see the number of cases is higher than it was at the height of the situation back in April. The next graph shows the daily and cumulative deaths. It is very evident there is no increase like there was in March / April, happening now.

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The third graph has superimposed these two graphs together to help put them together. One should note the vertical axis for the cases ranges from 0 to 1,000 for the cases but from 0 to 60 for deaths. So you should be looking at the shape of the curves and not their size relative to each other.

The key point and the one which should calm everyone down is that there is virtually no rise in deaths even though the so called "cases" which are really probably detections of all kinds of things are rising massively. But they are rising because they are doing a massive level of testing. It stands to reason the more tests you carry out, the more detections you will find. But the most important item of concern is whether the number of deaths has gone up. It hasn't in any meaningful way. So people need to get a grip and stop panic. What they media fail to inform you is that on average every month in Ireland, 700 people are dying from cancer. Yet we have been terrorized and brought to a standstill over a couple of Covid deaths. What is going on ?.

Media Coverage

On the 6pm RTE news this evening (Sat 17th Oct) RTE reported the following:
30 admissions to ICU and 8 deaths.

You would think then that there are 30 ICU admissions a day surely and 8 deaths but no. In fact the 8 deaths seem to be corrections made for previous months which were added to today and the 30 ICU admissions are strange but when the HPSC's own figures were analysed it shows there were 35 ICU admissions between Oct 1st and Oct 16th or just 2.2 per day ! NOT 30 per day as they imply by their underhand sly reporting

They do not tell either whether some of the people who entered ICU a week or two ago have since left. They are trying to imply we are running out of ICU beds.

Another trick they use is to say the mean age for "cases" is 34 which is probably correct. But they immediately follow that statement with death figures. The idea is once again to imply that those dying are now a mean age of 34. This is not the case. They mean for death remains the same at 80+. The fact that the mean age for "cases" is irrelevant. Practically all of these people will barely even know they have it and as stated already the test is simply recording previous exposure.

See how they used a cumulative figure to give the impression it was a daily figure. It is not.

They did the same for deaths. Again using HPSC's own figures, the author took all the reports for Oct so far which only report cumulative figures. They don't bother give daily ones which they could easily provide but they do their utmost to make it difficult to figure out. You have to work the daily rates by simply subtracting the cumulative from a given day's figures from the previous day. These are all presented in the charts below. When the analysis is done, we see 37 deaths so far in October. This implies approximately 2.3 deaths per day and NOT higher values such as this evenings 6pm news figure of 8 deaths would suggest if you weren't paying attention to what they said.. If you look at the second table below you can see the death rate per day is pretty constant and not rising to some catastrophic doom laden amount that will decimate the population.

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As stated above, the main 6pm RTE news this evening (Sat 17th Oct) said 8 deaths. But many would have missed it, but they oddly said that of these deaths 1 was from June, 2 from Sept and 5 were from Oct. Very confusing. It appears these may be a correction. The last image shows a screenshot from the government website their explanation. All very odd.

It seems there was perhaps zero deaths today so they decided to apply the correction so that it sounded like more and it sounded like things were getting out of control. But as you can see from the graph above and the figures below the deaths are up slightly and are NOT rising sharply.

At this point when you look at the graphs, tables and figures, you would have to agree that maybe focusing on the case numbers is rather futile and misleading. In addition the whole point of any lockdown is to reduce deaths and ICU admissions but the figures show neither of these are increasing in any meaningful way.

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What does happen every year is that as the winter arrives the number of people who are admitted to hospital / ICU and or who die, goes up anyhow and the slight increase we see is simply part of this normal annual occurence.

The question we are left with then is why are locking down and why can't the mainstream media present the analysis here?



Update: Some People under 65 Die from Covid. They do too with Flu

While most of the people who die from Covid are in the "old age" bracket as emphaised here. When you get to old age, your immune system is failing and lots of things can get you. You can't change that fact. The media tries hard to give the impression that Covid-19 is a threat to people in all age brackets and when someone in say their 40s or 50s they make much mileage of it. All deaths are tragic. However all diseases, including cancer, heart conditions (e.g heart attacks) kill people in their 30s, 40s and 50s well before their time. You would think listening to the media Covid-19 is the first disease in the world to do this and it is because of this, it is special and we need to lockdown, commit economic suicide and somehow get to zero cases. You cannot wipe it out. It is here for good.

The figures below from the CSO are deaths from flu and pneumonia in Ireland by age for 2017. It will be seen clearly as circled in red, that quite a few people between the age of 35 and 75 die from either flu and a common complication of it, pneumonia each year. And same for a even smaller number under age 35. This happens every year. And it is now happening with Covid-19 too. You will never get this context in the mainstream media or from the shrills promoting the vaccines. We had vaccines for years from flu and people still die from it.

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1 of indy - Sat Aug 29, 2020 00:33
Protest Report and Highlighting of Key Figures
Breaking News. Not reported by mainstream media or RTE. The Berlin rally against Covid-19 restrictions on Aug 1st had 1.3 million people turn up !!!! -How come we never heard about this? At the rally for 29th Aug, there are 2 million expected
This is a report back from Health Freedom Ireland (HFI) on the protest organised by HFI in conjunction with the Yellow Vests at the Customs House Dublin on Aug 22nd. Given Covid is about the only thing in the news these days and happens to be the single most important issue of our time because of the way civil liberties have been taken away from the bulk of humanity, it is therefore prudent we give it the proper coverage and not the biased negative spin from the mainstream media.

Large numbers (estimated at around 6k) turned up for the peaceful protest against oppressive government restrictions and mandates over COVID-19 on Saturday, August 22nd at Customs House, Dublin.

The non-political event was organised by Health Freedom Ireland and Yellow Vest Ireland to voice concerns regarding government mandates, demanding transparency, proportionality of decisions and accountability by government officials and advisors.
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Breaking News. Not reported by mainstream media or RTE. The Berlin rally against Covid-19 restrictions on Aug 1st had 1.3 million people turn up !!!! -How come we never heard about this? At the rally for 29th Aug, there are 2 million expected
This is a report back from Health Freedom Ireland (HFI) on the protest organised by HFI in conjunction with the Yellow Vests at the Customs House Dublin on Aug 22nd. Given Covid is about the only thing in the news these days and happens to be the single most important issue of our time because of the way civil liberties have been taken away from the bulk of humanity, it is therefore prudent we give it the proper coverage and not the biased negative spin from the mainstream media.

Large numbers (estimated at around 6k) turned up for the peaceful protest against oppressive government restrictions and mandates over COVID-19 on Saturday, August 22nd at Customs House, Dublin.

The non-political event was organised by Health Freedom Ireland and Yellow Vest Ireland to voice concerns regarding government mandates, demanding transparency, proportionality of decisions and accountability by government officials and advisors.

Details of next Rally on Oct 3rd: here and here Coverage London and Berlin protest Aug 29th: here and here
Previous Indymedia Covid Coverage Links: Putting the Corona Virus Numbers in Context | Big Tech and Their Growing Political Power in Todays World | The Economy After the Covid Lockdown | Time to Act. Erosion of Fundamental Freedoms - Campaign to Fight back | SCANDAL! Anthony Fauci has been Mass Murdering People for Decades! Prevented AIDS Patients from Receiving Life-saving Cheaper Drug | Release of the Film Plandemic and it is available for free. | "Bill Gates We Are Not Your Lab Rats!" Africans Protest COVID Vaccine Trials Among Poor | Breaking News: Covid deaths in Ireland over-estimated. Likely figure lower by 500+ | Dr. Meryl Nass Discovers Hydroxychloroquine Experiments Were Designed to Kill COVID Patients ? How Many Were Murdered? | Pharmaceutical Industry is the Leading Cause of Death in U.S., and the Largest Criminal Group in the World | Dr. Judy Mikovits and Dr. Sherri Tenpenny: A New COVID Vaccine Could Kill 50 Million People in the U.S. | Ryanair CEO Michael O'Leary ridicules Government restrictions and calls for 'unnecessary' lockdown to end | Italy Says 96% of Virus Fatalities Suffered From Other Illnesses | Vaxxed Film Reveals Deaths and Injuries Caused by Vaccines by Interviewing the Victims - Gardasil Vaccine the Worst? | Whistleblowing ex-World Bank economist Peter Koenig and Jeff Brown of China RIsing Discuss Corona Biowar | Rolling Covid-19 Health Information | Rolling Covid-19 Videos of Interest | COVID-19: Rolling Out a ?New Era? of High-Risk, Genetically Engineered Vaccines | California Doctors Make the Case for Lockdown End, Get Pulled Down by YouTube After Hitting 6 Million in 5 Days | Rolling Covid-19 Police State Lockdown Resistance Coverage | Photo Essay of Dublin's Sandycove Beach and Forty Foot in Lockdown


Expert speakers in attendance on behalf of Health Freedom Ireland were:

  • Prof. Dolores Cahill, (Multi award winning Molecular Biologist and Immunologist holding the position of Full professor of Translational Services at UCD School of Medicine), who pioneered research in her field at the Max-Planck-Institute of Molecular Genetics in Berlin, Germany and has served as expert in the EU Commission for over 20 years.
  • Dr Marcus De Brun MD (Biologist and practising GP), who resigned from the Irish Medical Council (and here in protest over the government's handling of COVID-19 in nursing homes earlier this year.
  • Una Mc Gurk (Barrister & Senior Counsel) spoke about the impact of mandating masks without conclusive evidence and made an argument for why PCR tests should not be used as diagnostic tools.

The Yellow Vest Ireland speakers were:

  • Ben Gilroy, anti-eviction and civil rights activist who spoke about constitutional rights.
  • Michael Leahy, speaking as a human rights and mental health advocate focused on the impact of serious mental health issues such as suicide.
  • Ken Duffy motivational and education speaker and mental health advocate, spoke about human rights and homelessness in Ireland.
  • Paul Gough is a realist who started recording current commentary videos on the YouTube channel DiYShow to counter and compliment the one-sided media reporting around the COVID-19 situation.
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Video on Facebook https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=1546126392226911&extid=lK8uVARaM7GX3Coj
Moving speech by Co-Chair Maeve Murran & Ceremony of Light

Maeve Murran kicked off the event with a moving speech. She provided the number of deaths from all causes obtained via FOI from the General Registrar's Office (GRO) ending with a poignant ceremony of light and minute of silence for all who died. Maeve informed those in attendance that there had been 13449 all-cause deaths from January to May this year. This represents less than the average all-cause death figure for the same period over the last five years according to official GRO death certification figures.

The minute of silence was followed by a beautiful rendition of Nessun Dorma.

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?I might not agree with everything you have to say but I will defend to the death your right to say it?

Brian Rose freedomplatform.tv

In this spirit Health Freedom Ireland invited the speakers on the day to give their perspectives on the current situation. We applaud them for their courage to speak their truth at a time when it is challenging to do so.


Some key points on the day were:

  • Dolores Cahill pointed out that there is a huge discrepancy between how we treat this infectious disease (COVID-19) and other high consequence infectious diseases2 like Tuberculosis (TB). TB kills 1.5 million people per year worldwide (WHO statistics). To date the COVID-19 death rate is 819,430 worldwide and rapidly decreasing. This in comparison does not warrant a lockdown and destruction of our economy, communities, health screening...
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  • Prof. Cahill pointed out that there are proven treatments which can be used as a preventative and treatment when started in the early stages. These include Hydroxychloroquine in combination with Zinc and Azithromycin and a steroid treatment which can help prevent deaths. Also focusing on supporting one?s immune system with good nutrition and adequate Vitamins D & C can lead to better long term outcomes.
  • Dr. Marcus DeBrun called for an independent inquiry into the government?s mismanagement of the COVID-19 situation in nursing homes where most of the deaths occurred. We have an obligation to seek justice for the elderly who died in nursing homes alone.
  • Una McGurk asked why the government was mandating masks without adequate scientific evidence for efficacy of mask wearing by the healthy public. Currently, the WHO website reads: ?At present, there is no direct evidence (from studies on COVID-19 and in healthy people in the community) on the effectiveness of universal masking of healthy people in the community to prevent infection with respiratory viruses, including COVID-19.?3
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  • This point was corroborated by Dr. DeBrun who reminded us that the government is aware that the recommendation for mask wearing by the healthy public is not evidence-based as pointed out by their independent advisor Prof. Carl Heneghan4 on 13th of August this year at the DÁIL ÉIREANN Special Committee on Covid-19 Response.
  • Ken Duffy shared with us that more homeless people have died on the streets this year, compared to the previous two years. 11 homeless died in the last month alone which is more than the number of COVID deaths for the same period. Through his powerful and personal account he demonstrated how it is possible to become homeless through no fault of your own. Keeping small businesses closed for months on time, people losing their jobs and livelihoods and a continuation of evictions will undoubtedly lead to more homelessness.

"Can homelessness be fixed? Absolutely, yes, it can? it can be fixed? the money was always there, they?ve proven that... All it takes is for our government to stop ignoring homelessness, it is a crisis. It?s an Irish humanitarian crisis, people are starving and dying on our streets. The government boasted recently of having a 2bn euro rainy day fund. That would go a long, long way to solving homelessness in Ireland. How hard does it have to rain?"

Ken Duffy


And this is not the only concern regarding the government's failure to look after the safety and wellbeing of all the people of Ireland. There should be no bias in whose life is worth saving and whose life is not. Paul Gough pointed out another notable discrepancy between the government's promises and actions.

"The Irish government has lied to us again and said there would be no repossessions while the pandemic is raging. So is the pandemic over? Is that why you?re taking homes off people now?"

Paul Gough

  • Ben Gilroy spoke about the arbitrary nature of government measures in response to the COVID-19 situation with no basis in science. While some measures might have been deemed as necessary precautions in March or April when we had no information on the virus, we now know better. Examples of non evidence based recommendations are being allowed to consume a 9 EUR meal in a pub for up to 105 minutes with only 6 people per table; mandating masks in shops and not a post office; being able to congregate with a maximum of 6 people at home but 50 at a wedding.
  • Una McGurk also shared that the government?s narrative had changed from deaths and hospitalisations to rising case numbers which coincide with a rise in testing. The PCR test used to establish if someone is COVID-19 positive is not supposed to be used as a diagnostic tool. It is important to understand that positive tests do not equal active infections and that virus RNA can be detected by the PCR tests months after an infection has subsided. In addition it is not specific to COVID-19, it detects Coronavirus in general of which there are many including the common cold.

PCR detects a very small segment of the nucleic acid which is part of a virus itself. The specific fragment detected is determined by the somewhat arbitrary choice of DNA primers used which become the ends of the amplified fragment. ?

Kary Mullins (Inventor of the PCR test)

This view is supported by Kary Mullins who invented the PCR test and several other scientists who work with PCR testing in other circumstances.

?PCR is intended to identify substances qualitatively, but by its very nature is unsuited for estimating numbers. Although there is a common misimpression that the viral load tests actually count the number of viruses in the blood, these tests cannot detect free, infectious viruses at all; they can only detect proteins that are believed, in some cases wrongly, to be unique to HIV. The tests can detect genetic sequences of viruses, but not viruses themselves.?

John Lauritsen in December 1996 about HIV and AIDS

The phenomenon described by Una is referred to "casedemic" by some. Ivor Cummins explains this well:

https://thefatemperor.com/crucial-viewing-to-truly-understand-our-current-vir... function loadvideoblock_x01_FU3OibcindQ(sVideoBlockDiv) { if (sVideoBlockDiv=="videoBlock_01_FU3OibcindQ") document.getElementById(sVideoBlockDiv).innerHTML='';}

Some pertinent questions that remain unanswered were:

Why have health screenings not fully resumed yet, given that the number of hospitalised COVID-19 patients has been below 30 in the entire country since 25th of June?

Why can?t we see the government?s evidence for the continued restrictions and mask effectiveness data as well as arbitrary measures like the 9 Euro meal or recommendations on varying maximum participant numbers for different types of events?

What is the impact on the mental health of the population, especially our young and elderly?

What are the daily suicide deaths due to isolation, loss of jobs and homes?

What are the daily cancer deaths due to delayed diagnosis, screening programmes and treatments?

What evidence supports the safety of long-term mask wearing by our secondary students and workforce?

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The thousands of people attending on Saturday included many elderly people, families with young children and people of many different ethnicities who came together peacefully to learn, support each other and to voice opposition to current and pending restrictions.

The sentiment of the day was quoted aptly by one of the participants

?It was a moving day where we were educated by some of the foremost medical experts, advocates and legal professionals and also to have our voices heard. Perhaps most gratifying was how so many different individuals and groups were able to put politics aside in order to join together for this important cause.?

Protest participant

Another stated:
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On behalf of Health Freedom Ireland we would like to say:

?We are also very grateful for An Garda Síochana?s presence on the day and their involvement in restoring order. We have no association with those involved in the clash and we welcome their investigations. An Garda Síochána understand better than most our constitutional right to peaceful assembly.?

Health Freedom Ireland

What?s next for Health Freedom Ireland and how can I get involved?

We will continue to protest to preserve and protect our right to bodily autonomy and freedom to choose medical treatments.

Stay up to date on our next initiatives by following us on Twitter, Facebook and Telegram.

We would also like to encourage you to support Tracey O?Mahoney?s fundraiser to engage medical and/or scientific researchers / subject matter experts to review data and prepare papers to highlight the dangers that might be associated with eliminating or diminishing the Right to Bodily Integrity.

Thank you to everyone who joined us on the day. We appreciate your commitment to stand up for the overall health and wellbeing of the people of Ireland.


Our next rally is planned for Oct 3rd. We hope to see you there.

1 of indy - Fri May 22, 2020 00:01
Undocumented Code is notoriously error prone and buggy.
Prof Neil Ferguson who was the chief advisor to the UK government in the lead up to the Covid lockdown and was instrumental in bringing it about based his advice on the output of his own undocumented computer code he wrote 13 years ago. In the initial stages of the crisis his "model" predicted 500,000 deaths in the UK from Covid. Then a short time later, he revised his figures sharply downward and said his model now predicted to 20,000 deaths. This incidentally is the same number of deaths from flu in the UK in a typical year. So it appears to be the case that the UK has committed economic suicide based on software that no-one else could inspect in advance nor was there any independent verification. To make decisions based on this type of methodology is nothing short of criminal. And we haven't even got to the assumptions used which obviously are on equally shaky ground given one day the model was predicting 500,000 dead and then when obviously some level of correction was done, it was then only 20,000.
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Feedback from software professionals on Twitter was scathing

Prof Neil Ferguson who was the chief advisor to the UK government in the lead up to the Covid lockdown and was instrumental in bringing it about based his advice the output of his own undocumented computer code he wrote 13 years ago. In the initial stages of the crisis his "model" predicted 500,000 deaths in the UK from Covid. Then a short time later, he revised his figures sharply downward and said his model now predicted to 20,000 deaths. This incidentally is the same number of deaths from flu in the UK in a typical year. So it appears to be the case that the UK has committed economic suicide based on software that no-one else could inspect in advance nor was there any independent verification. To make decisions based on this type of methodology is nothing short of criminal. And we haven't even got to the assumptions used which obviously are on equally shaky ground given one day the model was predicting 500,000 dead and then when obviously some level of correction was done, it was then only 20,000.

Related Links: COVID 19 Is A Statistical Nonsense | The Vaunted ?R Number? the UK Is Destroying Itself Over Is Shamanic Mumbo Jumbo Not only is the data going in weak and uncertain, but even the core assumptions of the model are educated guesses subject to bias | Covid-19: Neil Ferguson, the Liberal Lyssenko | Sweden Has Covid-19 Beat, Leaving Everyone Who Locked Down With Egg on Their Face


Computer models such as Ferguson's one for the spread of disease are really just software wrapped around a few mathematical equations. If the parameters of the equation are wrong then the output will be wrong. Quite often parameters are based on initial guesses and would then ideally be checked whether the values used correspond to reality in real life.

Separately computer code is quite often error prone and simple logical errors can be often very hard to find in the thousands of lines of computer code. All software in industry will typical undergo multiple rows of hundreds of tests to ensure a piece of software is doing what it is supposed to do and even though most companies relying on software they have bought will have maintenance contracts to fix problems as they are found. The Linux software which runs nearly every web-server and back-end industrial scale piece of software is free software that can and is available for the public to see and tens of thousands of software geeks are involved. The same is true for many other common programs used like the Firefox browser.

The internet runs on software and there is an awful out there and many people make it publically available. This allows others to inspect, find and fix problems and is an very effective way of doing things. This is widespread and standard practice. In the software industry and community it is good practice to document the code and in cases where there are not strict commercial considerations, to make it available for other to see.

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Demonstration of sensitivity of exponential to inputs

Model Assumptions Can Make Huge Difference to the Model Output

Regarding the models themselves the public needs to make the effort to understand some basic things about these and that is to be very cautious and skeptical in general. The image here of the two curves is a plot of the output of a very simple exponential mathematical equation except the difference between the two of them is a k factor. All sorts of models used exponential equations in them and ones that track "growth" and "death" dynamics would also have their own equivalent of the k factor. They may even have several. These factors represent things like the infection rate or the mortality rate. In this plot we can see there is a huge difference in the output by just a small 20% change in the k factor. When people run models they often take an "educated" guess at the value of these factors because they don't know what the true value is. It is imperative that the true real world value corresponding to it is measured and to high accuracy.

In many ways this is the question that should be asked of all the models because if the assumptions are wrong and they are often are not precise enough then you will get unrealistic outputs and it is simply extremely foolish to make costly decisions based on them. However, assuming for a moment the covid thing is all a big mistake, what we have here is a bunch of academics like Ferguson and his peers who would be in key positions in the World Health Organisation (WHO) that suddenly find themselves on the world stage making decision affecting hundreds to billions of people. This leads to question whether these people were just pawns in a bigger game since once the lockdown was in place the whole thing had a momentum of it's own and there are still many willing enforcers. It is unlikely that this can be rolled back without a huge loss of face by many, reputations tarnished and that of the media too because it has been completely uncritical.

The Undocumented Software and Response by Computer Software pundits

When Neil Ferguson announced his software it clearly came as a shock to people who work professionally in software. His response was to give it to Microsoft to put a fancy web interface on it. This is the exact same as putting lipstick on a pig!. The proper thing to do would be release it to the public immediately. By giving it to Microsoft, they no doubt will be tasked with correcting all the programming errors and putting bells and whistles on it. What the public ought to demand and has a right to know is the actual software that ran when Neil Ferguson used it's output to make Covid death projections and to panic the UK government into shutting down the economy.

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There is a lot at stake here from huge financial losses, millions out of work, tens of thousands of businesses going bust and a host of other equally large knock effects. On the social side, it is now reported that up to 600 people in London alone are dying of heart attacks each week, because they are afraid to go to hospitals when normally they would go. These figures are derived from the massive drop in attendance at emergency departments from cardiac patients in hospital. Given the London population of approximately 10 million or one sixth of the country, this means about 3,600 needless deaths per week just from cardiac problems alone in the UK.

The response to Ferguson has been illuminating and revealing. Who would have thought this is what was behind the "expert" scientific models. Unfortunately the public tends to equate software with science. It is not the same thing and the science is only as good as the real world data. Yet in some ways we have to congratulate him for his honesty and openness, although . For instance here are some of the messages on Twitter but first bear in mind the following. The code was also given to github where some people will be have access to it. But what they see on github will be the modified code -i.e. refactored. It is very important to note this is NOT the original. Due to the large gaff, there is no doubt there will be every attempt to fix it up and then for supporters to chime in at how wonderful it is.

Some of the Twitter Responses


Roko Mijic @RokoMijicUK · Mar 22
(6 months later)

"A bug on line 3471 caused the model to overestimate deaths by a factor of 100. The lockdown was unnecessary

But by being in C we got a 50% performance boost!"


Roko Mijic @RokoMijicUK · Mar 23
Our society very clearly misallocates resources. A serious bug in this code would cost £ trillions yet in the past 13 years there wasn't like a whole team of the absolute best engineers getting it up to a tip-top state. I'm not blaming the researchers. It's just a crazy world.
[Update: Indy Editors note. Even if the code is perfect, the assumptions have to be correct. See image above]

CFD Direct OpenFOAM @CFDdirect Mar 23
Replying to @neil_ferguson
1/19 It is disappointing that critical decisions relating to the #COVID?19 crisis in public health and the economy rely on scientific software containing "thousands of lines of undocumented C" source code, which has never been publicly accessible. THREAD

Julia Walsh @Julia14235 · Mar 22
Replying to @tom_collings_uk and @neil_ferguson
As a systems auditor my stomach did a flip when I read ?thousands of lines of undocumented C?.

Arguably Wrong @arguablywrong Mar 23
Or --- get this --- he could have shared the code 14 years ago when he published the first paper using it.

See new Tweets Conversation 1 more reply
Stefan Karpinski @StefanKarpinski · Mar 23
Why haven?t you just immediately released the code and allowed tbe global community to dissect it and work on it? Now is not the time to be embarrassed about some code. You?re missing the power of open source to accomplish feats, especially when people are highly motivated
18 more replies

@drklausner · Mar 23
Replying to @neil_ferguson
We don?t need your code Neal we need to understand your assumptions and how are you change those assumptions overtime

Jim Rafferty @DrJimRafferty · Mar 23
We do need the code, because otherwise how will we know if the stated assumptions are implemented correctly?
Some of these response have been captured in the screenshots below as it is likely that when knowledge of this grows that it will disappear.

1 of indy - Mon Apr 27, 2020 13:35
Pre-emptive strike on the global economy

Never before in the history of the world has there been such a massive and widespread shutdown of the economy for as long as for this Covid-19 scare. As of today April 21st it has been more or less shutdown for a month and the politicians instead of doing their usual and saying we will be out of this soon are saying we need to continue it indefinitely and even when the lockdown is lifted, it will only be gradual return to normality. Clearly everyone is worried and a lot depends on how long this lockdown continues for. The question is not whether the economy both here in Ireland and globally will be damaged but more by how much. This is an important question because real lives depend on what happens in it


Here we attempt to assess where we are, what has happened and what logic dictates are some of the possible outcomes.
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Some of the scare headlines

Never before in the history of the world has there been such a massive and widespread shutdown of the economy for as long as for this Covid-19 scare. As of today April 21st it has been more or less shutdown for a month and the politicians instead of doing their usual and saying we will be out of this soon are saying we need to continue it indefinitely and even when the lockdown is lifted, it will only be gradual return to normality. Clearly everyone is worried and a lot depends on how long this lockdown continues for. The question is not whether the economy both here in Ireland and globally will be damaged but more by how much. This is an important question because real lives depend on what happens in it

Here we attempt to assess where we are, what has happened and what logic dictates are some of the possible outcomes.

Britain?s 77th Psy Ops Brigade Has Been Activated to Counter Coronavirus ?Disinformation? The British military waging information war on their own population https://www.anti-empire.com/britains-77th-psy-ops-brigade-has-been-activated-...

We?ve been involved with the Cabinet Office Rapid Response Unit, with our 77th Brigade helping to quash rumours from misinformation, but also to counter disinformation. Between three and four thousand of our people have been involved, with around twenty thousand available the whole time at high readiness.

Related Links: In London alone 600 people a week more are now dying from heart attack because they were afraid to go to hospital If Sweden Succeeds, Lockdowns Will All Have Been for Nothing | In Frenzy to Empty Hospitals for Doomsday Model Predictions UK and NY Wreaked Mass Death on Care Homes | American Billionaires Have Gotten $280 Billion Richer Since the Covid Hysteria Pandemic | Coronavirus ? The Aftermath. A Coming Mega-Depression?By Peter Koenig (ex World Bank)


The Lockdown

The lockdown, we are told is of course due to the Covid virus and to "flatten the curve". The curve, according to models using very unreliable data (rubbish in, rubbish out) and very questionable figures on mortality provided by the World Health Organisation (WHO) (-a corrupt organisation captured by the pharmaceutical industry and exposed in the documentary Trust WHO , -suggested a high number of deaths because of the projected infection and mortality rate and the prediction it would overwhelm the capacity of the health systems in each country. The WHO consistently downplayed any suggestion more people had the virus (and were fine) and the only narrative they pushed is that we should keep our economies in lockdown until a vaccine was found which it is promoting very heavily and pushing to make mandatory. This will no doubt make a fortune for the pharma industry controlling the strings of those making the decisions at the WHO.

These disease models rely on certain assumptions and inputs. If for one of these inputs you enter a given death toll and another figure specifying how many people have been exposed to the virus, it then predicts how many will die if everyone is exposed. If far more people have been exposed than acknowledged then your input is wrong. If the real figure was used, the predicted death would be far far lower. This is why in Sweden where they have almost achieved herd immunity without a lockdown, they are not all dead. However the WHO have knowingly used incorrect values because this way the models (wrongly) predict a huge spike in cases that need to be flattened from the dizzying heights projected and this allows them to justify the lockdown. Governments have followed their narrative via their chief medical officers taking instruction from the WHO. This fraud has worked because unwittingly many people including doctors do not realize how utterly corrupt the WHO are, they follow their advice. Their agenda will be discussed later. The WHO screamed at Sweden via the media to lockdown. Who the heck are the WHO to be trying to order a sovereign state like Sweden around? Thankfully they didn't follow their advice and provided an example that proves the nonesense followed elsewhere.

So far in the case of Ireland Covid-19 has led to a total of 730 deaths (Apr 21st) which is less than the typical 1,100 deaths due to flu per year in Ireland. In the UK a total of 17,337 deaths are recorded which is also less than the number of deaths due to flu in the UK which can be up to 28,000. Similar statistics bear out for other countries. Incidentally because flu deaths were so low last year everywhere and each year the flu sweeps up all the old and vulnerable, it meant this year the Covid virus had a potential population that it could easily kill and the numbers bear this out especially the median age of death which proves this.

The lockdown in the case of Ireland has shutdown first and foremost all the pubs. They are now closed for 28 days. If the pubs closed for 2 days previously, there was a national outcry and hoarding of drink. Practically all the restaurants, cafes, hotels, guest houses, bed & breakfasts, Air BnBs and furniture, clothing, book, accessories, flower, jewellery, bicycle and charity shops; hardwares, DIY stores, barbers and hairdressers, electrical retail, cinemas, threatres, concerts, schools, universities & colleges, libraries, swimming pools, gyms, sports facilities and grounds, building industry, real estate, public transport is empty except to key workers, parts of manufacturing, offices, many trades people out of work too and probably a lot more niche areas normally invisible to us.

Most visible is that air travel is for all intents and purposes shutdown. A quick glance at Flight-Radar-24 website shows that. For instance Ryanair has over 300 aircraft and almost the entire fleet is grounded. How did O' Leary agree to this? Likewise Aer Lingus, British Airways, EasyJet, Lufthansa and a long list of other airlines are grounded. Even for 9/11 this was only for 2 or 3 days. This is going on for a month now and instead of the Taoiseach or the Prime Minister in the case of the other countries saying we hope to end this soon, instead they are saying, this could go on for months and even then we might not allow groups bigger than 10. Well if a typical airplane can hold 200 to 300 people, that looks like they will either still be grounded or working in highly restricted form. This will therefore affect hotels and the entire tourism industry. Because when we are all stung with the taxes to pay for this, will people be able to afford to travel?

Even for the businesses still open, this whole caper is highly disruptive and while tens of thousands are working from home in Ireland -millions worldwide, it is probably not effective for many firms, long term. For the social life the impact is equally greater if not bigger but we will leave that aside for now as we are discussing the economy even though the medical argument of saving lives is countered balanced by the undoubted increases in depression and suicides and the number of extra deaths for all the people who normally visit hospital but are too afraid to now. Figures for Scotland from the start of April already show an additional 500 deaths after subtracting out the Covid ones and these are the people who probably got heart attacks or strokes but never went to hospital as they normally would.

So as you can see it is unprecedented and without doubt very costly in all sorts of ways. The hard bit to take in, is that this scenario is replicated right across the entire EU and much of the USA and it is estimated 2 to 3 billion people are in lockdown. The number of closures is just mind boggling.

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In much of the EU national governments have stepped in to provide special emergency payments to the millions unemployed. As of the start of April -nearly 3 weeks ago, over 200,000 people were unemployed and then within a week of that up to 500,000 and are in receipt of the Covid payment of €350 per week. This means it is costing the government 350 x 500k = 175 million a week which we can safely round up to 200 million since this figure in no way accounts for numerous others costs and doesn't even begin to take account of loss revenue to the state in the form of income tax from these people. By this stage the 500k unemployed is likely higher. The cost then so far is probably several billion. On April 1st KBC Bank (ref 3) put out an estimated cost of €30 billion (Ref 3). It was not clear when they thought the lockdown would lift in their calculation but it would be safe to assume at that point they were thinking by May. It ought to be noted €30 billion is less than half the bailout to the banks after 2008.

The only remaining questions regarding the lockdown are how long it will last and will it be lifted in one go or gradually? The people calling the shots in the WHO advising the chief medical officer in each country who in turn advises the national leadership in each country, appear to have gained a incredible level of authority and power over sovereign states and it is rather odd and surprising that basically the best part of the entire world economy has ground to a halt based on their dictates. Extremely odd in fact. How can a bunch of stuffy bureaucrats have so much power? Maybe even more strange is that our apparently free and purveyors of 'truth' media haven't asked these questions.

The Economy Before Covid-19

Up to early March, the economy in Ireland at least seemed to be doing alright although there were plenty of problems. Fine Gael (FG) through its housing policies driven by right wing ideology had led to 10,000 people homeless of which one third are children. Odd the way they apparently care about people now in this crisis but clearly don't about the homeless. The housing sector had witnessed a rapid increase in vulture fund (i.e. billionaires savings) owned properties and was distorting the housing market with the effect of locking out increasing numbers of the working population from ever buying a house or apartment and pushing them into a life of high rent, screwed by the same people. So other than FG selling all the assets acquired by NAMA and paid for by the tax-payers to vulture funds for pennies on the Euro (-93% of all NAMA property sold at huge discount to them), the top 20% to 30% were doing alright and there was a slight trickle to the bottom. Given the long recession after 2008, it was still welcome. As of the beginning of March 2020 the unemployed rate was 5.4% down from 7.4% in 2017 and the number employed stood at 2.3 million.

The economy in Ireland in terms of GDP is dominated by the multi-nationals that are here primarily for the low to non-existent corporate tax rates, the reliable electricity which tends to be unrecognized but vital in many industries and for the fact the Irish workforce speaks English, is in the EU and reasonably educated. There is little indigenous Irish industry. Irish capitalists tend to invest in property rather than put money into Irish industry. The model has been to attract foreign investment rather than invest in Irish industry and hence explains why successive governments always dance to their tune. Basically Ireland pimps out it's workforce. From Central Statistics Office (CSO) records, in 2017 there were about 279,892 Irish owned businesses in Ireland and 3,352 foreign owned ones most of which were multi-nationals. Figures released for 2019 and reported by the IDA say that multi-nationals account for 229,000 jobs or about 10% of the total. They spend €11.7 billion on payroll. The key areas are in biotech, pharmaceuticals and high tech sector chiefly in software and social media. Their turnover is out of proportion to their size and dominates the economy.

In terms of overall employment the biggest sectors are industry, wholesale & retail trade and health & social work. There are many small enterprises serving the multinationals and it has been said that for every one person employed in them, there could be several more employed in other areas downstream of where people spend their wages.

However as a result of the crash 2008, there was a huge debt overhang in the economy and for the lower half of the working population their pay and conditions have not really recovered when inflation is taken into account. Indeed inflation can be misleading, because if you are spending half your income on rent or mortgage and the inflation statistic doesn't capture that, then it does not give the full picture. What matters once you can eat is the roof over your head. It doesn't matter whether all the trinkets of society are getting cheaper if the cost of the roof over your head is taking up most of your salary. What was laid bare after 2008 for all to see was that the bankers, big investors and developers ultimately got bailed out no matter what spin is put on it and the top 1% and 10% got richer in the years since. The rest of us had to pay for it through higher taxes, direct and indirect, plundering of the national pension fund and stagnant wages for many. In the recent election, late in the day the issue of the pension being only paid out at age 67 (instead of 65) and soon to be 68 years had come to public attention. Two and even three years when you don't get the pension is the same as being robbed of that amount.

So overall the Irish economy could be summed up as doing alright and it was going in the right direction.

The International Economy Before Covid-19

The economy internationally being a bigger beast is harder to cover in any detail suffice to say that at least it wasn't in recession despite the bit of the trade war between the US and China and Europe pre-occupied with BREXIT. Share prices in Wall Street were at all times high. Much of this was down to the big corporations spending billions on stock buy back schemes whose sole purpose is to keep the share price high and make money for those with lots of stock options and shares, primarily the owners and CEOs. One large elephant has stood over the world economy since 2008 and that has been the constant money printing known as quantitative easing not just by the US (privately owned despite what the name suggests) Federal Reserve, as well as the EU Central Bank, Bank of Japan and others. The point being no matter how many pronouncements we heard over the years of how well the economy was doing, in reality in still needed a constant injection of cash to stay alive. Depending on who you listen to and what you read, the total world debt varies from tens of trillions to quadrillions if you include derivatives. Even mainstream websites (ref 2) put US debt at $24 trillion and the UK at £8 trillion. When you delve into the funny world of financial derivatives and all the other tricks you begin to realize that the size of the financial economy (i.e. paper) compared to the real economy is far bigger. Its near impossible to get accurate statistics probably because there are none. The financial economy is more an abstraction than anything. What it attempts to do is to put a claim on the real economy. So if you hold a million shares of some financial instrument this implies ultimately if you wanted to cash in; you could and buy something real. But if that universe of money is bigger than the real one, then when the music stops and everyone wants to cash in, you will find there are multiple overlapping claims on the same bit of physical real world wealth.

Thus the global economy was tottering along but the financial side of it had becoming increasing absurd and the whole core of it was basically unstable. It could hardly even be called a capitalist system and was more like a global debt system with lots of insider trading, rigging of the market and all sorts of interventions like money printing, buying back debt and bailing out of the too big to fail and so on. Somehow most people with jobs, savings and pensions were probably dimly aware of the chaotic forces within it, but hoped it would stay together -since the market always recovers -and thereby provide them with a means of income.

The Impact of Covid.

Well its going to be massive. The game is to speculate how massive assuming we are released from this medical police state this side of Christmas. As the news broke back in early March, Peter Schiff stock broker and financial commentator had this to say about the economy:

... that the coronavirus is just a pin while the debt bubble is the problem. The virus has not only pricked the stock market bubble and the crypto bubble, but it has also punctured the bond market bubble.

?So, now we have to deal with the consequences of the disease that the Fed inflicted us with. And unfortunately the Fed?s cure for the coronavirus is going to be fatal for the economy.? .... .? fiscal stimulus is going to make the situation worse....?

?The US is broke, there is no money to stimulate the economy, and all we can do is print money? The bond market is imploding because there is too much debt.?

This was in March. One would assume his worst case scenario then was a lockdown for at most a month or so because that's what people were predicting then and China had just come through it's own lockdown of that about a months duration. Before going on a speculative tour it is worth putting some basic numbers on it and lets just stick to the Irish economy.

The impact is hard to predict because the effect is so global and has hit practically every form of economic activity all at once. What we are witnessing has never been seen before and it will set in train all sorts of forces and dynamics.

What we do know is cash flow is going to be the big problem. Every business lives or dies by it. You depend on those you sell to, to give you the cash so that you can pay your suppliers. Often there can be anything from 30 to 90 days before receiving payments. For example, if you are selling goods wholesale which ultimately get sold on in shops, it can take a month or two before you are paid so that you can pay the supplier and you could have many. The supplier in turn is in their own chain of relationships with others. If even a few firms go bust then it can put the others into huge financial stress and it only takes one more knock somewhere else in the chain to bring you down. It will be like dominos falling. Hence the need for banks to extend loans to small business at very favourable rates. A public bank would be in a position to do this, but the private banks just see an opportunity to screw people over and sell on their assets when they fail to collect their money since they will be under pressure too. If the bailout mainly goes to the big firms and that is as sure as tomorrow, then it is the death knell for the smaller firms as the playing field for them will not be level but tilted vertically upwards. Also notice statements from organisastions like the (private) International Bank Of Settlements instructing all banks to stay within certain criteria for stability purposes. What this is code for is selling off at rock bottom prices the assets they steal off failed businesses and pass them on to vulture type funds.

Potential Cost of Covid-19 to the Tax Payer

If it is costing €200 million year a week or €0.8 bn every 4 weeks for the Covid payments or thereabouts, then you may as well round that up to €1.0 billion a month. From CSO data (ref 4) for 2018 government revenue from taxes and social contributions was €60 bn and €13 bn respectively for a total of 73 bn. Lets us assume 25% end up unemployed for 6 months, that works out at a 25% tax revenue reduction or (73*0.25*1/2) €9.1 bn. Add this to the 1.0 bn cost per month and you get 6 + 9.1 = € 15.1 bn. This does not include any other costs. You can now see how KBC very reasonably doubled these figures, and no doubt identified additional costs that the government is incurring and probably had estimated many will not get back to work immediately and so forth, to get their €30 bn cost.

However this rough calculation is for 6 months, but what the Irish government and it seems many other governments, are doing is hanging on every word that comes out of the WHO. And each day the WHO recommendations are more extreme and desperate. They have only one agenda it seems and that is remain in lockdown and wait for the vaccine. If you wanted to crash the world economy, this is exactly how you would do it. If we follow their faulty corrupt advice, we should all stay at home for the rest of our lives in case the virus gets us. They seem to forget we are exposed to billions and trillions of virus every day, all of our lives, so far. How did we get this far? But clearly there is more to this. When and if this is all over they will say they made a "mistake". But it is no mistake. They are pushing their agenda really hard and the media are doing their level best to talk up the numbers and imply young people are dying when consistently when you read on practically all of those who die are very old with underlying conditions and most of the few younger (but really middle aged) people who die also have underlying conditions. They are trying exceedingly hard to scare the pants off us all and unfortunately succeeding.

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Therefore if this were to go on till the end of the the 2020, the conservative cost figure could head towards €100 bn because the damage will accumulate and unemployment will be higher and tax revenue far lower.

What these costs do not account for is the unpredictable and that is the number of business that will fail. Nobody really knows that number but what we do know even if sanity returned in the morning is that the carnage will be huge. A great many pubs, cafes and restaurants, possibly hotels and thousands of numerous unheard of business will go bust and never re-open. Much of it will be due to cash flow problems. When you are so big, the banks don't and can't afford to let you go and generally some mechanism is found to keep you afloat. The bigger you are the more likely there is some kind of bailout paid by the taxpayer. Therefore there is one thing we can predict and that is tens of thousands of small business will fail and most of the big ones will be bailed out and or have enough resources to weather the storm and thus survive. In every single recession this is the general rule of thumb.

What does this mean? Well we know that most of the GDP and wealth is owned by the much fewer but far bigger firms and the bigger ones will be in a position to swoop down vulture like and pick up all the valuable bits of the carnage left over. This will act to further concentrate wealth into the fewer large firms, the biggest of which are multi-nationals.

The Vulture Funds are Coming for Your House

To pay for the damage, whether the final cost is €30bn, €60bn or €100+bn if we remain locked down even longer, we can expect to see an increase in taxes and a re-introduction of the full force of the Universal Social Charge (USC). As per usual the first cuts will be to social welfare, disabilities and all the people at the bottom and largely without say. Many are saying this will be worse than the 2008 crash which means the cuts can only be deeper. Whether this is the case or not remains to be seen. One certainty is that there will be another mortgage crisis. With hundreds of thousands unemployed and no way to keep up the payments we will be back to the mayhem. This time it will be different because now that the vulture funds have taken root here, the banks may well either on their own bat or under instruction from government, hand over all their bad loans to them. This will be presented as a way to solve the problem because the Vulture Funds may offer to step in and "save these people". It will probably be some crafty dishonest scheme where they take over the bad loans and since it is distressed you will be forced into some sort of deal where you have to rent off them for the next 20 years or something. The devil will be in the detail because it will be through the small print they will hoodwink people out of their homes. You can be sure they will have it legally watertight. The aftermath of Covid will offer the chance for vulture funds to feast on distressed property and steal a large chunk of it as just outlined. In many ways they will be like the virus itself and those financially weak will be a highest risk. It would of course be an excellent outcome for the vulture funds if this were to happen and from their perspective the lockdown must be great. The longer it lasts the greater amount they can steal later.

If this pans out and there is no logical reason why it could not, we will have come full circle after a journey of a few hundred years back to where the country is owned by landlords. This time instead of being absentee English ones, they will be absentee corporate vulture funds. The future is so bright indeed. The government will of course be pressed on this and will no doubt on foot of legal advice state they are unable to intervene because it would interfere with existing legal obligations and incur potential liabilities.

The Pension Funds

This is a good question. After the government raided the national pension fund last time, they never really put back the money. This leaves the private pensions or the money working people have saved in various schemes for their retirement. In the last round after 2008, most of these funds halved and took the next ten years to come back to approximately the value they were pre-crash. There will be plenty of workers who only started paying into a pension since 2008 and so will get to experience the medium term pump and dump cycles whereby the well connected elite encourage the middle class to pour money (.i.e their savings) into pensions or some form of institutional investments for relatively calm 10 years. Then there is the inevitable crash and they get cleaned out and it all starts over again. That pension funds will plummet is a safe bet. Only the depth, is the question. Perhaps some folks have been scared sufficiently by "The Bug" to not worry about it but it sill remains an open question of how deep the hole is. One should consider it as yet another cost incurred by many due to the lockdown. The sad fact is that there will be quite a few here where not only will have their pension destroyed but will be jobless and if luck is not going their way, be up to their neck in mortgage debt arrears. This is not the time to get depressed. It is time to wake up to what is going on, ask deep questions you have never asked and to not isolate yourself alone subjected to media lies but to overcome social taboos and discuss what is happening with your fellow frightened citizens and chart your own future together. If you buy into this pre-planned global fraud you will sorely regret because now is the time to act, not later when it is too late and your fate is sealed.

The problem with a pension is that you need to be either paying into one for at least 30 to 40 years and therefore need to have a job of that duration or if you are in the position to do so, pile money in during the last 10 to 20 years of your working life and take advantage of the great tax breaks for it. Losing your job later in life affects that plan and so any discussion of the fate of pensions is linked not just to the loss of value of the funds themselves but to one's employment since that dictates how much money you can put into a pension.

Already we have seen in early April, Debenhams retail chain have closed all their stores with immediate effect and 2,000 jobs lost. (Ref 5). The workers who tried protesting over the lack of any redundancy payment were moved off the streets and ordered to go home. The loss of these jobs illustrates the issues at hand. So consider this. If 500,000 are unemployed now when will they get jobs? What is happening to their existing pensions. Is there enough funds in them for their retirement. Answer: unlikely. And the fund value that is there is probably nose diving. Some of these workers had served 34 years. That means they must be in their mid 50s. What are their prospects now. Have they paid off their mortgages. Will they ever work again?

The Wider International Economy

For no better reason that the fact that airlines are the main way to leave Ireland, we will focus on them. First off if you ground a plane for a month or even far longer which looks to be the case, you can't just round up the crew and fill it up with fuel and passengers and fly off. The flight crew given the long lapse of time they have not being flying will need to brush up on training. Then there is the aircraft maintenance. They will need to go through a full system check. Think of all the lubricants for example that would slowly collect at the bottom of various machine parts and upper parts will have dried out. There will be thousands of other such technical matters. Then as everyone rushes to get this done, there will be a bottleneck because the system is not designed to do this all at once for every aircraft simultaneously. In air traffic control, I'd imagine things have been extremely quite. One would expect that the ramp up there would have to be managed carefully and slowly because it is such a tense, focused and critical job, the air-traffic controllers will need time to get used to and back to their hectic pace. Who then wants to step aboard the first plane brought back to service? [Update: Apparently Ryanair are doing short ghost flights every 4 days for each plane to keep them in working order. That is positive news.]

For hotels many of which are basically either lying empty or running as a skeleton operation, there will be also sorts of maintenance and repairs needed which will have not been done because these service sectors have been in lockdown. The longer this lockdown goes on, the more costs will build up. Surely there are hotels, offices, whatever that have sprung leaks which would be normally promptly spotted and fixed, are now causing havoc and will do so much damage to buildings as to put smaller operators out of businesses.

For the smaller operators and outfits like guest houses and there are 100,000s of these maybe millions all over Europe, the revenue you get in on a given season covers your costs to get to the next. If local councils and authorities are demanding their various charges and taxes despite them having no income, they're gone. Or they may have loans out on the properties or if that is not an issue, it may well be, ongoing maintenance is such a high cost annually that the lack of income will mean they are gone bust.

We are beginning to see the effect of this because in all previous downturns tourism might have slowed and decreased quite a bit but never has the whole tourism industry itself completely stopped for months. The job losses in tourism have to be huge and won't be coming back soon. It could take years to recover if ever.

This scenario has got to be playing out for tens of millions of small businesses throughout the locked-down world. The damage is incalculable. There is without a doubt a huge unemployment wave coming. The only way to get it all working again is through the lubricant of cash. Unfortunately the history of crashes, recessions and depressions, is that the biggest and wealthiest are first at the table and get the most favourable treatment. Usually after some period there is some level of normality but that tends to be from the hard graft of starting out fresh again from the smaller players and due to the fact since they are always more nimble and flexible, they manage to carve out a little space for themselves..

The companies that are doing well and continue to do so, are the giant corporations like all of the Big Tech and the likes of Amazon who will come out of this with even more people buying online who hadn't done so before. This will allow them to literally eat into the mainstream retail sector, everywhere. Purveyors of online working and communications will do well and Zoom Corporation is likely to be bought up by some giant for untold billions.

All the big food retail industries are largely intact and the world's biggest, WalMart will be in a position to buy up whatever competitors it has left. For the suppliers of food -i.e. farmers they are likely to be squeezed further by the small number of big players who they sell to and which is really their only outlet. This will allow the big guys to grab the income of the small guys as they will be on their knees. This will be replicated all across sectors where these types of relationships occur and they occur everywhere. That's partially down to technological changes enabling this process and one of the not-so-cool sides of tech.

National governments everywhere are going to be struggling with finances and having to cope with greatly increased debt burden. Everywhere taxes will go up and services will be cut back. With the Covid virus causing deep wounds in the economy and more damage than the disease itself, it will take a long time to recover because so many business will have disappeared that there will be just this large void where previously it was full of millions of small business employing millions of people.

So here is the scenario for the middle and lower classes. (Technically both of these compose the working class in an economic sense since you are defined as working class if you earn most of your income by selling your time and or skill. This takes in nearly all of the middle class and the so called working class in it's social context but are really lower class in economic terms. Middle class people never refer to themselves as working class but they are by virtue of the criteria just outlined.) Huge numbers will remain unemployed. Those with incomes will face big increases in taxation on the one hand and face pay cuts on the other. Some of these people will be in mortgage and or rent arrears while those unemployed will definitely be in arrears. In this environment, the chances of anyone taking annual holidays abroad or somewhere nice at home will be fairly slim. Therefore prospects for the tourism industry will be dismal with consequent knock on effects in that sector in terms of recovery. This will also affect the airline industry.

There will be a battle by many sectors to recoup their losses counter weighted by the loss of demand. Typically the insurance industry will raise rates and are far more likely to drive more businesses to the wall. They were already doing this just before the crisis. Sometimes you have to wonder are they the secret weapon of bigger businesses as a way to crush smaller ones through insurance premium costs and keep the competition out. For other sectors the inevitable reduction in demand and loss of buying power by the public means usually means closures and consolidation in those areas.

Prior to internet and the widespread use of online shopping, if there was a big downturn in some sector, generally it would come back usually in the form of lots of small startups. This time around the recovery will be different because the likes of Amazon and other Big Tech firms will be able to rapidly ramp up and serve those areas where demand may slowly return. This in some ways prevents a recovery for many small businesses because the big players will hold that space. This in itself, by slowing the recovery, affects future job recovery.

The Effect of Increase in the Concentration of Global Wealth and Final Solution

Global wealth is already highly concentrated as are all of the various industries. In all cases a few large firms dominate for the biggest slice of the pie and the myriad of others nibble on the bits left over after you subtract the total share of say the top 3, 4 or 5 players.

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The small players -i.e. the small business though are key to the survival of the big firms in an indirect way because proportionally the bigger corporations employ fewer people which can be used to argue they are more efficient at bringing goods and services to millions of people, while the small businesses by far employ the most people. The income they earn gives enough people money to buy stuff off the bigger firms to keep going. The structural repercussions on the economy due to the internet and online shopping before the crisis was already upsetting this dynamic. The aftermath could easily accelerate that evolution.

This raises a question then and that is surely for a given industry or sector there is a point where if the top 2 or 3 firms are taking all the businesses or revenue available, it crushes all the smaller players. For example in Ireland the beef industry is dominated by one big processor. There is hardly any competition. The effect of this is that the are very few other processors and they are tiny anyhow and consequently this puts the sellers -i.e. farmers at the mercy of the single processor and they are treated accordingly. If you can wipe out all the competition in your area, that is great for you and tough for everyone else. So far we are only talking about a single sector.

If we examine the total global wealth we know there is a huge concentration of power. The annual Oxfam report says 62 people own half the worlds wealth. Their tentacles spread far and wide and they would have all sorts of holding companies owning shares in thousands of different global and national firms and their representatives acting on their behalf on the boards of all the firms down their chain of ownership. When the approximately 7,000 billionaires are added the share of this tiny group of the global wealth must be far higher. The same dynamic applies here as described for a single dominant firm with no competitors in a given sector.

If the these people own so much wealth and earn vast fortunes each year and the remaining bulk of the population in the world are barely getting by on their low wages and it has progressed to such a state where many (younger) people have no prospect of ever owning their house, are locked into exorbitant rents and chronic debt, this would suggest many of the middle class who thought they were a cut above the rest, are on a downward trajectory. The key problem for the top 7,000 billionaires is as they take more and more of the wealth produced by everyone else, the masses will soon not be able to buy the goods and services which the elite own and sell to them. There is a risk of collapse of purchasing power as it were and that threatens the whole system.

...the Covid payments given by most lockdown countries is just this universal basic income under a different name...

The members of the 7,000 club are generally quite bright people and they have access to the brightest minds and the greatest resources by virtue of their position. Some may have noticed in the last few years discussion in the media about the concept of universal basic income for everyone; see ref 7. The idea is that governments would pay everyone regardless of who they were a basic income to allow them to exist. Anything extra you earn, you keep. At the moment, the Covid payments given by most lockdown countries is just this universal basic income under a different name. The Covid payment -i.e basic income is just the ticket to keep the system going for the 7,000 club and it can't have failed people, to notice it is all the smaller firms that are getting badly hurt in this crisis and most of them could well cease to exist afterwards. The metric is quite simple. Lockdown for 3 months a certain fraction will go bust. Lockdown for 6 months, 9 months or till 2020 as the WHO suggests and I think it is obvious that perhaps the great majority of small firms everywhere, will be gone possibly to never come back.

When you are a member of that special 7,000 club you must get bored with money after awhile and the temptations of the power you have must be more alluring and exciting. Every year the concentration of wealth increases and intensifies. Some people question why these people want so much money but the fact is they do because a smaller fraction have more and more each year. This can only continue perhaps to it's logical point. This point is not really when one person owns it all, the point in fact is when the system has gone through such changes because of the concentration of wealth and thereby power because one controls all the resources, that structurally it has transformed dramatically under the weight of it's own internal forces. We might be seeing the caterpillar to butterfly type of metamorphosis in the global (so called) capitalist system except it may not be so pretty.

Here is another point to take on. If you own your house and are cash rich and all your neighbours are cash poor and have mortgages and they all go bust then you can probably buy all their houses and rent them back to them, indefinitely. The sort of thing ambitious, ruthless people might do and the trait you need to reach the top.

For the 7,000 club if you own most of the worlds wealth and the world's economy happens to completely crash then that's not so bad since you own it. The beauty is that you can buy up all the remaining good stuff. You now will have received a huge jolt in wealth while everyone else is impoverished. You definitely need to make sure they get the basic income. There is just one problem though, you don't want to pay them too much, certainly not enough to go on holidays, fly abroad, eat out regularly, buy furniture, stay in a hotel. In this new economy there would there would be little need for these things and a great portion of the worlds fleet of passenger aircraft could be mothballed. Besides if there is going to be very little demand, it will cost too much to bring a lot of these planes back into service. Luckily for the billionaires they have their own private jets. I hear people say why would they destroy the tourism sector. Well prior to Covid, the millions on pitiful wages were struggling to exist and it is highly unlikely they ever went anywhere fancy. It just that the great bulk of the middle class will be lowered down to this level. If this transformational switch is made globally, its really all about power at that point and your comforts will not feature in the plan.

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This automatically leads to question. Where is the money coming from and whose money is it anyhow? What is money after-all and even what is wealth? Money is just credit on bits of paper. Despite what people think, it is not backed by gold. That link was severed many decades ago. The 7,000 club contains all the bankers, so it is quite likely between themselves they will come to some arrangement between themselves. National governments have given away most of their control to 'independent' central banks which really are private; run by unelected, unaccountable individuals so there is little chance of interference by them. Besides through ownership of the media and internet, they essentially can control any government and use Epstein like people to take down anyone powerful enough to make noises.

To conclude the strange thing is that if you wanted to crash the world economy and bring forth this scenario outlined, then you would do what the WHO are calling for. Keep the global economy locked down for the rest of the year and even until 2022. The other sinister message in this crisis we keep hearing is that there will be a second and even third wave of the virus each more deadly than the previous. You can't have failed to not heard this. They say this confidently too which is actually the scarier part.

Who knows what the vaccine will really contain but you have to ask yourself why is it being pushed so strongly. Surely tne sensible too to do is to promote basic health and ways to build up and strengthen your immune system of which there are many. People really don't understand anything about vaccines, but they can be contaminated and they can be doctored to put a pun on it, to contain literally anything. Take note of this:

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The Gates Foundation has for the last 20 years carried out intensive children vaccination programs in Africa.

In 2014 and 2015 Kenya carried out a massive tetanus vaccination program, sponsored by WHO and UNICEF. The Government administered a vaccine of tetanus toxoid impregnated with beta human chorionic gonadotropin (BhCG) that causes permanent infertility among girls and women, to about 500,000 girls and women between the ages 14 and 49.

An organization called GAVI (Global Alliance for Vaccines and Immunization) is a public-private partnership; the public part being WHO and UNICEF; the private partners are a series of pharma-giants. GAVI is handing out free vaccines to poor countries, like Kenya.

If a vaccine can be implanted with a sterilization agent, any other health or DNA affecting molecule or protein can be put into a vaccination cocktail. See ref 8 links to these stories of Kenya: Thousands infertile after govt-sponsored vaccination and ?Mass Sterilization?: Kenyan Doctors Find Anti-fertility Agent in UN Tetanus Vaccine?

Conclusion

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We started out trying to figure out what the devastation would be like after Covid-19 but once you look at the figures, take in the scope of the problem and note a few other worldly key facts and figures it is almost impossible to come to any other conclusion other than the whole thing smells of a rat and what we have in play is a global transformative change under way with the "Bug" used as the initiator of events. To put it more militaristic terms you could call it a pre-emptive strike.

The script has still some way to go because they did promise a second and even third virus and it would be far more deadlier. So for those who don't accept this conclusion, I can only assume then that they must accept everything the media is telling them and here is the puzzle. So if several more deadly waves are coming and the economy is going to be pretty wreaked as it is, what is it going to be like after the 2nd and 3rd wave which could last for years? Ah but they are just trying to save lives. Really? And are you quite happy to sheepishly accept everything and see your entire life turned upside down, civil liberties slashed and being ordered into lockdowns ona whim. What we have at present is not life. It's existence. The goverements are treating us like small bold children. It is time people got a backbone, started thinking for themselves and stand up for whats right and being an active participant. So far we have shown ourselves to be more docile than sheep. Already the Swedes who have had no lockdown are being to mock us.

This present lockdown could simply be the first stage in the transformation. If the lockdown was lifted tomorrow frozen markets would resume and this would allow the billionaire class to formerly buy up all the distressed assets. Yet the population will now be fully conditioned to the new norms of wearing masks, isolating from everyone, thereby minimizing the risk of a counter reaction as real face to face discussion is largely eliminated and they would remain fearful and suspicious of each other. Critical thinking is already a distant memory and would remain so. The very top layer of the capitalist elite would know exactly for the next round what works and what are the weak points and the media matrix would be further tuned for maximum effect. Then when the second wave's arrival is announced, lockdown could be in place within hours as the Pavlovian like behaviour indoctrinated successfully in the past few weeks in the population would ensure immediate acquiescence.

Given destruction of peoples livelihoods, businesses, jobs, civil liberties and social norms barely raised a flutter of suspicion in the first round, then it is unlikely to raise suspicions in the second either and this can only increase the dis-regard and contempt for our lives that the elite have for us. In some ways this is symbolized by the instruction to not allow proper funerals / rite of passage -something every civilisation, society, culture and religion has held as a core value and yet on this too we have willingly accepted submissively.


References:

Ref 1:
Foregin Multi-Nationals in Ireland
https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/ep/p-bii/businessinireland2017/...

Ref 2:
https://www.thebalance.com/the-u-s-debt-and-how-it-got-so-big-3305778

http://www.shadowstats.com/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_external_debt

Ref 3
Government's Covid-19 costs could hit ?30 billion - KBC
https://www.rte.ie/news/business/2020/0401/1127866-governments-covid-19-costs...

Ref 4
Government Revenue for 2019
https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/er/giea/governmentincomeandexpe...

Ref 5
Apr 9th: Debenhams to shut all stores in Republic with loss of 2,000 jobs
https://www.irishtimes.com/business/retail-and-services/debenhams-to-shut-all...

Ref 6:
62 people own the same as half the world, reveals Oxfam Davos report
https://www.oxfam.org/en/press-releases/62-people-own-same-half-world-reveals...

Ref 7:
Why we should all have a basic income
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2017/01/why-we-should-all-have-a-basic-income

Ref 8:
?Mass Sterilization?: Kenyan Doctors Find Anti-fertility Agent in UN Tetanus Vaccine?
https://www.globalresearch.ca/mass-sterilization-kenyan-doctors-find-anti-fer...

Thousands of teenage girls report feeling seriously ill after routine school cancer vaccination
https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/health-and-families/thousands-of-tee...


Additional References
Forbes 2020 World's Billionaires (4MB)
https://cryptome.org/2020/05/forbes-2020-billionaires.pdf

1 of indy - Sat Apr 18, 2020 20:14
In light of the slight interruption to normal life that is going on it is worth reassessing some of the known common knowledge about Big Tech and it's related area Artificial Intelligence (AI). Unless you have been asleep for the past 10 years, everyone will have heard of Edward Snowden who revealed in quite extensive detail the level of ongoing surveillance carried out jointly by the US and UK intelligence agencies, the NSA and GCHQ. Prior to his disclosure any suggestion of widespread spying was met with derision. Overnight the world changed and it was widely accepted as fact by everyone. What's more is that the depth and scale of the programs were far bigger than even the pessimists had imagined. It was this more than anything which has tarnished the reputation of technology as something that was always good to a demonstration of it's dark side. The state as such has dirtied its reputation with regards to technology.

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The rise of data centers and the cloud

In light of the slight interruption to normal life that is going on it is worth reassessing some of the known common knowledge about Big Tech and it's related area Artificial Intelligence (AI). Unless you have been asleep for the past 10 years, everyone will have heard of Edward Snowden who revealed in quite extensive detail the level of ongoing surveillance carried out jointly by the US and UK intelligence agencies, the NSA and GCHQ. Prior to his disclosure any suggestion of widespread spying was met with derision. Overnight the world changed and it was widely accepted as fact by everyone. What's more is that the depth and scale of the programs were far bigger than even the pessimists had imagined. It was this more than anything which has tarnished the reputation of technology as something that was always good to a demonstration of it's dark side. The state as such has dirtied its reputation with regards to technology.

Related Links: Amazon, Google, and Apple have moved past monopoly status to competing directly with governments? and winning | Britain?s 77th Psy Ops Brigade Activated to Counter Coronavirus ?Disinformation? | ?Subtle cues? make people SHARE more online, study says ? what does this mean for a post-Covid-19 world? | Don?t trust Apple or Google with coronavirus data, says German app developer | The tyranny of Big Tech is the biggest threat to democracy in our lifetime


Meanwhile on the flip side, our culture to date has embraced technology in all its forms. Compared to just 10 years ago, practically everyone now has a smart phone and most use WhatsApp. It is rare to come across a family that does not have their own WhatsApp group sharing details private to themselves, plus be members of many other chat groups with friends, groups, school and sports to various interests. Another vast new area of tech is social media which was initially widely embraced with open arms but the novelty has worn a bit and people are beginning to grasp the downsides of it at last. Despite rising awareness, it is largely out of control. In the social media sphere but not exclusively, people have poured out every detail of their private lives if not to the whole public sphere then at least to parts of it defined by their group. All of this information is completely accessible by the social media companies in whom they either trust completely or seem blissfully unaware of their presence, even though they provide the service.

What we attempt to cover here is some of the details and capabilities of the technology without getting too technical and to put it in political context in the sense of relating it what possibilities creates and not just the positive ones.

While the vast majority are familiar and use technology in the form of their phone, internet and social media, in percentage terms of the total population, few understand how it all works and hangs together and only have a vague understanding of the nuts and bolts of data and algorithms and the global communications background that ties it all together. Nevertheless it is not really necessary to know this to figure out the political implications so long as you think it through a bit with what you already know and pay attention to what is happening.

Casual headline from the UK's Daily Mail Newspaper. Clearly working with Big Tech

UK government gets green light to use personal data from citizens' mobile phones to help fight coronavirus - but privacy experts brand the move 'extremely concerning' and warn it could lead to invasive surveillance.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-8160067/UK-government-gets-pe...

From Daily Mail March 27th 2020

What We All Know Already

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Typical Data Center. Image courtesy of Wikimedia

So lets cover something we all know and that is since the inception of the computer age, the processing power of computer chips have increased vastly; roughly doubling every 2 years, initially even quicker. Less well known is the ability store information has risen even faster and for all intents of purposes can be considered infinite in practical terms. That much we do know. The numbers for processing and storage are so big, the figures are almost meaningless because they are far beyond the human scale. What we tend to all see is the phone in our hand or the laptop on our desk. We are vaguely aware of something called data-centers. These are warehouses full of racks of computers -commonly referred to as servers, each probably as or more powerful than your laptop. If you wanted to know where the so called "Cloud" is, then it's in these places. In a typical data center each rack holds 30 computers and a typical data center using 30 MW of power would have approx 3,000 racks. That works out at 30 x 3,000 or 90,000 computers! Two years ago in 2018 data centers in Ireland were using 480 MW. Since there are approx 90,000 computers for every 30 MW then that works out at least 480/30 x 90,000 = 1.4 million computers! Those figures are for 2018. These are the servers sending the Google, Microsoft and Facebook pages to you as well as lots of other stuff. You should also be aware they are not all working on their own in the sense of things you do on your own laptop. Frequently 1000s are linked together for particular tasks like for example sending you all those images to build up google maps or whatever. They are working seamlessly as one. This itself is a major advance but passed over by the non-geeks.

The point here is not to bamboozle and put one in awe of the numbers. The point is to realize that 20+ years this was more or less non-existent. There are thousands of data centers all over the world and they are still growing in power and capability.

Delving further; 25 years ago it would have been hard to accept the claim a computer could listen to a conversation and generate a transcript of what was said in text format. Today most smart phones have the ability to use voice assistant software which will respond to the spoken word and even do searches for you. Millions of homes already have one of the many voice assistants on the market like Siri (Apple) and Alexa (Amazon) and these understand enough to turn on lights, open doors, read the weather/news, play songs, have limited conversation and many other things. People with Siri/Alexa often have many voice activated speakers around the house and google research shows 50% of users keep it in the main living room, followed by kitchen and bedroom. The ability of voice recognition has jumped by leaps and bounds and it can parse out what is being said in continuous speech handling different speakers and is available in multiple languages. It is hard to ignore the occasional reports of conversations being stored and accessed by all sorts of people who shouldn't especially because the owners thought they were private. It should be obvious that if a device is designed to be activated by your voice and do various things, then it has to be listening in advance and after you stop for some period. It also makes sense that the software is made up two main parts; the first part is the specialized piece that figures out the words said, then converts them text form which becomes the input to the next stage that analyses the text to figure out what to do -i.e. play music, get the sports results.

However this ability is not limited to just Siri and Alexa and it's ilk. Many will have noticed topics they discuss in conversations while their phones apparently sit there doing nothing, pop up as adverts soon afterwards. A technical point to note is that the software recognition is not done in the Siri/Alexa device in your house but is transmitted to the cloud where some far more powerful giant data-center is crunching it all. Likewise audio from your phone goes to cloud. An active phone call is a bit different since that goes to the phone system but that itself is becoming cloud based too. Whether people accept the claim about phone voice pickup or not, is irrelevant. The main point is the technology is there, it works, we all know it works and there is nothing in the world to prevent all the devices to be in listening mode and for all the data to be stored indefinitely. In fact if you check the permissions on most smart-phone Apps, they clearly state they can activate your camera phone or mic. We are only taking the assurances of the companies and their record is consistently bad. Flipping to the Snowden leaks it is quite clear intelligence agencies (e.g. NSA) can and do have direct access to basically any and all data held by these giant companies and many smaller ones too. And this does not include what they collect themselves which is vast anyhow.

The next obstacle people have stems from the fact because they are not familiar with the details therefore cannot grasp the all consuming power of this technology. Take for instance the statement: All calls or at least a very large number can be recorded and listened to or everything typed in WhatsApp or messenger or email or anywhere else, can be monitored. There is this idea of some person at the far end physically doing such a thing. And yet this is despite the fact Snowden proved it is largely automated. Yet there is no need to reference Snowden because from what we already know above, it is quite clear the existing Voice Assistant technology along with something most of us use which is Google search, can perfectly well figure out what is said in terms of words and parse anything we typed to generate searches or whatever. What is the difference between the stream of voice coming from an intercepted phone or directly from your own voice to your voice assistant. None.

The other part of this problem that is often raised is "ah but why would they read your email anyhow". Well they already are. If you sign up to Google, Microsoft, Yahoo or any of the numerous free email accounts they all say in the Terms and Conditions that they use your email for marketing and advertising reasons. So they are already mining every single email for all sorts of information about you. The same goes for everything said on Facebook or any other platform you use. For Facebook its greatest feature for advertisers was that it could push adverts to members of very selective and specific groups. It is cliche at this stage to say the price of "free" email and Facebook accounts etc were in exchange for your freedom.

It is really quite simple to imagine. Suppose you have this giant feed of data coming off an email system (in the cloud -i.e. in reality a data-center) and it is directed into another piece of software called say "Text parser and analyser for marketing information". A second copy of the same info can easily go to another called "Text parser and analyser for food, sport and hobby preferences". Still can't imagine. Well stick any text into google translate and see how it works. In order to translate it has to figure out basic structures like nouns, verbs, adjective and a lot more. These are the same techniques for figuring out what is in a piece of text. The reality in practice is that there are dozens of big software modules digesting this data all day, every day and storing it all. You think it doesn't store it? Check your google search history in google and you will see it all there. Again don't confuse what companies and governments say they do or don't too with what is possible and in use every day. Data mining of text is an industry worth billions. They mine everything you can think of for companies. All those reviews on booking.com or TripAdivsor with over 70 million reviews, get regularly chewed up and analysed.

The next two images are screenshots from Google's Trend service. This is where you can see the trends over time for keywords used in searches. It allows you to break down by country. The two examples are both related to Covid-19 and the first shows the relative number of searches for different terms and the second shows searches related to virus symptoms. This is a working example of what was just stated in the previous paragraphs.
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To clarify a bit about how these companies provide free email service for you, take say Yahoo; the email software would run and the emails would be stored in the cloud. The real life representation of the cloud is that as the emails being sent and received, this is taking place in various data-centers. The emails are stored on huge disk arrays often known as SAN (Storage Area Network) that can be shared across hundreds of servers. The data on these will be replicated across multiple data centers continuously. The original idea was in case power was lost to any single data center the system can still keep going and no data is lost. This sub-section of the industry is a whole specialist area in itself. The takeaway is once your data hits the cloud it is distributed geographically and as the hours and days going by, copies get migrated to long term storage held possibly as at least two copies in who knows where really or probably longer than you will live The back end text data mining software is running possibly in the same data centers or possibly not, but either way feasts itself on the treasure trove of data in all the emails on the SAN to which it would have access.The system is so flexible it is possible to have the various pieces distributed geographically yet work as one. This is the beauty of the developments and advances in the seamless network connectivity.

This fact may seem far fetched to some but yet again we should already know this. You do use a free email service? The capability is there. Everyone at this stage has fiber to their house and can watch movies streamed from their nearest geographical data-centers. The capacity of fiber cables between countries and continents is astronomical. So it is trivial for a given company to replicate data between Europe and the US for example. It is so ordinary, it is standard practice.

More on Capability

Anything said so far should be obvious to most but you may not have really thought about it too much. Continuing on this line of thought we are all familiar with face recognition. It has been growing in use and capability for years but really only hit the public years ago when Facebook turned it on and used to automate adding tags to Facebook photos to place the names of people against them. The idea was if you had your own picture on your own page, it was easy to deduce it must be you. Then they ran the software against all the photos on your Facebook friends pages and it was able to spot and identify you. The same was true for everyone else. After a short time, it was just too creepy and the feature was turned off, but you can still manually tag photos.

The ability to detect and identify faces took a huge leap and few years back and made it much easier for computers to carry out the job. Less well known was a bit of a test or experiment carried out in 2001 where at a stadium for Super Bowl in Florida with a capacity of 85,000 people, new face recognition software surreptitiously scanned everyone passing through turnstiles and was run against mugshots of known petty criminals and caught a few. See ref 1. You could get hung up on what a great tool it is for catching criminals and how much safer you feel but the key lesson which you unconsciously know but could be unaware of is that obviously any camera on any street or place or from any of the one of many billions of phones could in theory send the data to the cloud where the face recognition awaits. You can be sure Facebook still run their face recognition tagging software on the other side of the wall as it were.

Lets go with this concept. So suppose some person is lost or missing, well the techno optimists might say if only copies of all camera images were sent to the cloud to scan for said missing people we would find them. Isn't that useful. Not only that the company outsourced to do the job promises to delete all the images after they are used. This challenge is relatively easy so long as you are checking either a few faces against a large number or a large number against a few. A larger number against a large number is still a major task but not impossible and large here means millions or so. So in the stadium test above, they were comparing with a relatively small number of known individuals. In the missing person example, one assumes you do not have more than a few thousand missing people. Even though you can break the problem down geographically into groups in the knowledge that a match is more likely to be found near where they were last seen and thereby reduces the burden of the search task.

Now take another scenario. Lets suppose a whistle-blower (of which there will be very few at a given time) like Maurice McCabe in the case of Ireland was being tracked and the Police Commissioner wanted to know where he was and who he was meeting at all times, then the "security arrangement" the government obviously would have with the company tasked to do the job, would generate hourly or daily email reports to the Commissioner with a summary of his whereabouts. Anyone following the news, of course knows officials would never run a smear campaigns against people like that and it would all be done to help the whistleblower and ensure his safety and not drive him and his family to the point of mental breakdown and destruction. Except of course that is exactly what happened although the bit about face recognition is not true, yet. But is it really? The capability is there. How does one know the intelligence services don't have something similar already and the lesser countries like Ireland purchase the service? Anyone asking the wrong questions or generally trying to expose the rich and powerful could be hunted down in the virtual sense. In this world would Snowden have managed to release his information to the world before he was spotted by the system and a hit team sent to dispatch him to oblivion?

I can also hear someone say but you would have to hook up the cameras. Easy, it's more or less done. It is probably safe to assume most security cameras now stream to the cloud already. Loads of people already have those door bells with integrated cameras where if someone comes to your front door, you are notified on your smart-phone and will also make a doorbell sound on your phone and give you an intercom service back to your front door. You can buy that today. Most of these cameras will take photos every few minutes and store them and websites hosting this, offer a feature to quickly step through a whole months worth of images in the form of a short movie. It's easy to see spot the postman as he arrives or dogs wander in and out of your garden. Most of these cameras point outward towards the street and the numbers are in the low millions but likely to be hundreds of millions in a few years. If all the photos are in the cloud say on Amazon or Google's servers, are they then not available to the authorities? Remember this does not include the output from the already ubitiquous street and traffic cameras which are online. The Police in the UK have had for years access to all the motorway cameras and the car reg readers.

Previously the companies denied it was available to the likes of the NSA etc and assured us all it would require a court order. Snowden proved this was pure distraction and bogus. What people need to think about is not that they have done something wrong, but the sheer power it gives to any government or corporation. A corporation views all it's data as something to monetize and it will. If we heard this was happening in North Korea we would be horrified. But we have all the nearly all the pieces of the police state in bucket loads.

It is becoming common knowledge that in China, the authorities oddly enough have access to the same technology and are just as proficient at it, are using technology to track people in public places and identify them for "social credits", which dictate what types of services you have access to and say whether you can fly somewhere. This is simply the above idea applied to everyone. Between the GPS on your phone or watch on your arm, the technology is in place to know where you are, where you have gone, whose shop, workplace, house or friend, or meeting you have been to. Whether you traveled abroad or to the local park, gym and even whether you traveled 2 km from your home. Your home being the place where the GPS co-ordinates show exactly where you show up every evening. It is fairly easy for all this to be automatically figured out by software running in the cloud using your GPS data that continually streams out of your devices. Again this all sounds over the top. The real block is people get tired from all the thinking. The computers don't.

Surely most people are aware of Google Traffic in Google Maps. This uses location updates from people's smart phones to figure out where you are. By comparing how far you moved in your car in a few minutes and doing it for everyone it is able to mark those roads red, orange or green on the streets where traffic is building and is overlaid in Google Maps. And it is doing this for millions of streets in the world in real time every day all day. It's actually a useful feature if creepy. And we haven't even got to the craze of walkers and joggers using Strava or it's likes and storing all their walks and jogs in the cloud.

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Google Traffic in Stockholm Sweden the only country not in lockdown and is doing better than everyone

Basic Info about Data

At this point it is necessary to introduce a little bit of tech about data storage and it is this. Text is easy to store and takes up very little space, pictures or images takes up a lot more and movies since they consist really of pictures take up 100s to thousands of times more. Music or voice conversations take up maybe as much as a few pictures. For example a whole song stored as mp3 might take up as much space as two or three pictures from a digital camera. Conversation from a phone or a podcast lasting a hour might be similar. The main thing it's not too much. The text of a book without pictures could take up less space than even a few images.

Now just think about for Google alone how many billions of photographs it stores for Google Maps StreetView. Or how about how many billion Facebook or Instagram store. Do you think they would be able to store for all time, every email, text and message that was sent in WhatsApp, Messenger and the 50 other variants. The answer is yes and with the present storage it would be extremely easy and the text part would use considerably less storage space than for pictures. It is not then in any way unusual too state all books ever written in recent decades are easily stored. A standard laptop could very comfortably store tens of thousands of books. For example a 500 page manual in PDF format takes about 20 Mb which means in 1 Gb (=1024 Mb) could hold 50 such books. A typical hard disk has at least 300 to 400 Gb. Your TV Box for storing films probably has a hard-disk with 2+ Tb (Tera Bytes) which is 2048 Gb. If you allocated 100 Gb to books, that would be 100 x 50 or 5,000 books. But this is a lower estimate because not all books are 500 page manuals used in the example. They tend to be smaller which means that figure is 10,000 or more for just 100 Gb of storage. A 1 TB drive which is very common and costs less than €100 would store 100,000 books! That's just one quite small disk drive. You will never read that many in your life but a piece of text analyser software given enough servers could chew up the whole lot and analyse them in a few hours or less.

The exercise here is to emphasize data storage is mind boggling large. In 2013, the NSA built two massive centers in Utah and Maryland for storing data and it is reckoned to be able to store between 3 and 12 ExaBytes. One Exabyte is 1 million terabytes. It is likely much more by now.

A few years ago prior to the rise of Instagram and Flickr if anyone can remember it, people were storing most of their data on their own disk drives in their own computers. Today about 55% of users now just use the cloud and this figure is rising. This means the data that belongs to billions of people is sitting on the servers of just a handful of companies. Is that really a good idea? Apple already have a service to seamlessly hold all your iPhone data in the cloud. That's all the pictures, chat and messages on your phone. It's a way of getting around the memory limitations of the phone itself or so it is suggested. Naturally it is so much handier for Apple that all your data resides in their cloud where they can mine it.

Here is another example of data; this time from YouTube. In an article from 2016, ref 2, Google researchers reported 400 hours of video are uploaded every minute to YouTube and requires 1 petabyte (1 million Gigabytes) per day. Still think data storage is a problem?

Text Analysis and Public Opinion

The commercial market for text analysis is already worth billions. This involves running software programs against data like millions of product reviews, or millions of emails or millions of complaints or millions of advert clicks, or survey results, or search terms used by people and on and on. There are literally endless ways to search and analyse and the amount of data available holding useful information is vast. For companies like Google it is said they know more about you and your likes and interests than you do. Every book, every recipe, every article, every thing you search for they probably can figure out. Google analytics software, which is part and parcel of their adverts service, runs on the majority of websites and tracks your usage right across the internet.-today. If you book holidays, hotels, restaurants, order food online then they probably have some or all of that data. Once again it doesn't really matter whether it is Google, Apple, Amazon, Yahoo or whoever has the data other than the plain fact is that between a very small set of firms, they have enormous knowledge of the lives of billions of people at this stage. It cannot be stressed enough the scale of this whole thing is exhausting to think about and as result people are not thinking about it.

From a political point of view, it gets interesting when you can discover for hundreds of millions of people what types of political headlines they see and which types of stories you click on to read further the content and whether you tend to focus on right wing stuff, environmentalism, reactionary politics, celebrities, sports, films, local politics. Every single page requested by your browser to a website is recorded in the logs and the same information can be gleaned through advert tracking. If you know what people read online and what they spend most of their online time looking at, there is an excellent chance you can figure out their political leanings. You can probably figure out whether they follow mainstream, or a bit skeptical or very skeptical. Their search terms alone would give plenty of clues and the types of sites and stories they read, would give even more. They of course would have easily be able to classify your social economic status and level of education and alongside purchasing power.

Now think back to the Goggle Traffic example above how it does this huge job in real-time. It is safe to assume that just for the purposes of advertising and marketing, continual analysis is done on what you read and search for. Any software that can do that can just as easily look at the reaction of the public over time and watch and predict what public opinion is. If a major news item breaks, it would be easy to see how many people notice or are bothered to read about it. Then what their reaction is, what media outlets get the most hits, break that down by gender, age group, country, socio-economic status and any number of factors. Traffic for different sites would uncover where people are going to get other angles on a given story and whether their interest is waning or continues in the days and hours after. You could also detect discussion online from comments and text in email what the public reaction is. You don't need everyone's opinion just a sample which is exactly what opinion polls do. The data flowing to this giant corporations is like the results of millions of opinion polls constantly taking place probing every possibility. The links in ref 11 indicate this is not speculation but fact as companies already offer these services.

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Sample WhatsApp chat -easy to parse for AI

From WhatsApp or simply from phone calls made, you can derive, without reading or listening to either, your relationships with others, in terms of who knows who, how often they communicate, when they communicate. It would be a good measure of the strength of those links and associations. Snowden made it absolutely clear the intelligence agencies have been doing this for years. An Israeli company Amdocs has contracts with most of the worlds telecom companies and processes billions of telephone records daily. Think of the connectivity trees, location information and endless other data this holds. To suggest Mossad don't get to see any or all of this would be foolish in the extreme. But as communications shifts from national phone networks to the services like WhatsApp, Skype and others by Big Tech, this puts Big Tech into the position the intelligence agencies were in and automatically passes power to them.

If you can accurately predict and measure public opinion in near real-time and your organisation (i.e. Big Tech) are in very close partnership with the media conglomerates that write the news and most of the media content and this is the very substance of what makes and shapes public opinion, then it is a small step to take start shaping public opinion and what people believe yourself. For commercial ends it is easy to imagine making large gains, but a little bit of reflection on the political aspect makes that clear too.

Corporate Power vs State Power

We have so far only covered at a very superficial level the technology surrounding us today and have not covered agencies like the NSA or GCHQ do. With regards to Ireland the State has various systems but would not have access to all the interesting information just discussed above and is a very junior partner which will be given scraps of information it might ask for, if it is lucky or perhaps in exchange financially or for certain favours or both. That there are things big tech knows or has data on, that the government would like to know, is a certainty. For small countries like Ireland the state is the junior partner in this area. It is easy to imagine Big Tech companies -all based in Ireland, providing the government in power with a constant stream of juicy information about their opponents and help them stay in power or at least manage their PR. Naturally they would want some gifts of useful information returned in other ways.

In the past few centuries when Europe went from various kingdoms and city states and started forming into fully fledged states like France, Germany, Italy and all the rest, this was the period of the rise of the national state and spread globally. The US is sort of a super state as might be considered Russia or China. The appearance of the EU is really the beginning of an EU superstate. For example laws passed in Brussels supercedes any national laws of EU members and must eventually in reasonable time be put into law. Assuming the EU survives and integrates further, we can conclude the era of the national state is declining. To survive the competition other regions of the world will inevitably in time, do the same thing. Unless they are just bombed into the category of failed state, by the democratic West.

Parallel to this process and happening much quicker is the rise of corporate power and alongside it, corporate political power. Large multi-national corporations span sovereign states (are they sovereign anymore?) and many are already global with global influence. They frequently play one state off against the other for favourable conditions in tax and working conditions, preferably that workers have less rights and in some cases are not allowed form unions. They all have the ear of governments and the really big ones not only extract a lot of money in the form of not paying any tax (Apple and 13 billion euro anyone?) or land and buildings given to them very cheaply but behind the scenes they have very powerful lobbies and frequently their working papers will form the backbone of government policy. The EU has thousands of lobby firms with direct access to European MEPs and EU commissioners. Few if any NGOs have lobbyists at this level of the political establishment with type of access and can less afford to do so. Thus they are largely ignored. The EU has gone from social Europe to Corporate Europe. You have to wonder does it not make sense for Big Tech to devote just one or two of their staff to running the data mining software on key politicians and decision makers as they use their WhatsApp/Facebook/Skype/Zoom/Email for each country where they operate just so they might find information that could become useful in "negotiations" to persuade them of the virtues of seeing Big Techs view of a given situation.

The turnover or revenue of many of the top large corporations exceeds the GDP of many countries indicating they are serious competitors and cannot be easily ignored. We know from the very term of banana republic and from countries like Nigeria, corporations have had inordinate and negative influence, the latter with Shell. Nigeria is a very oil rich country yet the standard of living is very low and worrying about Covid-19 in a place like that would be the least of your worries.

Facebook own WhatsApp and as pointed out earlier, billions of messages are exchanged each day on it containing everything that is part of life and that is not forgetting all the information posted on Facebook too. From sharing of links to news to family arguments, Facebook along with other Big Tech companies, has in it's hand immense political power because it can have a major role in shaping public opinion and controlling what people see, read and what they don't hear about. It can also quickly detect when a flame of resistance or questioning arises and react immediately by modifying or removing stories or evening promoting certain new ones. On Facebook itself if a certain undesirable fact or story is getting too much traction, it's team of censors can quickly zap it. Any complaints, well it was fake news. Google can do the same. Google owns YouTube. Outside of the national news on national TV stations, it has a massive role in news and reportage of events of all kinds from the very local to the geopolitical. It knows exactly what is trending and can easily decide to promote anything it chooses and censor what it deems does not fit the agenda being promoted. In some cases there are indeed videos that should be removed. It might be argued that some particular local news paper is carrying an important story the mainstream are not carrying and thus disproves what was just said. No because most people will only find it through the search engines like Google, Bing or Yahoo. It is okay if 1,000 people read it locally in that region because it makes no difference so long as the few hundred or billion or two don't get to see it.

If these corporations are the ones reporting the news, measuring and shaping public opinion, know everything everyone does, what they think, what they read, watch, where they go and they have revenue streams matching small countries, have lobbyist armies, then surely it is reasonable to say they are already usurping national power and have gained political power in a global sense. You can not run any political campaign without them. Besides, trivial local matters are of little concern. It is the big issues like the shape and structure of society, who owns the important companies and where resources are allocated that matter to them. Even before the rise of Big Tech their influence was becoming dominant. Now their dominance is near complete and it's hermetically sealed. For multi-nationals it might all have started with a focus on getting more revenue and no doubt it still is to a fair extent, but when you discover how much power -political or otherwise you acquire, few are willing to walk away from it.

In the arena of so called Free Trade agreements which are not really about free trade and more about removal of protections implemented by governments over decades for the protection of the citizens in areas as diverse as health, education, environment, toxic exposure, safety, workers right and protections, -all these agreements have been driven by multi-nationals. They have already used Investor-State Dispute Settlement (ISDS) mechanisms to supersede state law and protections in some countries and hold their own corporate rules higher. Countries have been fined countries hundreds of millions dollars and have continuously tried to include ISDS in free trade agreements. See ref 3.

This is nothing less than takeover. The corporations have grown so big, they have simply written their own laws to favour them and used their might to run rough shod over national government and ram these policies into place. No doubt always with a bit of corruption along the way. The corporations are not interested in sharing power along side state power, they would prefer to dictate to it and ideally would take it over minus it's duties to it's citizens. For PR sake, it is useful though to have a national government that is just their pawn in place to not arouse the masses. They needed worry. There is no chance of that. The odd few people, 1 or 2 in a hundred asking timid or tepid questions doesn't count.

Are we to assume therefore that these big tech corporations will be just happy with making and shaping public opinion? No. It is not by coincidence that every major book or film dealing with the future totalitarian state from Orwell's 1984 to others, all contain the evil giant global corporation as the centre of power which is all seeing and looks down on the hapless masses. In the plot, the dominant corporate entity has merged with the super-national state and acquired it's police and military forces. They are one and the same. The recurring theme is that these are the final stable planetary conditions and with all opposition gone because the power hold is so great and all consuming. It is like the lone ant dwelling upon his place in the colony. There is simply no chance that it could even contemplate taking on the colony let alone doing so. The lone ant just does not have any comprehension of the scale and dynamics of the hive it lives in. Most of us are in the same position except our hive is a bit bigger. While we have more neurons in our skulls than an ant, it seems to the last man & woman standing they are not switched on and just taking up space in our heads.

When you shape and control public opinion and a few lone nuts believe otherwise, the populace of the teeming millions that are in your hands will do all your police work for you and should the lone nut find two or three others who decide it is time to start raising awareness, then the forces of the state can casually and easily deal with the minor irritation.

Is Artificial Intelligence (AI) Dangerous

Yes, very. In the hands of Big Tech even more so. Could it help humanity. In the theoretical sense it could but in reality it will be the tool to enslave it.

If we step back in time to the medieval ages, the king had a layer under him of nobles, lords, vassals, church officials, all the way down to merchants. At the bottom were most people. The hierarchy of wealth and power and the numbers in each were related to how the technology or lack of, allowed the king to hold the whole country firmly under his control. The more enforcers you require the more wealth and power you need to share with those just under you.

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In the sci-fi Orwellian future, robots and artificial intelligence are what makes up members of the hierarchy of control and enforcement and thereby less vaccines for the traditional enforcers. That just means even more of us at the bottom and less at the top. In the present era according to the annual Oxfam report, just 62 people own half of the worlds wealth! See ref 4. Since there are approximately 7,000 billionaires in the world, how much does this small elite own? Has to be bigger than half. After millions of companies go bust in the current Covid-19 global lockdown, these same few people will be able to go on a huge spending spree and buy up many of these important firms for as they say 'pennies on the dollar'.

We have heard alot about artificial intelligence (AI) and the average person probably knows little about it other than the endless promotion of driverless cars which one would to think is the most pressing need in the world. AI is still limited in some respects and in some cases acts more like artificial stupidity like when pop-up adverts appear for a hotel near to the one you have just booked online for your holidays moments before. You are hardly going to book a second one.

Whatever the current limitations, one should not be fooled and it's reach and abilities like the rest of the industry, are growing fast. It is already employed behind the scenes from analysing text in the form of email, chat, comments, messages, forums and reviews to playing a role in language translation, voice recognition and even computer generated speech which is now at the point of almost being indistinguishable to human speech. The ability to generate its own coherent sentences is different, and the common experience with Google Translate would suggest at this moment in time it would not be able to generate fully coherent text that was obviously not from a machine. This is not the last word on it because in specific focused areas it is surprisingly good at it. See examples in links provided in ref 5.

You can see how if it improved further and reached the perfection techno geeks would like, it could start imitating the orders an commands of generals, police chiefs, superintendents and all sorts of other officials and ordering the minions below them by sending AI generated emails or having conversations by phone all the while reproducing the voice accents of the relevant individuals. And why not gaining control of special forces teams to carry out specific hits? See ref 6 below reporting on "Google?s DeepMind Achieves Speech-Generation Breakthrough". In this way it could silently take over the running of society. Lets hope AI and robot technology don't advance too fast. This though is getting ahead of ourselves and AI is not in that position yet and it is a separate discussion to whether it could or if it could; how long it would take. This future possibility is only suggested to show what logically could follow. Anyhow films like Terminator to some degree have covered this scenario in greater graphic detail. Were the directors trying to jolt the public into thinking about where we are going?

Be aware too, in May 2019, researchers at Samsung demonstrated a Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) -based system that produced videos of a person speaking with only a single photo of that person provided and in image recognition back in 2015, researchers concluded for the first time that machines were better at identifying objects in images than humans were, in over 1000 categories. In the field of image generation, think fake news creation by military industrial complex, as reported by TheStacker website:

Japanese startup called DataGrid revealed in a press release revealed a series of photorealistic images of what appeared to be humans but were, in fact, created by AI. This advance utilizes a whole new level of deep learning algorithms that create realistic images so good that they can fool other humans..

This is related to the generation of "Deep Fakes". This is where one image a person can be seamlessly superimposed over another. So you can put anyone anywhere doing something that someone else did or said. This has massive potential for all sorts of mischief and blackmail. Trying deny something that the fake picture show even though you were never there but when the "factual" media -owned by the billionaire class say it is true, then it must be true. You might have friends in the alternative media saying it's fake, but since they are already labelled as untrustworthy and blacklisted by the "mature" and "responsible" media then you're done. The current battle over who is fake and who isn't might now have more relevance.

Little known is during the final attacks by NATO on Libya in 2011, a film set replica of the Green square in the center of Tripoli, capital of Libya, was created in Qatar and Al Jazeera had actors pretending to be "rebels" celebrating victory at the fall of Tripoli. When Gadaffi's fighters saw this on the TV that they took it as true that and gave up and surrendered. See ref 7. The country has since then be looted, tens of thousands were killed in the aftermath, the infrastructure of water, sewage and other key elements destroyed by NATO bombing, it's bank gold stolen by the West and it is now for all intents and purposes another dangerous, chaotic and failed state since then. This is to illustrate the real use and power of faking stuff and not for making cute videos on YouTube. This Libya con wasn't even using anything too sophisticated. It does make you wonder about a lot of videos you see that can become quite pivotal moments that signal when certain shifts in public opinion swing.

Another one was during the first Gulf War in 1990, when a young Kuwaiti woman posing as a nurse claimed Iraqis were trying babies out of incubators to die on the floor. It turns out none of it was true and she was coached by Hill & Knowlton, a New York-based PR firm, hired to drum up support for the war as there was none. This PR firm had previously spun for the tobacco industry and a number of governments with ugly human rights records. The woman was after the war (and many dead including babies) found out to be none other than the daughter of Saud Nasir al-Sabah, Kuwait?s ambassador to the US.

It means very very little is trust worthy particularly if is trying to get you to believe something important. This may seem to have little to do with the subject matter here but it does because the same media promoted this none-sense and the same people who own industries that profit from wars they promote, have very large stakes in Big Tech and control by virtue of ownership of AI technology. It gets back to this special place all things "tech" are anointed in the media, as cool, trendy, cute and somehow neutral of politics. It is not. There is a very ugly side to these people.

Returning to the topic; in the area of parsing text and transcripts of anything said and given YouTube can automatically generate subtitles of videos which is equivalent to generating transcripts; the current state of AI is that it is easily able to derive a lot of knowledge or meaning out of this type of data and classify according to the subject domain and to some level determine the intent. For example all those pop chat boxes you see on websites everywhere handling customer support & issues are run by AI at the back-end. Business statistics show they save on costs for companies and solve many queries previously handled by call centre operators. Already AI in medicine is as accurate as many doctors in diagnosing certain diseases and an Israeli company have successfully deployed it for reading patient MRI images and diagnosis. It is a tiny step to advance this to all MRI machines by sending the MRI output to the cloud for analysis. Calling up Amazon Cloud services and renting out space on 100 servers or whatever, then loading up it's software and the Israeli company could potentially run it for every hospital.The point being made is that once an advance has been made in a piece of AI software, it can be deployed with lightening speed globally if necessary.

In language translation AI has achieved real-time translation of the spoken word into Chinese. Keep in mind that if AI can translate between all the worlds major languages, parse text and understand to a significant level, it is easy to train the next generation of any software with quantities of text and voice that one person could not read or listen to in a hundred lifetimes. The block at the moment for AI is the ability to fully digest all of this in the "intelligent" sense and truly learn at the very deepest levels. If you are not scared yet, you should be.

The conclusion is inescapable, those who own and control AI will gain global scale power. Even Putin has acknowledged this.

The objective here is to demonstrate AI is already in widespread use by large and small corporations and startups are creating new fields. It is beyond doubt that they are employed by the leading global intelligence agencies (US, UK, Russia & China) for transcription, translation and analysis of voice traffic and mining emails and messages of all kinds. For some parts of the world the Western military fights wars, mainly via their proxies but in the rest of the world where we live the battle ground is the media space for the hearts and minds -well public opinion and this war is a propaganda war. The fight is between large corporations and the public and any and all means are used by them. If you can change someone's mind to do something then you don't have to force them and that saves you a lot effort and allows you to do more. Social acceptance and social stigma are incredibly powerful forces and they are strongly related to what "most" people believe in and public opinion. However if you own the means to shape these then you can label the things that are taboo to openly discuss. If you can turn them into unthinking uncritical sheep then all the better.

We know from the bits and pieces that came out during the scandal about Cambridge Analytica and Facebook that it revealed the murky world of using personal data collected by Facebook for political ends. For example the website Arstechnica.com (ref 8) reports:

Cambridge Analytica has suspended CEO Alexander Nix. In addition to controversy over unauthorized access to private Facebook data, Nix is also facing a scandal over comments captured by hidden cameras. In those videos, Nix boasts about using dirty tricks?including staged bribery attempts and sending prostitutes to seduce political opponents?to win elections.

Example of how Facebook data can be used:

...researcher Michal Kosinski found he could predict a lot about a person based on Facebook likes. Kosinski created an online personality quiz that required users to log in to Facebook to take it. Once users logged in, he collected data from the user's Facebook profile, including the list of pages they have "liked." The quiz was a hit, and Kosinski soon had a large database of people's private Facebook data. And he found that Facebook data was a surprisingly good predictor of other demographic and personality traits.

"On the basis of an average of 68 Facebook 'likes' by a user, it was possible to predict their skin color (with 95-percent accuracy), their sexual orientation (88-percent accuracy), and their affiliation to the Democratic or Republican party (85 percent),"


Src: https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2018/03/facebooks-cambridge-analytica-sca...

Why was there such a political storm over this little known company? It is because the establishment know what is going up and did their level best to prevent knowledge leaking out that this is probably widespread and much deeper. The old adage applies: If there is one bad bank then they are all bad banks since they are likely to be doing the same corrupt things. That was the case in the crash of 2008. The coping strategy was to focus on the individuals or very focused aspects of the scandal in the hope people forgot about the substance of the issue. The exact same strategy was followed with the leaks of the Clinton emails. It was all about the leakers and nothing about the contents of the emails which were explosive.

The logic should be clear. Cambridge Analytica popped up and was revealed to be using the technologies outlined for the purposes speculated in parts on above. The media -which means the billionaire class -the 1% of 1% -tried to play it down because Cambridge Analytica are only one of possibly hundreds of companies doing this type of thing and the powerful corporations did not and do not want the public to know the full extent.

Troll farms are another vast area and while while people might think there are only Russian trolls farms this would be a very serious mistake. They bridge the world between secret governments, PR firms, crime and criminality. Check out the story in ref 9 for some insight. In troll farms one person can control anything from 10 to 100 fake online accounts from Twitter to Facebook to anywhere that lets you create them. The use of AI technology will increase the power of these outfits orders of magnitude more than their considerable impact today.

Overall then there can be little doubt that for them, Big Tech are in a great position. Their power grows daily and the power of those who might rein them in shrinks relative to them daily. In addition AI is now rising in power rapidly. We seemed to have crossed certain thresholds of technology to allow this to happen and it so happens Big Tech own this new force too. The geeks think they are in control but they don't realize they are merely the workers for these people and can be de-listed the minute they realize the monsters they are building. Is it because people like Zukerberg (Faceebook CEO) or ,Larry Page and Sergey Brin (both Google) are geeks, that the rank and file geeks they are somehow the same and just like them, so everything is okay. Knowing the naivety of geeks the answer is yes.

The only question is whether the final merger between Big Tech and the Deep State be a take-over by one of the other or a merger. The Deep State has not been mentioned here in any great detail but they have numerous large and lucrative contracts with Big Tech and are definitely in bed together. Probably several books couldn't cover the relationship alone.

Techno Geeks Trying to Avoid Politics

It is not surprising really that technology is constantly presented in the media as cool and great and somehow politically neutral if not free. It's just geeks having fun. Nothing to see here and besides with heroes or more like cult leaders such as Elon Musk, they are all out for your own good and to create a better world. The tech world seems to attract the politically naive at least at the engineering level. Most of them think tech alone can improve the lot of the world. They don't really understand politics or want to. They seem to think they can sort of live in a political free future courtesy of their own inventions and "innovations" because they are smarter than real grubby politicians. The cult of the startup has almost religious status and indeed there have been successful ones. In the long run and often the short run, most of these get gobbled up by the giant corporations.

The tiny political class or elite of the very richest people in the world who own practically all of the high tech industry love things this way and there is an infinite stream of smart young worshipers coming forward from the Tech is Cool religion to create even better tools of control for this class. Ultimately they are pawns; even one could say very bright pawns, but it is this blindness to the fact that politics encompasses everything, eventually, that makes them so. If they would just think a little politically they could form the activist body to try wrestle back some control to the public sphere.

A Quick Word on Encryption

Encryption is all about make your data un-readable to others but the people you choose to allow to see it. Until recently the public didn't really bother with it and practically all our internet traffic was there for the taking particularly by the intelligence agencies. It was there for the taking. Since Snowden everyone is now all about encryption and while it has improved in terms of more people using it, there are a few things to understand.

The bigger the organisation the more power and resources they have to address a problem. Encryption more or less blocks out most of the small time players like individual hackers, criminals and so forth. That leaves large state institutions and corporations as players in the game. For all the talk, epic tales about coding breaking and mathematical geniuses, the intelligence have always side stepped the issue and gone at this sideways. The following stories illustrates.

For many decades during the Cold War and afterwards there was a Swiss firm Crypto AG which made special cryptographic machines to allow diplomatic services to carry out encrypted communications between their embassies aboard and their parent national government. All sorts of vital information would flow over these channels. Everyone thought since they are Swiss and are a neutral state then we will use their machines. And they had a good reputation too, so at least 100 countries did The Iranians even used them at one time. The only thing was the CIA and German BND intelligence service secretly controlled the majority of the Swiss firm and access to the company's communication equipment and could easily break the codes used to send encrypted messages. So you see they got around the code breaking problem by comprising the machines and having access. See ref 10.

What is the relevance of this today. Well the dedicated resource of the Cyber team divisions of the NSA/CIA and others like GCHQ (UK) and no doubt others, are able to infect virtually any computer or phone. They can insert their eavesdropping software in place between where you type out the message and before it gets encrypted by whatever software is doing so in your phone. Same for receiving in a similar way. It is not a case of infecting all phone, but a short list of all key politicians, decision makers and activists in a country would be a relatively small manageable lot and of priority. Much of this was verified by Snowden.

For the wider public, you can be sure that Big Tech have their own methods to side step encryption used in their own software. If Big Tech like Apple says you can use our product for free to send a message and no-one can read it because it is encrypted end-to-end between you and the receiver. Why then are they letting you use the service for free and they get nothing out of it. Chances are buried in the small print you will find they can and buried in there it says in fact they can read it. After all they wrote the software so would have full control. And if you are storing the received unencrypted data in their cloud, doesn't that mean they have it anyhow?

Finally the geeks will say but using freeware software like Pretty Good Privacy or others like it and using public key encryption, you can defeat them. True. However the development of quantum computers has been ongoing for the last 25 years and they are now leaving the lab. You can read about these strange new machines elsewhere suffice to say once they get going, they will be easily able to crack even the current set of public key encryption algorithms. It still would take the determination, skill and resources of state or corporate level power but would be doable.

Depending on the speed with which quantum computing grows, it will be inextricably linked with AI and the outcome is hard to predict but it can only be described as an utter game changer. Lots of Big Tech companies are racing to be the first. Once again Google is one of the front runners. See ref 10 for some details.

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Wrap Up and Speculation on the Present Situation

To finish off on an AI note, it is worth speculating a little bit and in light of perhaps some better awareness the following won't seem too far fetched. As we know Microsoft own Skype, the intelligence services (NSA and GCHQ) and their counterparts in other countries scoop up most of the phone calls at least of people of interest like anyone who has ever shown the slightest interest in politics. The Zoom corporation, of which hundreds of millions have started using in the past few weeks, is a public company and work closely with the other members of Big Tech and would never have got anywhere if they did not cooperate with the NSA, all of the billions of conversations going on could probably be having transcripts generated. Since you have to register with all these services, all the speakers can be tied back to actual real individuals. Do not worry if the software cannot identify the different speakers because that particular technical problem was sorted out years ago; I mean when you talk on Zoom or Skype it will automatically highlight your video showing the software is able to tag the audio stream to the given speakers to make the overall job easier. So if all these transcripts are being generated and a much smaller and infinitely more manageable stream of text comes out the other end the question arises especially in the present Covid-19 global lock down which looks like is designed to crash the entire economy rather than mitigate an epidemic, do they know exactly what level of fear, belief and disbelief is present and are they controlling via censorship on one hand and promotion of memes / videos, stories on the other to shape and control us globally and to feed it all back in to keep the lockdown going, keep the fear hyped up and distort the numbers and pump out emotional stories of people dying. This task is the very sort of thing AI could presently greatly assist in. Ref 11 hints at this by virtue of the whole interest in measuring public opinion.

References


Ref 1:
Call It Super Bowl Face Scan I
https://www.wired.com/2001/02/call-it-super-bowl-face-scan-i/

Ref 2
https://www.datacenterknowledge.com/archives/2016/05/02/google-wants-rethink-...

Ref 3:
The obscure legal system that lets corporations sue countries
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/jun/10/obscure-legal-system-lets-co...

Why Is Philip Morris International Inc. Suing These Countries?
https://www.fool.com/investing/general/2015/11/23/why-is-philip-morris-intern...

The trade deal which fines governments for acting on climate change
https://isds.bilaterals.org/?the-trade-deal-which-fines

Ref 4:
62 people own the same wealth as half the world. Here's why that's bad
https://www.oxfamamerica.org/explore/stories/62-people-own-as-much-as-half-of...

The Report: AN ECONOMY FOR THE 1% How privilege and power in the economy drive extreme inequality and how this can be stopped
https://s3.amazonaws.com/oxfam-us/www/static/media/files/bp210-economy-one-pe...

Previous Reports here: https://www.oxfam.org/en/press-releases/richest-1-percent-bagged-82-percent-w...

Ref 5:

Advances in Semantic Textual Similarity
https://ai.googleblog.com/2018/05/advances-in-semantic-textual-similarity.html

Sentiment Analysis is difficult, but AI may have an answer.
https://towardsdatascience.com/sentiment-analysis-is-difficult-but-ai-may-hav...

What is Text Mining, Text Analytics and Natural Language Processing?
https://www.linguamatics.com/what-text-mining-text-analytics-and-natural-lang...

Preview: Overview of text classification model
https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/ai-builder/text-classification-overview

4 Free and Open Source Text Analysis Software
https://www.softwareadvice.com/resources/easiest-to-use-free-and-open-source-...

Detecting Depression from Voice
https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-030-18305-9_47

A.I. and speech advances bring virtual assistants to work
https://www.computerworld.com/article/3264433/ai-and-speech-advances-bring-vi...

Ref 6:
Google?s DeepMind Achieves Speech-Generation Breakthrough
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-09-09/google-s-ai-brainiacs-achi...

WaveNet: A generative model for raw audio Go to this page and scroll down and click on the audio players to hear the computer generated speech generated by WaveNet technology. It is hard to tell it is not human.
https://deepmind.com/blog/article/wavenet-generative-model-raw-audio

Ref 7:
Al Jazeera?s fake Green Square
https://stopwarcrimes.wordpress.com/2011/08/22/al-jazeeras-fake-green-square/

The First Iraq War Was Also Sold to the Public Based on a Pack of Lies
https://billmoyers.com/2014/06/27/the-first-iraq-war-was-also-sold-to-the-pub...

Ref 8:
Facebook?s Cambridge Analytica scandal, explained [Updated]
https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2018/03/facebooks-cambridge-analytica-sca...

Ref 9:
Undercover at a Troll Farm in Poland
https://www.investigate-europe.eu/undercover-at-a-troll-farm/

Ref 10

CIA Secretly Owned Swiss Encryption Firm for Years: Reports
https://www.bankinfosecurity.com/cia-secretly-owned-swiss-encryption-firm-for...

Google CEO Sundar Pichai on achieving quantum supremacy
https://www.technologyreview.com/2019/10/23/102523/google-ceo-quantum-suprema...

Quantum supremacy using a programmable superconducting processor
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-019-1666-5

Ref 11:
Network Public Opinion Analysis Based on Text Mining
The abstract reads: In order to control and guide the bad emotions of netizens in the process of network group emergencies, it is necessary to analyze the emotional tendencies of users based on network public opinion, so as to provide theoretical support and countermeasures for the government to effectively grasp and monitor network public opinion emergencies ....but is it for China, so that's alright. We're safe so.
https://www.scientific.net/AMR.989-994.4909

Internet Public Opinion Recognition and Tracking Based on Web Mining
https://www.scientific.net/AMR.989-994.4909

Mining Tweets for Public Opinion
https://blogs.wsj.com/numbers/mining-tweets-for-public-opinion-1118/

Identify Public Opinion - this company offers AI data mining services amongst one of many services it offers is: Identify Public Opinion, valuate Campaigns & Advocacies, Customised Topics of Concerns,Crisis Management, Evaluate Campaign Performance and many more
https://www.umaxdata.com/public-affairs.html

1 of indy - Sun Apr 05, 2020 23:11

The current shutdown of the economy and lockdown of society all around the world is unprecedented and it is very clear that the media are talking up the number and trying to instil panic and fear in the people. This is true not just in Ireland but everywhere else. What all the media reports have in common is that not a single one of them puts the numbers into perspective. All we see are league tables of infections and deaths for this country and others and how it is all going to get worse.

Update: The common flu causes up to 5 million cases of severe illness worldwide and kills up to 650,000 people every year, according to the World Health Organization


THIS IS HUGE: Stanford?s Antibodies Study Wraps Up, Shows Covid-19 Is 50x More Prevalent and 50x Less Deadly Than Believed
https://youtu.be/jGUgrEfSgaU


The purpose of this article is to introduce some rational discussion of these numbers and show how it all relates to each other.

Regular Yearly and Daily Deaths in Various Countries

So for example in the case of Ireland the headline screams today (Sat 4th Apr) 17 more deaths and 331 new cases for a total of 4,604. Anyone following the news will know this daily death rate has risen over the last week or so and 17 people is quite alot and brings the total so far to 137. So now we will put this in context.

Update: Important Links: The Lockdown-Fueled Covid Panic Is Already Killing More People Than the Actual Virus | Austrian Doctors Warn of Lockdown Cost for Heart Attack and Cancer Patients | There Is Now a Staggering Amount of Evidence That Ventilators Are Killing More COVID Patients Than They Save | Funeral Home Lady Bursts Media?s New York COVID Corpse Porn (VIDEO) | Bill Gates? IHME Covid-19 Model Uses Flawed Methods, Is Without Value and Shouldn?t Guide Anyone?s Policies | Trust WHO documentary - A damming Investigation... Trailer -if you can locate the full version contact us via contact form

Consider a country with a population of 100 million and in it, there are an equal number of people at each age group. And lets assume the number of people born is more or less the same as the number who die. This would mean a growth rate of zero percent. We know most Western countries have a growth of anywhere from 1% to 2%. So now assume most people in this country live on average for 100 years. In fact the average expectancy in Ireland is 81.5. But lets stick with 100 for now. Then if you only last 100 years this would mean in a population of 100 million that each year (which is 1% of 100 years) that 1% of the people die. Well 1% of 100 million is simply one million. Therefore the number of people who die per day is 1,000,000 / 365 or 2,739 people per day. Now applying this logic to the USA with a population of approximately 331 million means 3.3 million die a year or 9,068 deaths a day. Italy has a population of 60m. This would then be 600,000 per year or 1,643 per day and for Ireland with a population of 4.9 million, the above would suggest about 49,000 deaths per year.

Other Coverage Sweden?s Dangerous Experiment (Not Committing Social & Economic Suicide) Is Still Working | Covid Doomsday Cult Said Sweden Would Be Drowning in Bodies. It?s Doing Better Than Lockdown Britain | Ohio Citizens Stage a Spirited Protest Against the Covid Rouge Lockdown (VIDEO) | Irish Independent: (Apr 13th) We have sleepwalked into a police state - it's vital we have right to question State's actions | Slovenia?s Official Antibodies Study Implies COVID Infection Fatality Rate Just 0.15%, Comparable to Seasonal Influenza Infection is far more widespread (and far less lethal) than captured by PCR tests (15 to 58 times more so)


The above 'model' is fairly crude since the shape of the population curve is not uniform and people don't live to 100 on average. However it is surprisingly close to the actual figures and within 20% or so. Here are the normal deaths on a regular year for a sample of countries.

Normal number of deaths per year and day for selected countries
Country Population Deaths / year Deaths per day
Ireland 4.9 million 31,116
(in 2018)
85
U.K. 67.8 million 616,014
(in 2018)
1,688
Italy 60.4 million 610,645 1,673
Spain 46.7 million 474,523
(in 2018)
1,300
USA 331 million 2,813,503
(2017)
7,708
China 1,439 million 10.5 million 28,800

It would be a reasonable bet that few people realized that on average 85 people die every single day in Ireland. When you realize this then the 17 does not seem so catastrophic and earth shattering. But lets dig a bit deeper. In the report from the www.hpsc.ie for Apr 3rd where up to that point there were 113 deaths, here is the breakdown of death by Covid-19 by age. Unfortunately though anyone over 65 is in one age bracket and we have to question why they didn't continue the 10 year age brackets. Is it to hype the numbers and make it seem that the risk at death at 65 or 66 seems higher than it is. From RTE news reports it says the median age of today's reported deaths is 77 -that is of the 17 today. This is quite close to the average life expectancy of 81.5.

Covid-19 Deaths by Age Profile

Update 2: The Italian government has released the percentage of deaths by age group and that works out at 99% over the age of 60 or 83% of all Covid deaths over the age of 70. And please see Important Update below as only 12% of these deaths may actually be cause by Covid since most of these people had other life threatening illnesses
Update 3: Up to 99% of people who died in Italy from Covid had other underlying conditions and very likely many of them would have died if not immediately, very soon afterwards

Age Group Number of Deaths
< 5 0
5 - 14 0
15 - 24 0
25 - 34 2
35 - 44 1
45 - 54 1
55 - 64 6
65 + 103
Percentage of Deaths by Age Group in Italy due to Covid-19*
* see Important Update box below
Age Group Percentage of Deaths
60 - 69 16%
70 - 79 35%
80 - 89 42%
90+ 6%
Total 99%
In other words 99% of all deaths were people over 60!

Yet another point is that the figure of 81.5 for average life expectancy is for both males and females, but the separate figures are 83.4 for females and 79.7 for males and one of the strange things about the virus is that far more men die of it than women. Going back to that media age of 77 this is noticed it is reasonably close to the average age of men. It seems like if you are within a year or two of your average life expectancy for your sex and you came down seriously ill with Covid then you are in real danger.

If one looks at the normal distribution on any given year by age, not all the people who die on a given day are either 83.4 if female and 79.7 if male. The two charts below from the Central Statistics Office show what it looks like. This really means that you have to include deaths of 'younger' people by accidents, suicide and diseases like heart attacks and cancer but you can still see that they still make up a smaller portion of the daily body count.

An interesting question then is of the 17 Covid deaths today who had a median age of 77, should these been added to the regular daily death rate of 85 people or is there some overlap? The chart below suggests overlap. Having said that no-one wants to die even one day before their time.

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In the current climate of fear and panic, people don't like to listen to anyone who questions the official narrative in any way. A common argument put forward when the above facts are presented is that 'yeah but young people are getting it and have died'. Well yes that is true, but so is it true that young people get cancer and die. The argument is really used to just shutdown debate and try make you out to be some sort of callous creature.

Now that these numbers have been put into a bit of context, when we hear for example 700 people died in a single day in Italy which is really broadcast to scare the pants off us, we can see the 700 in comparison to the 1,618 that die on a given day is not so end of the world. It is high though but again the same characteristics of the age profile is likely to occur.

At this point in the discussion, the people who are most frightened and righteous minded are shouting but that's not the point it will go exponential and we have to lock down to stop it.



Important Update 1: Italy

It looks like Italy which is the epicentre of the scare where it is important to hype the numbers to scare us all has massively talked up the numbers on deaths.

According to Prof Walter Ricciardi, scientific adviser to Italy?s minister of health, the country?s mortality rate is far higher due to demographics ? the nation has the second oldest population worldwide ? and the manner in which hospitals record deaths.

?The age of our patients in hospitals is substantially older ? the median is 67, while in China it was 46,? Prof Ricciardi says. ?So essentially the age distribution of our patients is squeezed to an older age and this is substantial in increasing the lethality.? [Note by Indy Editor. Median age is lower in China.]

But Prof Ricciardi added that Italy?s death rate may also appear high because of how doctors record fatalities.

?The way in which we code deaths in our country is very generous in the sense that all the people who die in hospitals with the coronavirus are deemed to be dying of the coronavirus.

?On re-evaluation by the National Institute of Health, only 12 per cent of death certificates have shown a direct causality from coronavirus, while 88 per cent of patients who have died have at least one pre-morbidity ? many had two or three.?

So in effect they are re-categorizing all the regular people who die of cancer, heart disease, flu and everything else and saying they are dying of Covid-19. That is why the numbers are closing in on the normal daily rates. What this means is that we have to suspect everything including what are the tests actually testing.

Important Update 2: The Consequence of the Low Number of Flu Deaths Last Year

At any given time there is always a certain fraction of people who are dying of some underlying disease and do not have too long to live maybe of the order of a few days to a several months. Each year when the flu season comes along, it is these people who often succumb and they are swept up by the virus and constitute a vulnerable population in which to take hold. This is because people in that state of health with their immune system very low are especially at risk. However last year the number of flu deaths was down everywhere in both Europe and the US. This means therefore that the pool of vulnerable people that normally die were available this year to the Corona-virus and so this goes along way to explain the legit deaths that did occur and in Northern Italy which has a particularly old population this explains why it appear to affect it so much although the point raised above that probably only 12% should really qualify for death by Covid still stands.




Predictions, the Economy and Human Life

Switching to the UK a few weeks back Neil Ferguson at Imperial College (Ref 1) who was advising the UK government was predicting 500,000 deaths in the UK. A very high figure indeed. Incidentally he has since changed his view and says the NHS will be just about able to cope and reckons the death rate will be around 20,000. Both terrible figures especially when they are not put in context. But they are now. Checking our table above, we see 616,000 deaths by year in the UK. So if Covid-19 is primarily killing those (and not all) who are within a year or two of the end of their live, we can see where this figure of 500k comes from. It is more or less all the deaths of the year compressed into one. What is never stated is whether this is 500,000 extra deaths. It is probably a very significant overlap.

Returning now to the crisis there are a few key points which we are all aware of and most people will agree;

  • The entire economy in most of Europe, USA and other parts of the world is shutdown indefinitely
  • All schools, colleges, hotels, pubs, cafes, restaurants and non-essential shops are closed
  • In Ireland several 100,000 have lost their jobs and almost everyone else working from home with restrictions to stay within 2km of your residence
  • Ryanair has grounded at least 90% of all it's large fleet of airplanes. As have Aer Lingus, British Airways, Luftansa and basically every other major airline in Europe and the US. During 911, they were grounded for a few days. This is going on for weeks. There has never been anything remotely like this.
  • The economic impact is unprecedented and runs to trillions worldwide and many economists expect if not a world depression certainly a bad recession.
  • Pension funds and investments are being decimated.
  • Social effects are massively disruptive and the suicide rate is probably increasing.
  • Hospitals are more or less empty as regular surgeries are cancelled and people who get mild strokes and heart attacks are reportedly not going to hospital for fear of covid-19 or fear of being a burden. By not doing so, some of these people will die who otherwise might not have. The situation with people attending various other clinic -e.g. cancer treatment is unclear.

Now we are told we had to do this in order to save human life. And it is true human life matters. So why then have most governments underfunded health care for years. Why did the Conservatives in the UK gut the number of beds after the 2008 crisis considering now the UK is at standstill and the costs will far exceed any bailouts to the rich? In the case of Ireland we should ask Fine Gael, why did they let the Vulture Funds in and through other measures ramp up the number of homeless to 10,000 of which about 3,000 are children. Why was people with special needs and those on low income the ones who were hit by huge cutbacks during the crisis since it affected them badly? Why is so much junk food allowed and people's health to grow worse and obesity rates to soar. Why has a sugar tax been resisted and so on.

We hear that in hospitals in Italy and elsewhere doctors have to make tough decisions like giving respirators to young people instead of old people. Does this not contradict things abit. I thought it was mainly old people dying as the stats for Ireland and Italy show. Sure there are many more in ICU than dead. So in essence everyone agrees a young life is more valuable in the sense it is not yet lived. But the evidence clearly shows that they don't really care about the young people as in this country we have just shown 1/3 of homeless people are kids and the rest are probably in their 20s, 30s and 40s. Surely your risk of mental and physical ill health are sky rocket when you are homeless. Do you have to get Covid-19 and then they care. Building social housing for them all would cost a lot less than this crisis is costing. And people forget than literally 10s of thousands of social houses were built in this country where we were dirt poor in place like Crumlin, Kimmage, Finglas, Ballyfermot and all around the country. There are a lot of inconsistencies as you can see. Yet I can still hear the chant in the background 'exponential', 'exponential'.

A few words for the UK and the USA, if human life matters so much why did they knowingly go to war under false pretexts in which hundreds of thousands of died, millions injured in Iraq and so forth and where they wasted trillion which could have been used for health and education for improving the life of people in their own countries. It seems odd they have now stopped their precious economies all of a sudden.

And a few words for India. Population about 1,352 million people. The country is in lockdown because they care too. Yet hundreds of million live in dire poverty anyhow. For example there are slums with millions in them all over Mumbai none of which have proper running water or sewage. The biggest one called Dharavi has 900,000 people living it. No sewers! And the India government is worried about them. It would be interesting to see the life expectancy of those people, child mortality and so forth.

Comparison with Flu numbers

It is therefore time to look at some other similar scaled disasters. First off Covid-19 is NOT the flu and is a new novel strain of a SARS like virus. It should be noted that any comparison with flu is met with anger and people are simply not allowed to discuss it and Covid-19 together. Maybe the reason for that will be clear in a moment.

The flu season normally lasts around 100 days or so and goes from mid-November end of February and by that is meant the bulk of the infections and deaths. This does not rule out that people can get it in the summer. Last year was a good year in UK and Ireland. Flu deaths were way down. When people get the flu and become seriously ill they quite often get pneumonia -the same complication that Covid-19 people are getting. It would appear most cases of pneumonia -up to now -are triggered by the flu. The flu virus itself kills not too many but pneumonia cases are nearly always considered as a result of flu and that is why the national statistics always have a category for influenza related deaths. This means technically people who are said to have died of flu didn't really die of flu but of pneumonia. This is the exact same case as for Covid-19. Many are those dying are dying of pneumonia and the death certificate is marked as death by Covid-19. That is reasonable enough. This means when counting flu deaths we can include pneumonia because they are counting them in as death by Covid-19 when a Covid-19 patient dies of pneumonia. However we do know that in all countries new directives were issued to doctors and other medical staff that were promoting very liberal practices for how to categorize a death as a Covid death to the point that if the doctor thinks it is Covid and no test is available, then they can mark it as Covid. In the climate of fear and paranoia many will not risk their career to write anything other than what is expected of them.

So how many people died of flu in Ireland not last year but in other years. Answer according to a press release from HSE (Ref 2) issued on Oct 1st 2016 they say:

The flu vaccine is a lifesaver because flu can be a very serious and sometimes deadly disease, with potentially 1,000 flu related deaths in Ireland during a severe flu season....

They quote this figure because they were trying to get people to take the vaccine. If we go to CSO figures for influenza related deaths these are shown in the table below which were pieced together from the published Excel sheets for death by cause for the years 2015 to 2017. The format was slightly different each year so the tag line is added for each year to show what it was.

Number of Flu Deaths in Ireland
Figures from CSO
Year Influenza Related Deaths
2015 1,199 (Influenza and pneumonia)
2016 1,127 (Influenza and pneumonia)
2017 1,147 (Influenza and pneumonia)

As we can see this tallies with what the HSE said in their press release. The chart below shows the number of flu infections for the given week of the year and this will automatically correspond with the number of deaths. In other words the bulk occur in the flu season. There is one thing which appears to be out of alignment and that is in the Annual Epidemiological Report from http://www.hpsc.ie covering flu, they seem to only count the direct flu deaths and do NOT include the pneumonia caused by flu and therefore come out with lower numbers. Since it was difficult to get a graph of deaths for Ireland, we will use one from the data for the US, which shows the number of deaths per week for the time of the year from 2010 to 2018. All that is being illustrated is the way it peaks and it will be the same everywhere.

featured image

So accepting an average figure of 1,000 death on an average year and if we assume 100 days for the flu season for the sake of simplicity, then that works out at 10 deaths per day. Up to yesterday that was not far off the same death rate as so far from Covid-19. The panic crowd are now praying that the exponential curve kicks in to prove this article wrong.

But to finish up lets dig out the flu death rates for the UK. Again last year they were really low so here they are for previous years taken from the UK government publication called: Surveillance of influenza and other respiratory viruses in the UK Winter 2018 to 2019 and from their Table 7 on page 51. One assumes they are using the influenza related deaths which is flu + pneumonia. If 1,100+ people die in Ireland and UK has a population 67.8 / 4.9 = 13.8 times larger then we would expect around about 15,180 deaths in the UK. It seems all flu deaths are estimates anyhow because not all of the people die in hospital.



Number of Flu Deaths in UK
Season Influenza Related Deaths
2014 / 2015 28,330
2015 / 2016 11,875
2016 / 2017 18,009
2017 / 2018 26,408
2018 / 2019 1,692

The first thing we see is the estimate extrapolated from Irish figures is not far off and second the new estimate for the number of deaths now suggested by the advisor to UK government Neil Ferguson quoted above of 20,000 deaths is very close to normal year of flu deaths.

So if this lower figure pans out in the UK and lets assume the death toll in Ireland goes from the current 137 today to say a massive 500 or half the normal number of flu deaths, does the question not arise why has the world economy been put in shutdown and literally hundreds of thousands of companies around Europe and the rest of the world driven to bankruptcy along with millions of jobs?

To finish off we can say the flu death rate in Italy with a very similar population to the UK must match it. In Ref 3 below which links to a study of flu deaths in Italy over 4 seasons from 2013/2014 to 2016/2017 it estimates 68,000 deaths. That works out at 68,000/4 or 17,000 deaths per year. This is in sync with the UK.

We are finally ready to publish the league tables we have seen so much of except this time, we will put in the flu deaths along side the Covid tallies so far and suddenly the world does not seem so frightening. It does raise the question why have in previous years it's pretty much okay for so many to die of flu but this year it is all out global panic. You can probably hear this: It's a new virus and its exponential and this is only the start of the big curve and a lot worse is to come and young people are dying... or so they say.

There is also something odd about the respirators. We seem to be given the impression that they are need for the younger people like those in the 30s, 40s and 50s but the reality appears to be is that older people are on them given what doctors are saying. The impression that it looks like they are trying to make is that only for the lockdown preventing the surge we would ran out and these younger people who die and they are more like you and me. It is sort of implied if this got out of hand -i.e. no lockdown, then we would all become seriously ill and die. Its implied. The authorities are really working for you and your safety. Funny though the way there are just so many reports in all the affected countries where doctors and health care workers are being sent into the frontline without proper or insufficient protection equipment. Do they really care about them.

Country Covid-19 death tally
so far
Influenza Related Deaths (average)
Ireland 137 1,100+
U.K. 4,932 11,000 to 28,000
depending on year
Italy 15,362 17,000
depending on year
Spain 11,947 No figure but with population of 46m estimate is 13,000 year
USA 8,407 Varies from 3,000 and 49,000
China 3,318 Unknown

So What is Going On ?

The real puzzle is why in China where 10 million people die every year or 900,000 a month and yet in the month of January or so, 3,318 died from Covid-19. That works out at 0.36% of the regular monthly total. Here's the clincher, either:

  • China thought it was under a covert bio-weapon attack as voiced by the Chinese foreign ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian who claimed US military brought corona virus to Wuhan -see Ref 4.
  • Or a faction in China that opposes Xi Jinping and who are aligned and linked in some way with the 0.01% -i.e. probably the same group of 62 people as widely reported by Oxfam (Ref 5) and others who own half the world's wealth and have immense power. -that this group managed to instigate panic in China before Xi got it under control. The sole intent was to spread panic worldwide and essentially shutdown the global economy for some kind of reset of the global order.

Indeed the amount of financial debt in the world runs to trillion and trillions and if we could derivatives then it is really off the scale in quintillions. Nothing was fixed after the 2008 crisis and the debt has only got bigger. But the richest and most powerful in the world already have so much. In their position money surely does not count and only power does. With the rise of high tech and the surveillance state, the West must surely have been looking jealously at China for the past decade or more admiring their highly effective almost total control of society especially with constant monitoring and awarding of social credits which are sort of the new currency in China and plays a role in determining what you are allowed do.

You see by making use of a real infectious virus that is killing some people but is not Black Death in scale yet until iteration 2 if this round doesn't do the trick, the game plan whatever it is, is global in scale and being rolled out that way. The vast majority in government and authority are just being carried along by the momentum and some are enjoying their new found powers but there are much bigger forces at play and the world media all of which is owned and controlled by the most powerful are the real drivers of the show. A few very frightening things have been learnt so far:

  • People are readily eager to give up all their freedoms, jobs and rights for apparent security
  • People are more than eager to do the work of the authorities and police each other.
  • People will believe absolutely anything they are told by the authorities and will very reluctantly believe other sources unless it matches the official narrative. Fear of being called a nut or conspiracy freak is sky high and the label amounts to social death
  • People will not question anything no matter how little sense it makes and how inconsistent it is

This and more will be teased out in a follow up article.


Don't worry it is just a bad dream. Really people shouldn't worry. It is just like what the authorities everywhere say it is. They are looking after you and when this is all over they are going to clear all your debts and make the world right. There is certainly nothing sinister going on and that is just a crazy conspiracy. So just shut the f**k up and go back to not thinking above your station.

References:

Ref 1a:
Scientist behind 'gold standard' model that predicted 500K deaths in UK (and 2 million in US) admits he was off, now says there will be 20K or fewer in the UK
https://www.theblaze.com/news/scientist-predicted-500k-deaths-now-says-20k

Ref 1b:
Neil Ferguson now says 20,00 death
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2238578-uk-has-enough-intensive-care-uni...

Ref 2:
https://www.hse.ie/eng/services/news/media/pressrel/annualseasonalfluvaccinat...

Ref 3:
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1201971219303285

Ref 4:
https://www.msn.com/en-sg/news/other/chinese-foreign-ministry-spokesman-tweet...

Ref 5:
https://www.oxfam.org/en/press-releases/62-people-own-same-half-world-reveals...
1 of indy - Fri Sep 20, 2019 00:43
A Strategy for Reducing Emissions, Pollution and Making Cities Liveable
The case is made for the provision of free public transport in every major town and city worldwide for a multitude of reasons. It has always been a good idea and should have been done a long time ago, but now with three major issues of our time; resource depletion, including oil, pollution and the climate crisis; they make it imperative that we move to such a system, both to conserve dwindling supplies of cheap energy, to reduce the use of vast mineral resources to make hundreds of millions of cars and to dramatically reduce our carbon emissions because climate change is happening faster than expected. The Earth's climate has turned out to be more sensitive and complex than anticipated as evidenced by the recent dramatic record breaking summer ice melts in the Arctic1 in 2007, 2008, 2012 and basically every year since then. With such a large change in the albedo or reflectivity over a huge area of the Arctic, this signifies the jump into positive feedback of the climate system, although it is not the only positive feedback. Combined with preliminary reports that frozen methane is beginning to be released from the Arctic sea floor and tundra and given that methane is 20 times more powerful as a greenhouse gas, it is clear we are probably at the point of things running out of control. Emissions need to be cut drastically, starting about 20 years ago.

An earlier version of this article was written but unpublished back in 2008 and it has now been revised and published to take account of various changes since then.

The case is made for the provision of free public transport in every major town and city worldwide for a multitude of reasons. It has always been a good idea and should have been done a long time ago, but now with three major issues of our time; resource depletion, including oil, pollution and the climate crisis; they make it imperative that we move to such a system, both to conserve dwindling supplies of cheap energy, to reduce the use of vast mineral resources to make hundreds of millions of cars and to dramatically reduce our carbon emissions because climate change is happening faster than expected.

featured image
Are buses the future instead of the electric car? Heresy?

The Earth's climate has turned out to be more sensitive and complex than anticipated as evidenced by the recent dramatic record breaking summer ice melts in the Arcticc1 in 2007, 2008, 2012 and basically every year since then. With such a large change in the albedo or reflectivity over a huge area of the Arctic, this signifies the jump into positive feedback of the climate system, although it is not the only positive feedback. Combined with preliminary reports that frozen methane is beginning to be released from the Arctic sea floor and tundra and given that methane is 20 times more powerful as a greenhouse gas, it is clear we are probably at the point of things running out of control. Emissions need to be cut drastically, starting about 20 years ago.

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Maybe global warming is happening after all ....
Arctic sea ice, going going,..gone?

Moving to free and well-designed public transport allows society to deal with these problems in the least disruptive manner and to do so in the most equitable way and it would increase the shared sense of everyone working together to cope with what are essentially going to be permanent problems. Free public transport is not the full solution but is definitely an important first step. Switching to public transport has the potential to achieve large scale reductions in fuel use and it can be done immediately without further research or perfection of any technology. The current status quo plan to replace all the petrol and diesel fuelled cars with electric ones still leaves us with the problem of massive resource usage, a replacement of oil wars for lithium wars, traffic congestion, deaths from air pollution , high accident rates and actually high energy use. It does not matter if the heavily promoted so called solution of producing millions of electric cars is run on renewable energy because it would require vastly more wind farms, solar farms and whatever else compared to a transport solution based on highly efficient, globally deployed free public transport system which would only require a fraction of energy and resources of a car based one.


Hasselt, Belgium: A Case Study of a Free Public Transport System

It is not widely known but there were and are a number of small cities in the world that are already running free or partially free public transport systems. The most famous and popular and the one which others strive to as their ideal, is in the city of Hasselt2 (pop. 70k) in Belgium. This system ran from 1997 to 2013 and was extremely popular but was ended when there was a change of political power.

The free public transport system in Hasselt came about as a result of the city council trying to decide what to do about the chronic traffic and whether to build yet another ring road as the existing one was clogged with cars, even though the city was in debt. Indeed at one stage Hasselt had the highest level of car ownership in Belgium and the city itself had only two bus lines operating.

At approximately the same time in middle of 1996, the Flemish transport minister Eddy Baldewijns, had created an integrated transport policy framework in which public transport was allocated a primary role. The city of Hasselt was one of the first cities to adopt the plan. Mayor Steve Stevaert proposed to give absolute primacy on the city's Green Boulevard (ring road) to public transport. The mobility policy in Hasselt developed into an example of cooperation between the bus line, the Flemish government and the city of Hasselt, under the motto "the city guarantees the right of mobility for everyone".

In an example of the foresight that people possess but rarely get to use, the City Council and Mayor realized that just making it free was not enough and that the system needed to be significantly upgraded. And so the number of bus lines was increased from 2 to 9 reaching every part of the city, the frequency of service increased to every 30 minutes and 15 minutes at rush hour. This was done in the 3 months prior to the service being made free. Other changes were made too, such as creating park and ride facilities, moving large city centre carparks further out and adding traffic calming measures elsewhere and significantly increasing bicycle lanes and cycle ways.

Predictably the corporate media went mad and the officials clearly took the heat but stood their ground on the plan and so the system went live on 1st July 1997. For the city it was an immediate success. Life returned to it once again by allowing public spaces to open up and function properly, filled with people rather than cars.

The figures below from the official city records testify to the success of the scheme.

Year No of Passengers % Increase
1996 360,000 (100%)
1997 1,498,088 428%
1998 2,837,975 810%
1999 2,840,924 811%
2000 3,178,548 908%
2001 3,706,638 1,059%
2002 3,640,270 1,040%
2003 3,895,886 1,113%
2004 4,259,008 1,217%
2005 4,257,408 1,216%
2006 4,614,844 1,319%

Tallinn, Estonia: Case 2 of a Free Public Transport System

From Jan 1st 2013, the city of Tallinn made public transport free for residents and was used as an incentive to get people to move back into the city. The most interesting part is they probably have the best financial method because it is paid out of the city taxes. The more people move into the city and use it, the more tax they will get to fund it as costs go up since more people use it. It still requires the political commitment to make the funding available. Tallinn has since gained 11,000 people and an increase of ?11 million in revenue. That suggests each person is paying ?1000 in city taxes and it is highly unlikely all that money goes to transport which suggests they are getting free transport for much less.

Other Cities with Free Public Transport

There are a number of other small cities in the world which have or had limited free public transport. In some cases it is free only for those under 18 and the senior citizens. In other cases, only part of the transport network was or is free such as inner city hubs and some of these limited solutions are not very effective because they don?t illustrate the full potential. In addition many have suffered with the finance methods used to fund them.

Just recently the country of Luxemburg announced it would introduce free public transport throughout the whole country from next year and some cities in Germany and France are now considering free public transport. Hopefully it is designed well and useful enough that it becomes a permanent success.

Perception, Preparation and Service are very important

Making a proposal to introduce free public transport will go down differently in different cities and towns depending on how good or bad the transport system is in each place. A bad transport system can turn public opinion against it and for those who would oppose the scheme that is their aim. Should a free public transport system, especially in a high profile city, get close to fruition, the opponents would try to sabotage it through bureaucratic channels and politically, lobby against it, and negate it in the media and at the very least try to at least make it ineffective. It would be full spectrum opposition. Make no mistake this is serious business and it would challenge some very powerful players ?e.g. auto, oil industry & car insurance. It is well documented how at the start of the car age, when many US cities had very effective trams and trolley systems, that the growing car companies secretly bought up these entities through front companies and then set about neglecting maintenance, restricting finance and destroying them whilst at the same time heavily promoting the new 'better' alternative -the private motor car. In effect what they did and what the opponents today would do is to try and change the public perception of the concept of free travel and turn it into a negative. And once that idea is planted in people?s heads, it can be hard to dislodge it.

Therefore a free transport system has to been well designed so that people actually use it not because it is just free but because it is useable and effective and releases time previously wasted on the act of driving. The free part is more about making it equitable across all social classes and encouraging uptake.

Taking the case of Hasselt again, they did the smart thing and prepared the system well in advance of the launch date for free travel. When you look at public transport networks of any major city, you find that most of the routes form a radial pattern with all routes heading to the city centre and only a few traversing non central areas. Yet many people on their daily commutes do not follow this radial pattern, but travel to areas on the periphery of the city, e.g. to places of employment like business parks. It therefore makes sense to add and modify routes so that the network resembles more a spider?s web or mesh with multiple routes in concentric circles to allow these other directions of travel. This may not seem important but it is crucial, because if you travel by car to work to some part of the outer rim of a city, you will drive across rather than take the bus in and then back out of the city centre to your workplace which is going to take longer. And whether the bus is free or not, if a more direct route is not offered, then you won't have the time or inclination to make use of it. Practicalities matter

The other thing they did in Hasselt was increase the service to every half hour during the day and every 15 minutes during rush hour. This is just as important. To be useful, the service must be regular, predictable and timely. The service has to be made good enough so that you can depend on it, and gets you to your destination comfortably. Creating a public transport system that involves waiting for ages and then standing in a crowded bus will not work. This means bus shelters to protect from rain, signage, clear maps, timetables and real-time information & apps that are accurate.

Unfortunately the car has taught us to be impatient with the slightest imperfection with public transport but strangely not with cars and that mode of travelling itself. So while people complain a lot publically about waiting for buses for more than 10 minutes, they tend to be less vocal and more accepting of being stuck in traffic at near standstill for 30 minutes or more a day. This must be something to do with the constants adverts over the years showing cars driving along empty roads in beautiful countryside and trying to equate it with freedom. The adverts seem to have been a success in that regard.

Probably one of the most important reasons for the popularity of a car is that you can depart whenever you want and since it is your car, this is equivalent to a 24 hour service. Thus for public transport, reducing the wait time brings it closer to the idea of leaving when you are ready and having a good network that penetrates every area of the city means it brings it as close as possible. The car-centric rosy view of the world of course breaks down when the cars meet up in their thousands on the same busy main roads, namely chronic traffic, resulting in longer travel times, increased costs on fuel and of course stress. In cities, this is where buses can do better and move masses of people quickly so long as buses, trams and trains are given priority and kept clean and pleasant. It can be a lot less stressful to sit back and have a read or listen to music on a bus than to spend a hour gripping the steering wheel focused on the car in front, especially when you know that you could be doing better things with your precious free time. And all the better if Wi-Fi is available on all buses, trams and trains.

Do People Want This?

Most certainly yes. In Hasselt, people absolutely loved their free fare system. In Ireland where if you are over 66 years of age, public transport is free7 on bus and rail countrywide, the scheme is very popular. Polls everywhere consistently show that people are overwhelming in favour of free public transport. For example a nationwide survey8 of Australians revealed two-thirds want free travel on buses, trains and ferries, funded from Federal Government surpluses. There are other towns in the world with free public transport9 but none implemented as well or on the same scale of Hasselt (during the time it was running), but even in these places it is still very popular.

What is often not realized is that most people have incredible common sense but you would never know it from the media which tends to reinforce the false belief that we are too ignorant for thinking about how we should run society and instead we should leave it to the experts that have given us endless wars, waste, and exploitation of the land and oceans. For example polls consistently show that an overwhelming number of people (both on the right and left) are in support of clean water, clean air and protecting the environment. Given the awful state of these resources worldwide you would never suspect that is the case. Actually what it does prove is what an excellent job PR spin and disinformation by various vested interests have done to distort the public "debate".

The key point in all of this is that since the media is owned by vested interests they control what gets debated and the views aired and thereby can shape public opinion through distortions, misdirection and disinformation. In the last few years, it has got worse and most of the fake news is now coming from the same vested interests. Then on an individual basis all of us who are exposed to this daily, make the assumption that everyone has the same opinion as what is presented in the media through print, radio, TV and Internet/social media. This works because humans have an ingrained sense of the wisdom of the (diverse) crowd.10 This probably worked very well for the previous 50,000 years or so of human history, but today the crowd has now largely been substituted with the corporate media and we swim in that 24x7 hrs. And since it does not inform us with true facts, but instead the ones spun by them and an endless stream of distraction, then it becomes harder to make an informed decision. For the great span of time in which the last part of our intelligence evolved, people would have had diverse experiences and survival knowledge and so everyone?s view counted because it would have taken real intelligence to get through life and this is why our minds implicitly seek and go along with the opinions of others because those people opinions counted but today that innate mechanism is the leverage by which PR, propaganda and marketing completely distort our reality.

In general everyone will want something that is free. It?s hard to think of a reason you would want to pay given the choice of paying nothing. Those opposing it will always set out their argument on the basis that we can't make it free because it will harm us, whether it be through increased taxation, job losses, lower sales of cars or increased inconvenience, not that traffic congestion, road deaths, pollution and climate change are ever presented as any kind of problem. There is always talk about costs but the external negative costs just mentioned are never allowed to appear on any balance sheet. Really the argument needs to be viewed from a different perspective which is that transport, currently dominated by the private car is actually costing us all a lot and denying us of other choices. That does not get discussed in any meaningful way.

The core principle behind free transport is simply that by sharing resources (i.e. buses, trams) and costs (fuel, insurance, car tax), we lower the cost for everyone. In fact that is the principle behind any large economic organisation, which is about being able to do things through economies of scale. This is another reason why it is important to make public transport free at least at the point of use but being paid through taxation, because when you have to pay for these shared resources on an individual basis then they do not get shared equally.

What does it Cost and How to Pay for It

Obviously there are costs to running any public transport system and it is worth doing some analysis here to see what they are and what are the tax options since, if it is going to be free at end use then it has got to be paid through taxes of some sort or another.

For the case of Hasselt, figures4 for 2006 give a total cost of ?3.4 million to run the service per year. The city paid 25% of this and the Flemish government 75%. Taking this total and dividing by the population of Hasselt (70k) works out at just under ?50 per person for a year of free travel. Anyone would agree that is an outstanding bargain. Yet in the end the regional government didn?t want to pay it.

The problem with tax is that people don?t have a clear view of where the money is spent and it has been frequently cited for many a country (ref subsidy), how large direct and indirect subsidies are paid out to various vested industries such as the fossil fuel one. In the case of Ireland it was discovered that this amounts to ?4,000m in potentially environmentally damaging subsidies every year. Further on, it is shown that for the case of Dublin with over 1 million people, free public transport could be provided for less than a fraction of this value. This should be borne in mind when the media shouts out how awful free transport would be because it would raise our taxes. We are already spending enormous amount of our tax on truly harmful things. Let?s just divert the tax.

Throughout the world, countries use different schemes for funding public services. Prior to the Thatcher-Reagan right-wing revolution in the 1980s, they were mostly funded out of taxes and back then the rich paid much higher taxes. At the same time the rise of the use of tax havens by multi-national corporations has diverted trillions per year collectively away from national governments and which has resulted in increased taxes at point of use like sales and VAT taxes to partially make up the shortfall. Incidentally the billionaire class produced by this revolution now use their new found wealth through the mechanism of vulture funds to price the present generation out of buying a home and screw them continually for high rent.

From the 1980s to the present, the trend has been to privatise public services and get the public to pay directly. Generally the wealthier part of society has little need for public service, particularly public transport, but health and education too. However this sort of mechanism is one of the least equitable and ends up denying the people who need it, a decent service. Because of the lack of political will (or is it that private security firms and intelligence agency / one percenters nexus have the dirt on most key politicians and thereby own them and control what they legislate for) to fund public transport, it has largely got worse and less useful over the decades. This dynamic has contributed to the huge increase in car ownership since then and all the associated problems. Coincidently higher car sales enriches the already rich.

The types and amount of taxes levied vary considerably from country to country. In some, taxes are raised nationally and city councils are funded from the central exchequer. In others, the councils or cities have limited tax raising abilities ranging from a sales tax to perhaps just a commercial rates tax. Into this mix should be added the equally diverse politics for how the allocation is organised and where decision making and power lies. The balance of power and of finance can have a significant bearing on how easy or difficult it might be for a city or region to implement free public transport. The capitalist class has tried to lock down these choices by legalisation at EU level over running of services and how they should go out to tender and declaring illegal and anti-competitive ?government? subsidies. Essentially they are directives to permanently keep public services, including public transport, privatised. Other incentives waiting in the wings like investor-state dispute settlement (ISDS) mechanisms of free trade agreements would permanently transfer all control to corporations since most of these agreements are to do with not trade but services which include things like education, health and transport.

Therefore to bring in free transport, there are political obstacles, at local, regional, state and even EU level in the case of Europe and no doubt federal in the case of USA. Financial ones would parallel this to some degree.

Clearly the specifics of each city would mean the costs would vary to some degree and it would be very important that the plan on how to fund free public transport is made clear and transparent, otherwise it would be too easy for detractors to raise fears that it would cost everybody more and at the same time use criticism of existing public transport system as a means to demonstrate that it wouldn't work. This could easily cast doubt in people's mind and result in lack lustre public support. And in cities where public transport is worst and likely to have high car usage, it would be harder to make the argument just where it is needed most.

Without a clear example of a working free public transport system and all the benefits it brings, it is hard to imagine what a well-designed, useful free system would be like. As an analogy, imagine if the Internet was not free how that would stifle and kill so many of the positive aspects of it ?that is if they are any remaining left now that social media corporations have seized considerable control of it, through dominance. Would you want to use it then and would you explore it in the same carefree manner? If you had to pay 0.1 cent for every site you visited, wouldn't it dramatically change the whole feel of it? It is still not free since most of us pay an internet provider but after that it feels free and essentially is. One can of course make the argument, especially with regards social media, that it is not free, because we give away all our privacy since that is the product sold onwards.

The underlying principle in all of this is that sharing resources amongst people will always be cheaper than people individually trying to go it alone. As an example taking a conservative figure, lets assume that 20 people started taking the (free) bus for the work commute ?assuming the service is improved to make that possible. Then if each person was spending ?500 to ?1,000 a year on petrol just on driving to work and this is a realistic figure, then for 20 people, this ranges from 20 x ?500 = ?10,000 to 20 x ?1,000 = ?20,000. If say half of those people either got rid of the cars or did not purchase a replacement because they were satisfied with public transport and could function with it, doing short term car rental instead for those cases a few times a year when a car is needed, then the scheme would divert the capital cost of purchase to other more productive uses. For 10 cars this could easily amount to 10 x ?20,000 = ?200,000 available to the economy. And that is just for 10. Scaling this up to a city of a million people, with 1 car per 3 people or 300,000 cars, then whether you have a deferred purchase of 10%, 20% or 50% of cars, the savings of capital for other uses would be enormous besides the savings on fuel. And that money is available to each household. The savings are probably more than would be needed for each of those same households to retrofit them for energy savings or installation of solar panels because heating is one of the other really big users of energy and thereby emissions.

Scaling that up to city size and then to say all the cities in the UK and then to all the cities in Europe and from there to the rest of the world, the savings would be enormous. Collectively maybe the savings would even match or exceed the size of the USA military budget of ?7,000+ million! And maybe the USA and it?s vassals could reduce their military budget as the urge to fight oil wars would be less. Unlikely.

As we can see it would be wrong to focus on the tax cost per person, without also looking at the savings per person and the environmental savings in health, pollution, road traffic accidents and climate change because these are real costs too and not as abstract as we have been led to believe.

The Cost for Dublin Bus Serving 1 million+ People

The original version of this article used 2006 figures and a check of 2014 Dublin Bus accounts show costs and outlays have changed very little so they are still valid.

To help put some numbers on this, the case is taken for the city of Dublin with a population of 1 million approximately. The annual accounts from Dublin Bus for 200612 shows it cost ?260 million a year to run the fleet of 1,100 buses on 189 routes and it carried 146 million passengers (Note: They have since reduced the number of buses, leading to more cars on the road.) The total fuel costs were only ?17 million, whilst salaries made up the biggest fraction at roughly 60%. It is difficult to determine the cost of fare collection and associated administration but it could be anywhere from 1% to 10%. The existing operating budget already includes a government subsidy of ?69 million (27%), so to make the existing service free would require an additional ?191m to the subsidy for the running total of ?260 million. But let?s assume the number of buses is increased by 27% from 1,100 to 1,400, this would give a huge boost to the service in both its geographical coverage and frequency and allow new routes to be established. So taking the figure of ?260m and adding 27% extra costs for the extra buses gives a total of ?330m. Dividing by the greater Dublin population of 1 million, it gives ?330 per person. This does NOT mean everyone would need to be taxed extra by this amount. No one can really give a true and precise cost because there would be so many interacting effects. It would be like trying to predict the effects of widespread internet access 10 years before it happened.

To put this ?330m in perspective, the Irish health budget alone in 2018 was ?15,300m which means for 2.1% of that cost, we could have had free public transport for about 1 million plus people in Dublin. The health benefit cost savings from it probably would have been greater than 2% when you take into account less accidents and chronic health from air pollution.

Back in 2007, Ireland in its then budget put aside ?270m to pay for carbon emission penalities.13 By 2018 estimates for them had risen to ?600m for 2020. Surely introducing free public transport would go some way to reduce the country's carbon emissions and thereby penalty cost. In 2017, the total for all greenhouse gas emissions was 60m tonnes of which transport accounts for 20% for a total of 12m tonnes.

The Hasselt free transport experiment may have been too small because while it was successful and popular it did not put much of a dent on reducing the number of commute to work car journeys. In a large city like Dublin at present the radial network is useless for inter suburban work commute trips and reforming it into a grid like structure (more on this later) would have a chance of making it an attractive and viable alternative than driving to work.

Assuming this was accomplished then if we now take into account the cost to insure and tax a car and get a service done once a year, then for those households currently with 2 cars, the extra car would certainly become redundant under a free travel scheme and the savings that could be made by getting rid of these overhead costs would easily add up to more than ?1,000 a year. Until an useful and successful free transport system is running for a few years, people are unlikely to get rid of their cars altogether and will at least hold onto one. In other words the release of capital allocated to private car ownership would not be released over night but within a few years probably would. Again the savings would be enormous. Right wing politicians ?the same ones who favour large corporations like Apple paying basically no tax (which the EU ruled they should pay the Irish govt. ?13,000m in tax they were let off by it), like to talk about reducing tax to put money back in your pocket. Well introducing free transport could certainly do it. Most people have cars to solve their transport problems. If they can be solved in other ways then they won?t need them. Why else are there so many car adverts ?because they are trying to convince us we actually want these things. We don?t. We want solutions to transport.

The Direct Benefits and Savings

For Hasselt the result was it saved millions on not having to build extra road infrastructure and this has allowed it to reduce city taxes overall so when you start adding in these benefits and many others the cost just gets cheaper and cheaper.

The benefits and savings are many. There are all the obvious ones and then the not so obvious ones and again referring to the case of Hasselt, it seems that the return of city civic life with people back on the streets and squares was the most unexpected and the most rewarding. It brought back the sense of human scale and made it pleasant again to live, work and visit the city centre making it a place where people wanted to hangout and meet up. When you can just hop on a bus for free, it becomes so much easier to meet up with friends and do things. Suddenly the whole city is within your domain.

In some parts of the world, where there is huge opiate problem because people are depressed and live in non walkable cities where all sense of community has vanished, a return to real human interaction might well be part of the antidote.

On an operational level, one of the non-obvious benefits is the cost savings by not having to collect fares and all the associated administration, ticketing and sales. Even getting on the bus is easier because there is no fumbling with coins or tickets, making for faster loading time or put another way, time spent stopped. It?s also safer, because drivers can concentrate on driving and do not have to think about fares or carry out money transactions with passengers.

There are other indirect benefits such as; with people spending less on petrol they have more financial resources for other things. Expenditure on fuel represents a net flow of money out of the country, so it can only improve the balance of payments. As total mileage is reduced, so too does the total number of accidents. It is not widely recognised that accidents impose a significant drain on resources. Estimates for road accidents range from 2% to 3% of GDP due to costs through medical care, loss of work and productivity and various other knock on effects. In developing countries, a serious accident causing death or permanent incapacitation can result in the loss of the main earner for a family with the resultant effect of plunging them straight into abject poverty. In the West what tends to happen is that insurance pay outs are large in order to make it possible to continue existence in these expensive places. That leads to higher insurance premiums which results in the collective burden of cost on the population.

In the case of Hasselt, the experience was that the number of road accidents and consequently road deaths decreased about 80% following the introduction of free public transport. This resulted in significant savings to the health system and emergency services. The savings to the health budget alone more than offset the cost of providing free public transport. And as anyone who has lost someone in an accident knows, terrible grief and pain. For example, in 2013 there were 1.24 million traffic accidents deaths globally according to the World Health Organisation.

That is slightly more than the number killed by terrorist related attacks by a wide margin, but considerably less than the number killed in humanitarian bombing campaigns to bring democracy to far off countries led by the most car dependent countries in the world.

Another significant factor associated with mass automobile use that was realized through research and monitoring during the late 80s and 90s is the levels in the urban atmosphere of tiny dust particles called PM10 particles. In the UK alone, it was estimated by World Health Organisation (WHO) that these particles, mostly caused by combustion, were and still are responsible for at least 12,500 deaths a year due to the range of respiratory problems and other disorders they cause. However recent research for Ireland which has a population approximately 14 times smaller than the UK, gives a death count of around 2,500 per year in Ireland, which therefore suggests the real figure for the UK is probably closer to 30,000 than 12,500. These body counts can be reduced by less cars. Therefore the global number of deaths due to this type of cause is probably far higher than the number killed in road accidents, thereby increasing the total body count further. But hey they are not on the balance sheet so none of it gets counted or matters at least in official discussions about car policy.

A further saving is in the cost to the environment. There are over 1,000 million cars in existence and when you consider all the metal, plastic, oils, paints, fabrics, tyres, glass, rubber, used tyres and so on ?whether these cars are petrol/diesel or electric, the quantity is enormous. Now think that the life span of cars is getting shorter ?not longer and these are generally all replaced every 15 years, the impacts to environment, wildlife and people in the mining and processing of these materials is huge. On the disposal side, the toxic waste dumps are equally devastating. Some might argue or think that cars are recycled. Sadly much is not. If through free transport worldwide that car count was reduced to say 500 million, then that would at least halve the problem thereby reducing the pressure. This all goes to show it is not just about a climate problem, it can be a solution to multiple important issues.

Yet another positive consideration is on tourism and travel in general. Imagine that you are taking a holiday somewhere, anywhere and you have decided to go (by rail) to London, Paris, Berlin, Copenhagen, Munich, Zurich, Rome, Barcelona, Sydney, Tokyo, Mumbai, Bangkok, Mexico, Seattle, Chicago, Toronto, or any other interesting place and when you get there you discover they have what you already have in your own home town ? free public transport. Suddenly the benefits multiply in ways you never think of. This is the stuff of dreams where humanity moves to the next level of maturity and gets its act together. What this actually represents is an increase in wealth for all of humanity. Its a bit like email or mobile phones; if you are the only one using it or owning it, its no use, but when everyone is using it, it increases its utility. Likewise being able to travel freely in any major town or city in the world would enormously increase the scope for sociability for everyone, and this would be so even under the circumstances where we begin to make the first serious efforts to reduce greenhouse emissions

Imagining Free Public Transport Globally

The motorcar is pretty much engrained in our wasteful way of life because it grew up, first in America with the expansion of the suburbs. It helped enable the structure of suburban which led to the development of big shopping malls and wasteful driving. Long ago when you went to the local store it might have been on foot, now that is replaced by hundreds of millions of people driving a few miles each at least once a week, often more, in addition to their daily work commute. On the flip side, compact inner parts of cities, like New York, London, Tokyo, Paris etc where living density is high, finding a place to park a car is problematic and it is quite easy to get by without a car. Free transport would be perfect in those sorts of locations.

So we can see the very physical structure of a public transport system depends on the urban environment. Traditionally many transport networks are radial with everything focused on passing through the centre and does not map well to work commutes. To deal with the outer suburban parts of cities, the transport network needs to be more grid like, so that you can get anywhere easily taking a much shorter route. For a grid, it is vital that the switch over to other bus lines as you cross the grid is seamless and without delay. This means frequent service is ultra important and delays needs to be kept to a minimum. It would also make sense to ensure it was easy to get to the places where people generally drive ?i.e. the big box stores, although maybe internet shopping is beginning to chip away at them.

The public transport network does not have to follow old patterns and styles and can introduce services like local feeder buses to high speed, high capacity backbone hubs. The whole point is to get you from A to B rather than the older model which tended to get you to somewhere in the city centre. As the system gets betters, then over time the restructuring of cities can occur and the public transport system should aim as much as it can, to give as much versatility as did the car for most of your journeys. The system could be constantly refined through the use of frequency mapping that tracks where people are going and makes small adjustments to the network over time to optimize for that.

Assuming for a moment, this was achieved in one large city, then there is no reason it could not be replicated with local modifications in cities all over the world. It would be transformative. Imagine no matter what major town or city that you travelled to in the world, you could either downloaded an App or check the network map at the nearest transport point and just hop on a bus or tram and go anywhere in the city with ease and efficiency, using it as often as you like. It would free up so much. Combine this with things like the now popular and widespread city bike schemes, these would help link up the final parts of journeys. With the reduced traffic, it would be possible to pedestrianize more parts of the cities and introduce much more cycling infrastructure. It is well known from experience especially in places like the Netherlands, as you introduce cycling infrastructure and make it safer, there is a huge increase in people cycling.

It is likely that widespread free public transport would encourage more people to take intercity trains and could reduce the need for short haul flights, since they effectively directly interconnect with transport systems in the heart of most cities. If flying is to be used, it makes more sense to use it when other options are not really viable and that would favour longer distances rather than short city hops.

In some ways there is no need to stop at making transport free in the cities and why not extend it to intercity (land based travel). That is debateable for the moment, but the bulk of the people and the journeys are actually within the cities so it makes sense to tackle them first and the objectives are not just about reducing emissions and associated pollution and health problems, but to reduce congestion and actually enable one to travel on average within the city quicker than people on average do today and also to make this transport facility available to all. Reducing total expenditure by a given country on fuel could also be added to the list of objectives. We hardly all want to collectively use more fuel just for the sake of it. Only the oil companies want that.

China?s Option

China?s doesn?t really do suburbs in the US/European sense and while once largely rural, in the last three decades hundreds of millions have moved to cities and live in densely populated tower blocks. The density in Chinese cities is perfect for public transport. However the number of cars has soared in China and it is probably because they are simply trying to emulate the West when in fact there is no need. With a stroke of the pen, the Communist Party could introduce free public transport and in one single go, change the entire trajectory of the country to a more sustainable footing which they simply have to do anyhow in the long run. They would greatly solve their emissions problems and the worry of energy dependency by reducing it and the famous chronic pollution could be tackled in a major way. China has very significant pollution problems. Staying on their current path can only make it worse.

City Structure: Now, in the Past and the Future

For centuries towns and cities were largely walkable and people centric places and their structure reflected that in terms of their layout with a maze of streets, alleyways creating shortcuts, market squares, public spaces all inter connecting the city core together in interesting non-linear ways which happened to give more character to a place.

If you look at any town or city today particularly in Europe they all have an old tightly woven inner core and are then surrounded by concentric urban circles with each later one being more car dependent than the previous. See for example the Google Earth image of Milan, Brno, Czech Republic, or even Hasselt itself. In some cities the car culture, over time has completely taken over and gutted the old city centres. In the US, the older cities on the East Coast have some residual element of this European model, but the bulk of growth and expansion in the US, took off at the same time the car took off and with the result that the structure of most US towns and cities reflect this influence of Car Utopia. Los Angeles and Houston are two very good examples. As a consequence most US towns and cities are awful and characterless places devoid of life, everywhere looks the same and it is quickly becoming evident that not only are they not very functional, but they are becoming a huge liability because of ongoing unsustainable energy and resource use. Indeed the sprawling relatively low density of cities in the US pose quite a challenge to any form of public transport system, precisely because they are spread out and any return on transport investment will be problematic. The current car centric transport system is largely bankrupt as we push up against the limits to growth. It certainly won?t be around in a 1,000 years whereas the great cities of the world are far older than that.

It is important to step back and consider the span of time of the last few hundred years or so. In that time most of the main capital cities of the world were already well established by then and managed to function for centuries without the car! It is only natural that we should look the same distance into the future for all our cities and towns and to question whether the current car centric, socially excluding form of living will continue, can continue or would even be desirable. The answer is probably no.

 
featured image
Is this the future -except with electric engines?
One hopes not!
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The Dutch use bicycles a lot. And buses, trams and trains too!
Why? -because they are all integrated.

It?s a reasonable bet to say that most people's vision would hope for something a lot better and definitely more progressive especially since an underlying and widespread view is that somehow humanity's lot is one of general improvement and progress according to the narrative of progress. The actual progress will cease if we destroy the place and mentally destroy ourselves by living in soulless places and ceasing any form of community. Humans are deep down social creatures and need to be immersed in real communities for their own mental happiness. Online communities are not a viable substitute as most people have come to realize. The environment you live in has to foster communities and car centric ones do not. It is a simple as fish need to live in water. Humans need to live in places where they meet other people and not just see them distantly through car windows.

Therefore an actual desirable modern city of the future and this does not exclude the slow transformation of your own city over say the next 20 years, would have an overlay of free public transport reaching every corner ?that is used, so that traffic is considerably reduced overall so that more of the existing road infrastructure is switched over to obviously public transport whether bus, tram or rail but also to bicycle arteries and more pedestrianised streets around urban centres. Perhaps even some reasonable fraction of the excessive amount of space devoted to car parks is converted to real parks or housing or something else.

Consider how today we waste vast areas of land to car transport. Compare the width of a single track railway ?probably a few meters to the width of a standard motorway with 2 lanes and a hard shoulder for each direction which is at least 10 times wider and yet they both probably have similar capacity to move people and goods. One is highly efficient in land use and fuel use and the other is highly inefficient in the same categories. It is not exactly progress despite we been led to believe it is. Likewise regular streets in ?modern? cities are much wider because they are built to allow car travel in both directions and in many cases parking on both sides. So percentage wise it is a certainty that cities today devote a much higher percentage of their total area to ?transport? than cities prior to cars. That is just wasteful. Imagine if our oxygen transport system ?i.e. our blood system took up 5 times more space in us that it does. It wouldn?t be very elegant and would no doubt impose all sorts of constraints on our abilities. Well we are constrained by car centric cities and do not even realize it. Go to cities in Netherlands or Switzerland which have really good public transport or the inner part of some old medieval city and one will get some kind of inkling to it.

Conclusion

It should be clear then that the only real obstacle to bringing in free public transport are the political will and the strength to face up to the opponents of such a scheme. On a straight monetary level the numbers look right, and for all the other reasons the justifications to do it are even more compelling. At the end of the day each town and city will only do it because it is of immediate benefit to them.

The total energy required for such a system will always be far less than one where every journey is done separately in a car. With the car, we are in a sense creating the overheads of the vehicle and the engine for every person. Since a bus or tram can be used by 40 to 100 people and then the same bus or tram used by a different set of people a little while later, we are therefore reducing the transport overheads by a factor well in excess of 100. Looked at this way the amount of mining for metals and other minerals is greatly reduced. If everyone had an electric car, would there be enough lithium in the world to build the batteries? And if they were powered by wind power, how many turbines would that be? Is there even time, resources or capital to do this? And would we want to despoil the landscape even more?

Clearly making public transport the central means of transport drastically reduces all these demands because it means the scale of the energy problem and simultaneously environmental problem is smaller the less energy and resources you need. Besides do people really think that they will be driving their kids to school in 200 years time and themselves to work? Not only will this car future not come to pass, but its a complete unimaginative and regressive vision and everyone knows it.

References and Links

1a. Arctic Sea Ice Shatters All Previous Record Lows http://www.nsidc.org/news/press/2007_seaiceminimum/20071001_pressrelease.html

1b. The Methane Time Bomb http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change/exclusive-the-methane...

2. Hasselt Free Transport Zero-fare public transport http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zero-fare and See also podcast interview: Tyee Interview: Kathryn Gretsinger interviews Dave Olsen about the reasons for making transit free https://thetyee.ca/Views/2007/07/05/Dave_Olsen.mp3

3. Dublin Annual Reports: http://www.dublinbus.ie/About-Us/Reports/Annual-Reports/

4. PM10 particles are particular matter of 10 microns size or less. PM10's are readily inhalable and because of their small size are not filtered and penetrate deeply into the cardiovascular system where they cause damage. More at: www.smfrancis.demon.co.uk/airwolvs/23healthpm10.html which gives the estimate for 12,500 deaths in the UK a year due to PM10s. A similiar estimate can be found in this article: A Cleaner, Quieter Britain Will be a Healthier One | 10 Jan 2008

5. See New Era Hi-Tech Buses

6. See the book The Wisdom of Crowds by James Surowiecki. For more info see www.randomhouse.com/features/wisdomofcrowds/ and http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Wisdom_of_Crowds

7. ?4.1bn spent on environmentally damaging subsidies - Central Statistics Office https://www.rte.ie/news/environment/2019/0604/1053483-damaging-subsidies/

8. European cities consider making public transport free to tackle air pollution at https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/03/25/paris-mayor-mulls-making-public-t...

9. Blog on Free Public Transit Success at https://fptsuccess.blogspot.com/

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